95% Of Reported Bitcoin Trading Volume Is Fake, Says Bitwise
While many use CoinMarketCap as a go-to resource for cryptocurrency market data, roughly 95% of bitcoin trading volume reported by this website is fake, according to a Bitwise Asset Management report.
CoinMarketCap reports approximately $6 billion per day in bitcoin trading volume, but the actual figure is $273 million, or roughly 4.5% of the reported amount, according to Bitwise.
[Ed note: Investing in cryptocoins or tokens is highly speculative and the market is largely unregulated. Anyone considering it should be prepared to lose their entire investment.]
When conducting its analysis, Bitwise culled data from 81 exchanges, which it selected based on reported bitcoin trading volume. Exchanges that reported less than $1 million worth of volume per day were excluded.
Bitwise, which recently proposed a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), submitted this report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as part of its application process.
"IF true, it's clearly not a positive for the industry," emphasized Tim Enneking, managing director of Digital Capital Management.
However, "most of the largest exchanges appear to have a much lower level of 'fake' volume, so the 95% number is hardly evenly spread across exchanges," he noted.
Enneking outlined several reasons why exchanges would inflate their volumes:
Other than simply wanting to make volume appear larger than it is for commercial reasons (the greater the volume, the easier it is to attract even more traders), three other factors may play into the motivations behind exaggerating volume: (1) the generalized decline in volume over the last 12 months or so, which makes appearing to be larger both more important and more difficult, (2) the growing volume on OTC platforms, which both exacerbates and accelerates the first problem, and (3) the seemingly endless proliferation of new exchanges, meaning that more players are fighting for larger pieces of a shrinking pie.