380 Delegates for Ron Paul

[BUSHLIED]

It will be important to stop Romney in TX and CA for sure...he can't get the bulk of those.

 

[jbauer]

Well I apologize for my post pissing you off. I'm not a statistician but I do like numbers. FYI, I'm not involved in the fraud threads. In my brain I have to put numbers to the situation to make it make sense. I don't know if those numbers are acurate. I don't know what super delegates are going to whom. I don't what he'll pull today or in Cali or Texas etal.

What I do know, is the race isn't over. We have a slim chance but I'd rather have a chance then none. I hope that the others are right and Romney voters stay home. I tend to think that they'll still vote regardless. If the numbers were correct (and thats what this thread is about) a 15% increase in delegates for Romney is quite possible if anyone drops out of the race. However, if all 4 remain it would be hard for him to increase that much. So, to sum it up, I don't like our odds, but atleast we still have odds.

This is what is wrong with people on this site. You all think you are these great statisticians.

The previous states (with FAR more unbound and caucus states) mean NOTHING going forward. So to say that Romney should average the same percentage in the upcoming states and he did in the early ones is absurd. First of all...he picked up 90% tonight. And another 80% in three weeks. And at least 80% in California. And 80% of the superdelegates which apparently this absurd site is saying he has none?QUOTE]

 

[opinionatedfool]

Absolutely untrue delegate numbers. The media is off as well as this bogus chart above.

The process for putting this together is probably more accurate than the media's so why not spread these numbers around instead. The media's are even more off kilter. I think 380 may be possible after the first vote.

 

[gerryb]

Regardless, we need more delegates at national to choose the right chairman, and set the rules for 2016.

We also need everyone at the conventions in all the upcoming states.. to ensure we get the delegates, even if they are bound by past or future primaries.

 

[emazur]

So by what date will we have an accurate count of ALL delegates? And if it's not possible to find out b/c some are unbound, is there such a thing as unbound delegate polling?

 

[gerryb]

So by what date will we have an accurate count of ALL delegates? And if it's not possible to find out b/c some are unbound, is there such a thing as unbound delegate polling?

After each state's National delegate selection process has completed

 

[CTRattlesnake]

So by what date will we have an accurate count of ALL delegates? And if it's not possible to find out b/c some are unbound, is there such a thing as unbound delegate polling?

When all the contests are over and the state conventions are held.


That should be around July

 

[gerryb]

When all the contests are over and the state conventions are held.

Or District conventions.

 

[CTRattlesnake]

Or District conventions.

District conventions lead to state conventions

 

[digitaldean]

I want Paul going into FL and having:

Mitt get under 900-950 on the first vote
Newt plus Santorum should not reach over 800-850

So this way Paul gets a better chance at getting the nomination. Newt and Santorums people hate Mitt for the most part and very, very, few will go to Mitt. But Newt and Santorum share a lot of people but this way even if Santorum gets all of Newts people he still wont win.

Right now I think both Santorum and Newt wish they told people of VA to vote for Paul to help them out since 49 was almost as big as FL.