Why is gold price following the DJIA now?

ForrestLayne

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Jan 6, 2008
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They used to move opposite until the last couple of weeks. Anybody know what's changed? Market is up today and so is gold.
 
Gold tracks many things and it seems to switch between them from time to time.

It is affected by inflation [the markets, the inverse of dollar index, the euro, oil], and fear.
 
Don't bother trying to read short term moves. All that matters is what happens in the long term.
 
I wouldn't really even say that Gold tracked the DJIA the last couple of days anyway. Gold spiked each of the last two days very early in the day and then traded in a pretty narrow band the rest of the day. I haven't really noticed any sustained correlation between the two over the past couple of days.
 
gold up before due to safehaven from stock sale benefits. gold up now due to popping of the dollar balloon. People who want to "protect" liquid wealth put it in 3 places: equities, US Bonds/treasurres, or gold. Stocks have run their course to the bottom and now its time for the dollar.
 
This week's been a nice bear-market rally, very typical in such an environment. The bottom - the real bottom will probably be somewhere in the 5000-5500 range.
 
This week's been a nice bear-market rally, very typical in such an environment. The bottom - the real bottom will probably be somewhere in the 5000-5500 range.

That seems high to me, unless we see massive inflation, but we'll see. It depends to what degree the politicians continue to be boneheaded. And most of all, it depends on us being able to continue to borrow money.

Whenever that ends, the jig's really up.
 
Because the stock market is an irrational casino betting circus?
 
Maybe we're finally starting to adjust for inflation.

Perhaps the DOW didn't actually climb in value by 9% this week. The dollar simply lost 9% of its purchasing power.

(Don't panic, I'm no expert, that's just my crackpot theory)
 
The supply of GOLD is drying up thruout the world as people are losing faith in pieces of paper with numbers on them .

FROM KITCO


INTERNATIONAL. Demand for gold coins has risen sharply as interest in the precious metal soars on financial instability and investors' appetite for assets seen as a safe store of value,

Investors have used gold as a shelter from the impact of the deteriorating economy on other assets, pushing the price up and making jewellery expensive for consumers with shrinking disposable income. Demand for physical gold products such as coins and bars has been particularly strong, traders say.

The Royal Canadian Mint, which produces Maple Leaf bullion coins, said it quadrupled its production capacity late last year as demand for gold and silver bullion products leapt.

Gold is being driven by concern about the financial system and lack of confidence in paper currencies,” said Adrian Day, the president of Adrian Day’s Asset Management in Annapolis, Maryland. “All the pressure is on the upside.”

The United States Mint said sales of its one-ounce American Eagle gold bullion coins rocketed to 710,000 ounces in 2008, from 140,000 ounces a year before.

"The demand for gold and silver has been unprecedented," a spokesman for the Mint told Reuters.

The chairman of the French Mint, Christophe Beaux, said sales roughly doubled last year in value terms and are expected to rise by another 50% this year.

The 2009 catalog the mint had produced was almost entirely pre-sold, he said. The French Mint produces 100 euro gold coins, and plans to mint 10-ounce and 1-kilo coins this year.

In South Africa, the world's third-largest gold producer, Natanya van Niekerk, deputy general manager for numismatics at the South African Mint Company, said she had seen a big increase in demand for gold.

"I think we will see this same trend in this and the next quarter," she said. "Gold surely has been resilient in these times."

Michael O'Kane, head bullion trader at the New Zealand Mint, said many overseas buyers had come into the New Zealand market. "We're seen as a safe-haven market," he said.

He said buying had been strong since the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers in September, as investors moved money from banks into hard assets like gold.

The mint was averaging "a month's transactions in a day," he said, adding he saw demand continuing to rise.

Gold sales in Dubai's traditional jewellery market have collapsed mainly because of the decline in tourist arrivals. Local jewelers who have been waiting for a big chunk of tourists said that less and less tourists inflow to the city has badly affected the sale of the yellow metal.

Retail sales in Abu Dhabi’s gold market have fallen by more than 70%, according to the Gold and Jewellery Group, due to high prices. There will be fewer and fewer people who can afford the intricate jewellery pieces in their windows.

But despite, high prices, demand has been soaring for physical gold which is seen as a long-term investemnet and a safe store of value.

As a result, there was an acute shortage of gold coins in Dubai, during the recent shopping festival.

“People are coming and asking for gold coins. But there is a terrible shortage of gold coins. Many gold and jewllery shops in Dubai do not have the stocks of gold coins,” said a manager with Joy Alukkas, a leading Dubai jeweller.
 
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