Analysis of my Douglas County caucus in Colorado

playpianoking

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Remember, Colorado is a closed caucus to republicans only, and registration ended two months ago.

Out of the 632 eligible republicans in my precinct, only 30 showed up. My gf and I arrived at 6:15, (45 minutes early) and there were already four people that arrived ahead of us. While sitting down, a Romney guy in my precinct was passing out official Romney literature on people's desks. I made up copies of two charts on a sheet of paper ahead of time that my gf handed out. It listed the checkmark or 'x' of the candidates on issues, and my other chart listed the funding backers of Romney vs Paul (banks vs the people). She handed them out and we tried to seem like we weren't together so that way when I ran as a delegate people wouldn't know that I supported Paul, since our delegates our unbinding.

My gf and I volunteered to be the vote counters and handled picking up the ballots as well as tallying them aloud in front of everyone for both the preference poll and delegates.

But anyways, in the beginning the chair lady made us vote before anyone spoke for a candidate. Some objected and said that makes no sense and it's true that everyone has heard of this persuading before the vote. But it didn't really bother me as I wasn't going to speak for Paul as advised since I was going to run as a delegate and it would out myself. So we took the poll on our paper ballots.

My gf and I walked around and picked them up from people face down and then I put them all down on my desk and gave them to her as I picked them up one by one and read aloud for everyone. To my surprise, the first two votes were Ron Paul, and I thought oh, these are probably ours and they are just next to each other because we are sitting next to each other and that's the order they were picked up. Then, Newt Gingrich, and then a lot of Romneys, and then a string of Ron Paul after another. Turns out, Paul & Romney tied 11 a piece, Santorum 5, and Gingrich 3.

When it came time to run as a delegate, after each speaker (five of us ran) someone asked who do you support? lol. When it came to me due to the fact that Ron Paul was in a tied majority, I said that I support him. Everyone voted for two people as we would have two delegates and two alternates. I ended up in a tie for the #2 delegate and the rules say that we do a coin toss... I call heads and of course it was tails. So I'm the first alternate to the county convention.

Long story short, all of the Romney supporters voted for those delegates and the Paul supporters for me & the other proclaimed Paul supporter. This is why voter turnout is key. I'm so ashamed that so many people stayed at home. Just one more supporter would've turned the majority in favor of Paul and we would've had the two delegates hands down.

In summary, print out literature to bring to your caucus, and make sure you know who the Paul supporters are. You only want the best to run as a delegate, otherwise, the votes will be split. This is why my gf didn't run as a delegate even though we initially planned it. It was obvious who the two Paul supporters were that were running for delegate, so if another entered it would dilute our support.

Hope this helps!
 
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In summary, print out literature to bring to your caucus, and make sure you know who the Paul supporters are. You only want the best to run as a delegate, otherwise, the votes will be split. This is why my gf didn't run as a delegate even though we initially planned it. It was obvious who the two Paul supporters were that were running for delegate, so if another entered it would dilute our support.

Did you know beforehand how many delegates your precinct was electing? If you did, how did you find out (campaign or State GOP)?
 
Did you know beforehand how many delegates your precinct was electing? If you did, how did you find out (campaign or State GOP)?
No I did not know beforehand - but I tried to find out but didn't know who to ask. I thought that it was going to be 3 delegates and 3 alternates. It turns out that we had 2 delegates and 2 alternates. However, the chair speaker said that our precinct delegates are determined based on turnout, so if we had more people show up we would have been allotted more slots. I don't know the formula though.
 
Cool.

I see that in San Juan County, only 22 people voted out of 500 or so people that are eligible to vote. 8 each for Santorum and Romney, with Ron Paul getting 3. Only 6 votes away from winning. Man oh man, the campaign couldn't come up with 6 more voters?

Seems like this in most of the counties with lower populations.
 
I see that in San Juan County, only 22 people voted out of 500 or so people that are eligible to vote. 8 each for Santorum and Romney, with Ron Paul getting 3. Only 6 votes away from winning. Man oh man, the campaign couldn't come up with 6 more voters?

Seems like this in most of the counties with lower populations.
This is a psychological move I think the campaign should work on. Think about it - when candidates campaign in a state, they only go to the major cities. But what if they just went to low populated counties? Finding just 30 people to support you would be huge. Imagine on t.v. when they show the county map and having all of those lit up for Paul. Even though they aren't a lot of votes, future states start to see, oh those are rural areas, he must be the real conservative. Look how much of the state supports him!
 
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This is a psychological move I think the campaign should work on. Think about it - when candidates campaign in a state, they only go to the major cities. But what if they just went to low populated counties? Finding just 30 people to support you would be huge. Imagine on t.v. when they show the county map and having all of those lit up for Paul. Even though they aren't a lot of votes, future states start to see, oh those are rural areas, he must be the real conservative. Look how much of the state supports him!

Or we can rock 1 single university. Get 10K votes there, and win.
 
The campaign should go to as many counties as they can. But props for your participation. Caucuses are interesting, they are a double-edge sword...having to worry about people finding out who you support but being able to win with a such small group of people etc...such poor turn out in some places where we could win, not sure what to make of it.
 
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This is a psychological move I think the campaign should work on. Think about it - when candidates campaign in a state, they only go to the major cities. But what if they just went to low populated counties? Finding just 30 people to support you would be huge. Imagine on t.v. when they show the county map and having all of those lit up for Paul. Even though they aren't a lot of votes, future states start to see, oh those are rural areas, he must be the real conservative. Look how much of the state supports him!
 
I'm also in Douglas County - the one in Missouri - where 18.7% chose Ron Paul (state average 12.2%) in the non-binding primary. With 5 more votes here we would have beat Romney. In 2008 we had 99 more RP votes than this time. I am really pissed at all the people who chose not to vote here today.
 
So who got delegate #1 spot? A Romney supporter also?
Yes. The #1 spot was the husband of the woman running the show. It was a little shady we were supposed to have 1 minute speaking time. But he spoke for 5 minutes including his Q&A session. Abuse of power...
 
Thanks for the info and +rep for your work :)

This is a psychological move I think the campaign should work on. Think about it - when candidates campaign in a state, they only go to the major cities. But what if they just went to low populated counties? Finding just 30 people to support you would be huge. Imagine on t.v. when they show the county map and having all of those lit up for Paul. Even though they aren't a lot of votes, future states start to see, oh those are rural areas, he must be the real conservative. Look how much of the state supports him!
That's a very good point, it would potentially magnify the perceptual value of winning counties, is there any way we can turn this to the use of the grassroots so we don't have to wait on the official campaign to act on it?
Ideas anyone?
 
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