Canada-US Trade Ramifications

Voluntarist

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2025 Airline bookings from Canada to the U.S. are down 70% over 2024

As the trade war between the United States and Canada continues and fears of detention at the U.S. border mount, Canadians are channeling their sentiments through their wallets and choosing to travel elsewhere.

According to aviation data firm OAG, airline bookings from Canada to the U.S. have collapsed in recent months.

"Using forward booking data from a major GDS supplier, we've compared the total bookings held at this point last year with those recorded this week for the upcoming summer season. The decline is striking — bookings are down by over 70% in every month through to the end of September," a statement from the firm said. "This sharp drop suggests that travelers are holding off on making reservations, likely due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the broader trade dispute."

Swordy'll tell you it's all those illegals carrying fentanyl that are no longer making the trip.
 
I live in a border town. A lot of businesses have a noticable downturn with fewer Canadians coming down to shop and vacation. Also, I go into Canada every week, and I've never seen so many Canadian flags on trucks. It's not just an Internet thing. Its a complete rejection of Trump, his tariffs, and his statehood rhetoric.
 
Alberta, and probably other western provinces will secede with US support and either be independent or join the US.
 
Alberta, and probably other western provinces will secede with US support and either be independent or join the US.

This would be glorious. And it's a lot more plausible than any US states seceding. Canadians don't carry the same baggage that we do in regard to secession - they don't have Abe Lincoln's ghost to haunt them with the threat of violence over secession.
 
American Auto Industry:

16APR2025
Mazda Stops CX-50 Exports To Canada As Tariff War Escalates
The ripple effects of the Trump-era tariff policies are still disrupting supply chains, and this time, Mazda is taking a direct hit. The automaker has confirmed it will pause production of CX-50s bound for Canada, a move prompted by America’s tariffs and corresponding Canadian countermeasures.

Mazda says the pause will begin on May 12 at its Huntsville, Alabama plant, which builds the CX-50 for North American markets. The company did not say how long the suspension will last. According to Mazda Canada spokesperson Sandra Lemaitre, dealers across the country will continue selling the remaining stock for as long as they can.

“Mazda Canada currently has a limited supply of CX-50 inventory and in-transit units that our retailers will continue to sell,” Lamaitre told Auto News. There’s no indication yet of how long that inventory will hold out.

In 2023, every one of the 10,759 CX-50s sold in Canada came from the Alabama plant. The compact crossover accounted for roughly 15 percent of Mazda’s total Canadian sales last year.
 
Sounds like a mix of trade tensions and border worries is really making folks think twice about heading south.
 
Subaru Canada to Cut U.S. Vehicle Imports to 10% Due to Tariff Disputes

Subaru Canada will reduce the proportion of vehicles imported from the United States to 10 % by the 2026 model year, down from 26 % in 2024. The change is part of a strategic response to new trade tariffs imposed between Canada and the United States.

The company’s CEO, Tomohiro Kubota, said the revised sourcing strategy will help Subaru Canada limit exposure to the Canadian surtax on U.S.-built vehicles. “With that, we can minimize the impact of the counter surtax,” Kubota said.

The import changes follow the 25% tariff U.S. President Donald Trump introduced in April on global vehicle imports, including those from Canada. Ottawa implemented retaliatory duties days later, applying tariffs of up to 25% on American-made vehicles entering Canada.

...

In 2024, Subaru Canada sold 68,043 vehicles. Of those, 17,713 units, or 26%, were built at the company’s North American manufacturing plant in Lafayette, Indiana. ...

Beginning with the 2026 model year, the Outback’s production for Canadian markets will shift from Indiana to Japan. Last year, 11,101 Outbacks were sourced from Indiana, meaning this number will drop to zero very soon. ...

In place of the Outback, Subaru’s Lafayette facility will begin assembling the Forester later this year. Until now, all Foresters sold in Canada were sourced exclusively from Subaru’s Gunma plant northwest of Tokyo. The company has not confirmed which factory will supply Canadian-market Foresters after the production shift.
 
Trump, Miracle Worker

Brad here. I would not have thought this possible. At the risk of spreading a generalization, Canadians are the neighbor you wish you had. Polite. Friendly. Considerate. Not "patriotic" beyond the confines of sports.

There's an old joke that contains a lot of truth:

Q: How do you get Canadians out of a swimming pool?
A: You say, "Would all the Canadians please leave the pool?"


Wendy likes to cite a contest conducted years ago by Macleans magazine:

Macleans invited readers to fill in the blank: “As Canadian as _________.” The challenge was distinguishing Canada from its neighbor who was louder, flashier, (then) richer, sexier and, well, add “er” onto almost any adjective.

The winner? “As Canadian as possible under the circumstances.”


I like the example of Canadians spontaneously singing the U.S. national anthem when, at a Canada/U.S. hockey game, the P.A. system died halfway through the U.S. anthem.

No, there really wasn't a "patriotism" button that you could push, to get Canadians riled.

Until now.

A few weeks back, when visiting a nearby convenience store, I saw this sign on the door to their walk-in beer cooler.

lcbo_sign_390.jpg


I'm seeing signs like this everywhere. Manufacturers have had time to update their packaging, to tout their Canadian content. Customers are seeking them out. I haven't seen an uprising like this since the Bud Light fiasco in the U.S.

And no, it's not the "51st state" nonsense. I don't know anyone who thinks that's a serious proposal; nearly everyone understands that this is Trump trolling for effect. But naming Canada and Mexico as the first two targets for punitive tariffs, when both had agreed to a new trade pact pushed by Trump in his first term, rankles even the most politically-unaware. (Evidently the "art of the deal" includes reneging when the deal no longer suits you.)

Good luck with that, dude. Have fun garrisoning a five thousand mile border.
 
Canada is committing suicide out of petty spite and Boomer idiocy.

Trump will happily pick up the pieces we want and leave the rest to rot.
 
Trump will happily pick up the pieces we want and leave the rest to rot.

He's going to leave a portion of the North American continent with a -- gasp! -- power vacuum?

What are you high on this morning? Unbelievable as it seems, you're even more insane than usual.
 
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