Best I can tell , the private ins co.'s were only turning an avg of 2 to 3 percent profit before . Can they survive ? I dunno , but someone who does the books for one of these companies would have a pretty good idea....
I don't know what their profit margin is but I know they are operating at a much bigger threshold of "administrative cost" right now than the 15 to 20% mandated by Obamacare... I forget the actual statistic, read it a couple years ago in an article I can't find now. I think it's well above 35 cents of every healthcare dollar in the US that gets spent on non-actual care costs by the private insurance companies.
They can still turn a profit, they will just need to scale back on marketing and advertising (a huge portion of their admin costs), bloated CEO salaries (not that there's anything wrong with a guy making tens of millions of dollars per year while they deny coverage to people dying of cancer like they tried to do to my neighbor and dear friend before she died), and they will need to operate more efficiently.
I will probably take a lot of flack for saying this on this forum, but healthcare is one area in which I am very UN-Libertarian. I know plenty of people who live in Canada who love their healthcare, and the timeliness and quality of it. And it costs them far less as a portion of their taxes than it does here for us. I know someone who lives in Sweden who is a lifelong Libertarian, and after living there a year or so, she has decided she loves their universal healthcare.
Most people don't mind paying taxes for firemen, even though most of us will never need their help in our lifetimes. I don't see healthcare as much different in a civilized society... If they are going to tax the hell out of me I would much rather have it pay for my healthcare, and for the healthcare of others who can't afford it, than to spend it on killing hundreds of thousands of innocent people overseas, and then spending billions more rebuilding all the shit we just blew up. Just saying.
As long as the actual healthcare PROVIDERS are kept in the private sector--doctors, hospitals, etc.--I would actually prefer a single payer system. In Canada something like only 8 cents of every healthcare dollar is spent on non-actual care costs. The insurance there spends over 90% on actual healthcare.
Health insurance is basically a socialist mechanism to begin with, albeit a voluntary one, carried out by a private entity. (Or, it USED to be voluntary!) You give them your money, they pool it, and then whoever needs it gets it... Only since they operate for a profit, that often isn't even true. Sometimes those who need it don't get it, and they are told "well, we don't know what happened to your premium last month; we're thinking it might have been a computer glitch, but it's too late now, we can't reinstate your policy." True story... But back to the point, "socialism" isn't all that different from what health insurance is already doing now, with pooling people's money and doling it out.
Those who worry about so-called "death panels," I have news for you: The private insurance companies already have death panels, and have for decades. It's called "Utilization Review." Google it. Just ask my friend Cathy about Utilization Review... Well, I mean once you get to heaven, you can ask my friend Cathy about the death panels.
The only entity I trust less than the government is private health insurance companies who operate for a profit. Sorry, this is the one area in which I am not Libertarian. Just being honest. It's not that I think healthcare is a right; I just think a single payer system would actually operate better and more efficiently than what we have now. If the government is going to make me pay for something, at least get my costs down and don't give me any bullshit when I need my care paid for. I wouldn't feel this way if I didn't know so many people who live in countries with a single payer system, but I do, and none of them have any complaints. Most of them think we are crazy in the US for not having it.