0% Change of a Brokered Convention?

[JordanQ72]

If Huckabee (or Paul) wins Kansas today, it's heading to a brokered convention.

Why?

 

[nc4rp]

this guy says Romney's plan is to let Huck win the states that otherwise mitt and Huck would split leaving Mcain winner. This allows Huck to compete and nudge Mcain into a brokered convention - where Mitt will step back in for negotiations (or step back in for the last few states after its mathmatical impossibilty for Mcain to win 1191 delegates.) #109 - Romney SUSPENDS his campaign i would guess this helps Paul in 2 ways - brokered convention, and also Paul is 3rd place still in the marathon leaving 7 months left to get the word out for Paul.

 

[Redcard]

Suspending the campaign in the Republican party is effectively ending it.

The delegates may be redistributed by the states. Romney has no bargaining chips.

No, Romney left because he didn't think he could catch McCain, he is a business man, he's looking at 2012, and he and his family are tired of spending the family fortune on something that won't return. That's it. It's not a CFR thing, or an NWO thing.. it's a business man making a purely business decision.

 

[Redcard]

AHe should have resigned immediately from Congress, to run for President.

At least next election, I will know, not to throw my support behind someone that keeps doors open, and has a way out. If youre not willing to burn bridges, so you can only go forward, you wont be getting my hard earned cash or my support. Period.

The man is 71 years old.

The decision he faced is 2 years in congress, or the end of his political career. He's not got much left, and that's NOT me being mean, it's just a fact of life. Once you're out of "the club" it's hard to get back in.

 

[affa]

We'll all laugh about this after Ron Paul wins the brokered convention.

 

[Elle]

This will help get us to a brokered convention.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?t=113576

 

[speciallyblend]

well i guess ,ill have to let republicans know they will not be getting my vote if there is a 0% chance of a brokered convention,then there is a 0% chance the republican party can win,and im making sure of it.

 

[JordanQ72]

this guy says Romney's plan is to let Huck win the states that otherwise mitt and Huck would split leaving Mcain winner.

The remaining states that are winner take all are quite few in number, and don't favor Huckabee anyway. There is no conspiracy. Romney's a shrewd player, that's it. He's blasted through $50 million of his own money to be in a 400+ delegate deficit with McCain. There is no direct win out of this. On the other hand, there's no reason to drop out when you can suspend a campaign at this point. McCain is pretty old, there's a chance he might be dead before a convention, or Huckabee might very well outdo McCain, but only into a brokered convention. The chance of either are rather small, but it costs him nothing to not officially drop out, he's not really planning on either, just playing the game shrewdly.

 

[speciallyblend]

reading his letter , i think its best he drops out of the race. the republican party doesnt matter to me anymore.

 

[hvac ak47]

100% incorrect...he needs a majority of delegates from 5 states once the convention is brokered not before.

Well if he doesnt have the majority after its brokered its over anyways!

 

[JordanQ72]

100% incorrect...he needs a majority of delegates from 5 states once the convention is brokered not before.

WRONG

Where is your proof for this? The requirements to even be listed for convention consideration are before any by-laws outlining a brokered convention, none of which say that rules previous don't apply anymore.

 

[coffeewithchess]

I thin the chances are better without romney, since him and huck were splitting the anti-mccain vote. But we'll see after today if my speculation holds.

I'm thinking the same thing. Also, I don't understand how the media is saying the Democrats could end up with a brokered convention with only two candidates remaining they will talk about(being that they ignore Mike Gravel).

 

[Redcard]

The Democrats are going to a brokered convention, where it's likely they'll go dream ticket of Obama/Clinton.

 

[slantedview]

it is SITLL POSSIBLE, which is enough for me

 

[TruthAtLast]

There still COULD be a brokered convention but the he is right that the chances are slim.

If McCain wins a few of the major states, he'll have enough delegates to win outright. And if he doesn't, he'll still have a commanding lead in the first round of the GNC. He only needs 51% on the first round ballot to win.

With Romney in the race, he would have likely won several of the remaining states and his & Huck's delegates would have practically guaranteed that McNugget wouldn't have 51% in the first round.

The only shot at this point is if

1. Romney's supporters shift to Huckabee. This is possible because many hate McCain, but even if he doesn't get 1191 he'll still have the overwhelming majority at the GNC. Huck has surprised before but the chances are slim.
2. Ron Paul surprises and somehow manages to pull off a few upsets including a big state like Texas. If that happened, then there might be light at the end of the tunnel, but again RP isn't saying that it is IMPOSSIBLE. He is just saying that the chances are very slim.

Honestly, I think he is worried about losing the nomination AND his Congressional seat. He is right that the media would spin it as a major blow to our cause. Much of the gain we've fought for might be taken back.

We need to continue to support Ron but more importantly we need to continue to support the CAUSE.

Do all of you REALLY believe in what we are fighting for or were you just on the RON PAUL bandwagon? I think that we are all in this together and we have the power to take this to a new level.

Here is what we must do:

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?t=116908

 

[Redcard]

I love how you guys talk about John McCain being old , as though he might kick at anytime.

He's almost a year YOUNGER than Ron Paul!

Geeze, stop pretending like age is an issue here.

 

[CurtisLow]

Key word being nearly zero.

And plus, Ron didn't write that email. I just can't hear him saying "Chances are nearly zero", his vocabulary is much broader.

That's what I thought!

 

[speciallyblend]

wont miss you either

STFU or GTFO. Your choice. We won't miss you.

See you when it's sunny and warm.

you enjoy voting for mccain/huckabee now ya here;0 dont forget to let the government to allow you to purchase your sunny warm days for you.

I'll vote ron paul but i will not become a sheep of the gop. thank you wont miss you either ..