CNN Poll - Trump 48 - Clinton 45

parocks

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http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/07/25/trump.clinton.poll.pdf

Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/25/polit...n-poll-cnn-orc1025AMStoryLink&linkId=26899680

Favorable
Trump 42%
Clinton 39%

Unfavorable
Clinton 55%
Trump 52%


Very Angry + Somewhat Angry "about the way things are going in the country today"

Total - 71%
Very Angry = 35%
Somewhat Angry = 36%

68% believe that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy.
(up from 44% in March 2014)

45 and older - Trump - mind made up - 48%
Under 45 - Clinton - mind made up - 46%

Gary Johnson, under 45 - 17%
35-49 - 8%
(N/A for 18-34 Johnson, but it looks like Gary Johnson is getting big numbers 18-34)
Johnson is strongest under $50K, no college grad, independent, moderate, West, Suburbs, GOP who didn't vote for trump in the primaries (17%), Sanders voters (14%), men, non-white

66% of whites have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton
72% unfavorable white non college
78% unfavorable conservative

18-34 has a more unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton than 35-49

rural Clinton unfavorable 64%
Sanders voters unfavorable 33%
white evangelicals unfavorable 83%

(white evangelicals dislike Clinton more than conservatives do)

************

Trump unfavorables
68% non white
61% 18-34
64% college grad
61% northeast
61% urban
60% not white evangelicals

**********

56% of GOP voters, white college grads would prefer a different GOP candidate than Trump

Democrat Women prefer Bernie 48-47.
Democrat $50K or more prefer Bernie

women more very angry than men 38-30
white very angry 39%
(white women really pissed?)
65+ most pissed - 41% very angry
white non college grad 44% very angry
48% GOP very angry
48% conservative very angry
midwest most pissed 42%
rural most pissed 48%


Trump voters are most pissed - 61%
Clinton voters are not pissed at all 18%
(this appears to be the most meaningful stat) the correlation between very angry and Trump voters, and not very angry and Clinton voters is strong.
The people who voted for the other GOP candidates are only very angry 39%, and the Sanders people are pissed 33%.

white evangelicals 50% pissed


Is Hillary honest and trustworthy?

men say no - 74%
whites say no - 74%
under 45 say no 69%
$50K+ say no 71%
white non college say no 77%
rural says no 77%
white evangelicals say no 87%
 
hillarysad5.jpg
 
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