538 Project Now Predicts Trump Has 66% Chance Of Winning This Fall

jmdrake

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This contrasts to the thread [MENTION=3169]Anti Federalist[/MENTION] posted back on June 11 where 538 predicted a Biden win. I think these predictions are worthless at this point.

 
This contrasts to the thread [MENTION=3169]Anti Federalist[/MENTION] posted back on June 11 where 538 predicted a Biden win. I think these predictions are worthless at this point.



You're more than likely right, but I do have to look at what these polls, especially the RCP average of polls, were saying in past elections.

They've been pretty close.
 
It's impossible to predict at this stage. To start with we can't even predict if both candidates will be alive in November.
 
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