Recent content by johndeal

The Danish study failed to show masks significantly reduce infections in the wearer. 1.8% of those provided with masks and 2.1% of those not provided masks contracted covid. To show that observed 0.3% difference was statistically significant they would have needed to enroll 80,000 subjects.

So Roy Moore or Mo Brooks? Are either of them worth supporting? Got a call from a Brannon guy asking for donations for Roy Moore.

I know I'm not adding a lot to the conversation here but isn't it ironic that a guy who wants casinos wants to prohibit marijuana? I mean if you think one is a vice and should be outlawed shouldn't you also want gambling outlawed? Gambling is addictive (unlike marijuana) and causes more...

So will we pick up any seats this year? Brannon lost. Is there anyone else in the vein of Massie or Amash that has a chance? Or even Brat?

41-26 McCain-Ward in the latest PPP polling. I don't know what to make of this race.

I wish Bydlak had been elected to some local office first but I also think this seat is too valuable for her not to give it a shot. An open seat in a solid Republican district with what should be a beatable opponents. She's the only female contender. Evers (a state senator), Gaetz (a state...

The main competition seems to be Matt Gaetz, who has $340k ($113K from himself) on hand and is a sitting member of the FL state house. Bydlak didn't file in March (I don't know if she entered the race then). This would be an ideal house seat to target if we had a candidate who had been...

Seems like a reasonable bet. Any info on how she's doing on the ground?

Last August she was up 45-36% in a Gravis poll with 844 Republican primary voters. At the end of January this year McCain was up 47-11% among 221 republicans and 177 independents in a Behavior research poll. I'm not sure how to interpret those results.

Brannon is one of our best shots this cycle and he's the real deal. The CD2 race works out really well for him in the primary. There will be no run-off after the primary and he's running against two sitting congressmen - Ellmers and Holding. Ellmers is the representative from the old CD2 but...

No run-off. With two sitting congressmen running Brannon will have his best shot. Definitely better than his Senate runs. If Holding and Ellmers split the establishment vote and Brannon can match what he got in the senate primaries I like his chances with lower voter turnout. It will be very...

Sorry I wasn't specific enough. The campaign emailed to ask for money. I replied and asked what was different about the campaign this time. No reply. I donated >$1000 last time. If he runs a better campaign I think he can win this time but not responding to donors doesn't strike me as though...

I'm in the same boat. I want to know who's running his campaign this time around too. I'm ready to donate if he has a decent shot at this.

Thank you for your $500.00 contribution to my campaign. Your transaction ID is 2525973. And I'm maxed out for this cycle. Maybe I'll have to make some phone calls now.

This is what he needed last time and he would have won the nomination. What are his chances this time around?