Why is Bear Stearns Trading at $6 Instead of $2?

roguepatriot

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Excellent article:

http://www.hussman.net/wmc/wmc080324.htm

My favorite part:

"Bear Stearns is trading at $6 instead of $2 because unelected bureaucrats went beyond their legal mandates, delivered a windfall to a single private company at public expense, entered agreements that violate the the public trust, and created a situation where even if the bureaucratic malfeasance stands, the shareholders of Bear Stearns will either reject the deal or be deprived of their right to determine the fate of the company they own. Very simply, Bear Stearns is still in play. Still, when all is said and done, my own impression is that the ultimate value of the stock will not be $2, but exactly zero.

In effect, the Federal Reserve decided last week to overstep its legal boundaries – going beyond providing liquidity to the banking system and attempting to ensure the solvency of a non-bank entity. Specifically, the Fed agreed to provide a $30 billion “non-recourse loan” to J.P. Morgan, secured only by the worst tranche of Bear Stearns' mortgage debt. But the bank – J.P. Morgan – was in no financial trouble. Instead, it was effectively offered a subsidy by the Fed at public expense. Rick Santelli of CNBC is exactly right. If this is how the U.S. government is going to operate in a democratic, free-market society, “we might as well put a hammer and sickle on the flag.”"
 
What was left out of most of the news stories was the fact that the
agreed upon purchase price for Bear Stearns shares was set at a
percentage of JP Morgan Chase share price. So as JP Morgan Chase
shares rise so dose the purchase price per share of Bear Stearns.

The $2 that was reported was the price based on the JP Morgan Chase
share price at the time.

Edit:
bloomberg.com said:
JPMorgan will give investors 0.05473 shares of its common stock for every one share of Bear Stearns stock they own.
Source

So on the 14th JP Morgan Chase closed at $36.54. $36.54 * 0.05473 = 1.9998342 ~ $2.00
On the 20th, JP Morgan Chase closed at $46.40, so $46.40 * 0.05473 = 2.539472 ~ $2.54

So if there is hope that JP Morgan Chase would go higher then Bear Stearns shares obviously
would be worth more.
 
Last edited:
There are still ongoing negotiations. JPMorgan is talking about upping their bid to $10 now.

Also, a lot of the rise last week was due to short sellers covering their huge gains and speculators coming in to profit off of the temporary rise.
 
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