3rd in Iowa, 2nd in NH, 1st in South Carolina

[trey4sports]

2nd is a possibility. Ron is a fighter, and Newt, Santorum and Romney are all going to blow a lot of money in SC tearing eachother down. If we can slip in with positive ads we can have a strong 3rd, or a modest 2nd. A DeMint endorsement would help a lot. ZanZibar keeps telling us to watch DeMint on freedom watch any time "endorsement" is mentioned, so I'll be sure to do that.

that would be great, but i have this feeling that dude is blowing smoke up our ass on that one.

 

[Sarge]

What a bunch of negativity instead of how we get the votes.

Here was the 2008 numbers,

"John McCain 143,224 33.2% 19
Mike Huckabee 128,908 29.9 5
Fred D. Thompson 67,897 15.7 0
Mitt Romney 64,970 15.1 0
Ron Paul 15,773 3.7 0
Rudolph W. Giuliani 9,112 2.1 0
Duncan Hunter 1,035 0.2 0
Tom Tancredo 115 0.0 0
Others 162 0.0 0 "

Figure out how we get the Hucksters and Thompson votes this go around along with some of McCains and Rudy's.

Ron is way more popular than in 2008 and I think polls will show that soon.

Mitt hasn't got a better track record since 2008.

 

[abstrusezincate]

I don't know what to expect from SC, but if we finish fourth or worse, it will be near impossible to recover to any chance of nomination. People vote for winners.

The good news is third or even second should be doable. SC will act like IA in that the vote for the social cons will probably coalesce around one of the three. Romney gets his. We get ours. If that vote is fragmented enough and we build momentum, second might be possible.

But this isn't easy.

 

[Travlyr]

There is no need to dismiss a 1st place finish in South Carolina... realistic or not. First place finishers never target 3rd place.

 

[Warrior_of_Freedom]

It's good we did bad in 2008, now we can go nowhere but up. If we did good in 2008 and do not so good this year, it would have looked worse. Keeping my fingers crossed though, we got plenty of time to "surge"!!!

 

[KingNothing]

Good! Then I agree with their strategy. Official campaign is on the ball this time IMO.

I think they've run it perfect from the get-go.

Remember, people were calling for them to attack Huntsman in NH. That was silly, and attacking Santorum in Iowa would have been silly too. Nothing would have stopped the preachers and the party from asking the undecideds to rally around a non-Romney, non-Paul candidate. Of all candidates that might have been, Santorum was the best for us.

In South Carolina, it's a bit different. We can hopefully peal some votes from Santorum there, and cut his campaign off at that state. Newt will effectively limit Romney and try to prop his own campaign up at Mitten's expense, and Perry will make his last stand there in a most ineffectual manner. We'll see how it plays out, but the Paul campaign has been perfect thus far. I see no reason to doubt them now.

 

[bluesc]

that would be great, but i have this feeling that dude is blowing smoke up our ass on that one.

Check the latest thread on DeMint. Was talking up Ron on SC radio.

 

[PaleoPaul]

I think our goal should be to beat Gingrich. If we beat him, he has no choice BUT to drop out. I mean, he'll have lost to the 2 guys he hates the most (Paul and Romney), in a state that he's been aiming for the most!

 

[asurfaholic]

I am cautiously optimistic about SC. I feel that 2nd is most certainly doable, and 3rd is most likely. If we do take 4th, it will be super close, and I doubt it would hurt our momentum much. However, there are so many people here who scream bloody murder and start professing that there is no hope. We can't have that, FL will be a tough time, but after that the race is in Ron's court. We got to hold it together.

Btw... ron paul is asking for 10Million for the upcoming states, how are we going to get it to him? I just bought a new hoodie and some signs and stickers. Another donation after this week (house payment comes first).

 

[hueylong]

3rd, and/or 20% would be great.

 

[jay_dub]

There's only so much a campaign can do, but no one is operating in a vacuum. Expect the deck to get re-shuffled after NH. RP has momentum going into SC and he needs to be seen having momentum coming out of there. It's really time for some endorsements. If RP can't get some now, he never will and this will have to remain a grass roots movement from here on out.

 

[parocks]

At some time, Romney will have to be addressed.

 

[smtwngrl]

prepare yourself to be let down if you think a win in S.C. is possible. I'd be preparing for 4th/5th and be THRILLED with 3rd.

There's nothing wrong with aiming high is SC (as long as we aren't crushed by getting lower than we might like). We were in 4th before the NH primary, so there's no earthly reason we should expect 4th or less.

Remember the template Doug Wead talked about. The template they applied in Iowa, which worked so well, would also be applied in SC. They have started to, and will continue to do, that.

And consider also, the favorable response of South Carolinans to Ron Paul's speech last night.

We should expect at least 3rd, and aim for 2nd or 1st.

 

[ThePiousPriest]

If we want first, we must push hard, taking absolutely no prisoners or offering no quarter. The GOP establishment here HATES Ron Paul, but many folks here hate the establishment GOP. South Carolina can be won, but we must give everything we have to do so.

 

[Carehn]

There is no need to dismiss a 1st place finish in South Carolina... realistic or not. First place finishers never target 3rd place.

Thats right! We play to win!

 

[Steve-in-NY]

Gimme some 23% of SC to start! Onward!

 

[InTradePro]

I was telling people Santorum wasn't done in Iowa and we had to worry about South Carolina. We've got the material to take him down now and the time. Gingrich seemed unbeatable once too. (And while Gingrich is dropping in S.C. he needs to drop some more).

This graph is a little dated. Santorum peaked shortly after Iowa and had been slightly declining since. For example PPP had Santorum back down to 19% on January 5-7 poll.
Anticipate a Dr Paul climb and a Santorum and Gingrich fall to be shown in polls over the next week. Whether Dr Paul can get into 3rd I'm not sure, but the figured will be nearer in a week from now then those posted in the above graph.

 

[Danjlion7]

See guys, I told you it could be done! First in south Carolina!!!!!

 

[Danjlion7]

Bump.