Who's Really Top Tier?

[Paul4Prez]

All of the candidates (all 95 declared Republicans so far) are listed here:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/candidates.phtml

I propose a very simple and objective system for the various tiers:

Top Tier = raised millions of dollars, polling in double digits nationally:

Mitt Romney
Rick Perry
Ron Paul
Michelle Bachmann

Middle Tier = raised millions of dollars, polling in single digits nationally:

Newt Gingrich
Jon Huntsman
Herm Cain

Bottom Tier = less than one million raised, very little support:

Rick Santorum (former Pennsylvania Senator)
Gary Johnson (former New Mexico Governor)
Fred Karger (raised $266K)
Thaddeus McCotter (Michigan Congressman)
Roy Moore (former Alabama Chief Justice)
Buddy Roemer (former Louisiana Governor)
Allen West (Florida Congressman) [note -- draft candidate]
L. John Davis, Jr (raised $136K)

Novelty Candidates = no state or national political exposure, very little cash:

80 other guys you've never heard of.

 

[Cleaner44]

Right on the money... nailed it.

 

[Esoteric]

Right on the money... nailed it.

Except that Allen West isn't running.

 

[Zarn Solen]

I agree with this. Something tells me either Romney or Perry is going to fall flat at some point before winter. I got that funny feeling, but I could be wrong. I would rather have Paul in a two person top tier race or in a race with many candidates.

Even if we win the GOP nomination, I think we have a three way race for the general:

Jedi Candidates

Brian J. Moran of Texas
• FEC P80003577
• Declaration of Intent of Candidacy: Tuesday 26 July 2011

 

[anaconda]

It's Romney vs. whomever can keep their numbers inching up as he begins to implode. Perry is going to flop, and I think Bachmann will stumble as well. I would say it's Mittens to lose and Paul is the only one with staying power that might catch him.

 

[Paul4Prez]

Except that Allen West isn't running.

The Green Papers site says he filed a Declaration of Intent on 4/26/11, but maybe they are mistaken. The 2 committees listed for him are both unauthorized draft efforts.

 

[CaptainAmerica]

It's Romney vs. whomever can keep their numbers inching up as he begins to implode. Perry is going to flop, and I think Bachmann will stumble as well. I would say it's Mittens to lose and Paul is the only one with staying power that might catch him.

Paul will get it if he can go the distance

 

[Justinfrom1776]

Damn, old whisker face John Bolton isn't even bottom tier?

 

[Paul4Prez]

Bachmann is in danger of falling into the middle tier, polling around 9 or 10 percent nationally.

 

[Napolitanic Wars]

This thread is like the No Spin Zone...except without the spin.