Based on Current Situation=> Ted Cruz Will Be Knocked Out of Race By April 26th

[CPUd]

At least 1:
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...assie-elected-as-national-convention-delegate

 

[Jan2017]

At least 1:
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...assie-elected-as-national-convention-delegate

Rand has one for the first ballot and I think Dr. Ben Carson has nine ?
But for the second ballot and on who knows but the delegate himself.

The candidate (Rand, Rubio, Carly) can unbound first round delegates (or not depending on state rules )
but then that delegate does not have to vote for who the candidate has endorsed either.

Carson picks off Cruz delegates from Iowa on the second round at least I'd guess ?

 

[CPUd]

If Rand is on the first ballot, there are several unbound delegates who are No One But Paul and will stick with him. Overall there will be about 100-200 who will do the same for their respective candidate if they are on the ballot and can vote for them.

 

[Jan2017]

If Rand is on the first ballot, . . .

Rand has the one delegate from Iowa allocated to him, bulk of unbound delegates on the first ballot are
Pennsylvania (where the constitution was born) and Colorado (where the Libertarian Party was born).

Unbound first round delegate does NOT even have to cast a vote or can vote NONE, as Iowa delegate unbound did to George W

 

[Jan2017]

Hah, front page chart in today's April 5 Wall Street Journal shows Cruz as mathematically eliminated already . . .
with 463 delegates the chart shows Ted needs 102% of the bound delegates still left to allocate.

WSJ has Trump needing 501 delegates to go into the convention with nomination locked in . . .
that is 2/3 of the available bound delegates in their chart.

Unbound GOP delegates probably not Trump friendly (my assertion), goes along with their article that this will be a brokered convention.

 

[CPUd]

Here's another tool based on what they know about the situation on the ground:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/can-you-get-trump-to-1237/

 

[Jan2017]

Here's another tool based on what they know about the situation on the ground:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/can-you-get-trump-to-1237/

Those projections have Trump locking in before the 300 or so delegates on June 7 . . . amazingly not well grounded I think.

Colorado's delegates are all officially unbound . . . even if their preference is known.
Very doubtful that you can be adding in 7 Trump delegates like that chart "about the situation on the ground" says

". . . former Secretary of State Scott Gessler, state Rep. Justin Everett and former state Senate candidate Tony Sanchez — are all committed to Cruz.

Gessler ran on the official Cruz campaign slate and Everett and Sanchez also appeared on the Rocky Mountain Gun Owners ticket. Two of the three alternates — Carolyn Olson and Bill Eigles — were Cruz campaign delegates, and the final alternate is Ray Garcia, a Cruz supporter and state House candidate.

For the state convention, the list of potential national delegates favors Cruz — though the majority are declared as unpledged."

btw, Ted Cruz will be sued and barred from receiving Colorado electors in the electoral college as they are not constitutionally available to him,
even as the VP nominee on a GOP ticket.

 

[CPUd]

Those projections have Trump locking in before the 300 or so delegates on June 7 . . . amazingly not well grounded I think.

Colorado's delegates are all officially unbound . . . even if their preference is known.
Very doubtful that you can be adding in 7 Trump delegates like that chart "about the situation on the ground" says

". . . former Secretary of State Scott Gessler, state Rep. Justin Everett and former state Senate candidate Tony Sanchez — are all committed to Cruz.

Gessler ran on the official Cruz campaign slate and Everett and Sanchez also appeared on the Rocky Mountain Gun Owners ticket. Two of the three alternates — Carolyn Olson and Bill Eigles — were Cruz campaign delegates, and the final alternate is Ray Garcia, a Cruz supporter and state House candidate.

For the state convention, the list of potential national delegates favors Cruz — though the majority are declared as unpledged."

btw, Ted Cruz will be sued and barred from receiving Colorado electors in the electoral college as they are not constitutionally available to him,
even as the VP nominee on a GOP ticket.

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