I'm of two minds on this one.
Positive: He might steal a lot of Romney's support (and at the moment, Mitt looks to be the biggest obstacle long-term), as they both are from the Northeast, both are among the more intelligent and articulate candidates, and both give a sense that they would be competent administrators (Romney was successful outside of politics, and Christie has a rep as a "get it done" type of governor who is not afraid of confrontation). His record won't stand up to analysis, and his 2nd amendment stance will be particularly troubling to conservatives. I don't think he will impress voters as a potential president the way he has as a governor. He lacks both the persona and the vision that is expected from that office. I could see his campaign being very similar to that of Perry in some respects.
Negative: Christie would be a fierce debater, and could potentially have some of the most memorable soundbytes of the Republican primaries. He can be very alpha and ready to throw down with critics, which conservatives in particular tend to admire. To a lot of casual observers, Christie comes off as a renegade and someone real. (Maybe he even is on some small level, but his ideas and backers are wrong, wrong, wrong.) He is articulate without being too smooth, and is obviously quite intelligent...the exact opposite of Perry, who a lot of potential voters feel burned by.
I don't know what to make of this one. If Christie comes in, he will be the immediate frontrunner in my opinion, but I don't know how long it will last. The Republican establishment must feel very desperate to be courting him so hard, as I think even the most seasoned political analysts aren't sure how his campaign will play out. The key to breaking his campaign will be pointing out his positions and his questionable track record. If we and others like Bachman can successfully do that, then Christie will do a good job of watering down the field even further. And while he would walk over Perry in debate, a Christie vs Paul back-and-forth would probably be a Youtube hit, and I don't see Christie doing well in that exchange. Even some of the other smarter and seasoned candidates like Huntsman and Romney may do well in exchanges with him.
It's important to remember that Christie is known for blunt exchanges with individuals (teachers, reporters) who are NOT experienced public speakers, and who are not on an equal footing in terms of holding the microphone. If you think about it that way, he may be a paper tiger!
Every time the neoconservative mainstream trots out another hero to save the day and winds up with egg on their faces, the better it is for Ron Paul.
Anyway, first day posting here. Sorry this one was so long.
