brokered convention now a certainty

[cindy25]

Jeb just endorsed Romney; the establishment will not give up

and the nuts want Newt.

so it has to go all the way to the convention. and this will not be 1976 where 2 candidates fought to the end, because with 2 then one of then had to get a majority.

with 3 (Santorum will pull out) going all the way what will matter is delegates.

 

[rodo1776]

you are full of caca. there is no brokered convention

 

[dbill27]

I think Ron wins. In brokered convention.

 

[Aratus]

a brokered convention is very likely...

 

[Karsten]

How the heck is a brokered convention likely? Hillary/Obama wasn't a brokered convention.

 

[bluesc]

Jeb just endorsed Romney; the establishment will not give up.

He did?

 

[F3d]

Newt's delegates won't go to Paul. We've already seen most voters shift to everyone except Paul. Paul has to win a few after Florida otherwise he has no chance at the nomination.

 

[Oddone]

Brokered convention is exactly what we wan't. It's all about making sure no one pulls 1,144 delagates. We have a lot of people becoming delegates, example my precinct in Texas controls all 17 delegates and the chair. There is no one challanging us for spots.

 

[Karsten]

Newt's delegates won't go to Paul. We've already seen most voters shift to everyone except Paul. Paul has to win a few after Florida otherwise he has no chance at the nomination.

This. Look folks, our best chance at winning anything was Iowa. He campaigned all 2011 there. Unless you can show me a poll where Ron Paul is winning in ANY state after florida, it's over.

 

[F3d]

Again, this can only happen if it's Paul vs. Romney. We have to win some states soon and get momentum. If Newt and Romney gather a large load, Newt's won't go to us nor will Romney's. They shift to everyone except Paul.

Edit: The media would also make it a Newt vs. Romney race.

 

[tbone717]

This. Look folks, our best chance at winning anything was Iowa. He campaigned all 2011 there. Unless you can show me a poll where Ron Paul is winning in ANY state after florida, it's over.

It appears that the campaign is going all in for the four caucus states in early Feb. If we win 2 or more of those, the game is changed going into Super Tuesday.

 

[rodo1776]

no brokered convention. Stop drinking or smoking or both and realize that wont happen.

 

[69360]

This. Look folks, our best chance at winning anything was Iowa. He campaigned all 2011 there. Unless you can show me a poll where Ron Paul is winning in ANY state after florida, it's over.

There's an off chance he might win a caucus state next month, but when you face reality, this is now educational campaign 2.0

 

[SpicyTurkey]

Both are establishment candidates. One of them will drop out and endorse the other to make sure Paul doesn't win.

 

[jay_dub]

Doesn't matter what happens. My vote will go to Ron Paul in November...and NO ONE ELSE!!!

 

[TheTyke]

Newt's delegates won't go to Paul. We've already seen most voters shift to everyone except Paul. Paul has to win a few after Florida otherwise he has no chance at the nomination.

They will if we are the delegates. Some states are completely unbound, but others are released from binding if no one wins on the first ballot in national convention. It's easier to retreat into cynicism and inactivity than to do all the work involved though.

This. Look folks, our best chance at winning anything was Iowa. He campaigned all 2011 there. Unless you can show me a poll where Ron Paul is winning in ANY state after florida, it's over.

He's led South Dakota:
http://race42012.com/2011/12/16/poll-watch-nielson-brothers-south-dakota-2012-presidential-survey/

 

[r3volution]

This. Look folks, our best chance at winning anything was Iowa. He campaigned all 2011 there. Unless you can show me a poll where Ron Paul is winning in ANY state after florida, it's over.

buh by . you know the door analogy .

 

[Oddone]

no brokered convention. Stop drinking or smoking or both and realize that wont happen.

Are you trying to become a delegate? Ron Paul has already said, he is taking this to convention.

 

[F3d]

They will if we are the delegates. Some states are completely unbound, but others are released from binding if no one wins on the first ballot in national convention. It's easier to retreat into cynicism and inactivity than to do all the work involved though.

I realize that, but if we don't win states soon, it'll putter out like last time.

 

[cindy25]

How the heck is a brokered convention likely? Hillary/Obama wasn't a brokered convention.

Hillary vs Obama was 2 people; when there is 2 there can be no brokered convention ; same as Ford vs Reagan.

brokered needs a 3 cornered race with no one over 50%