Ten Economic Charts To Consider...

DamianTV

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http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/...off-than-just-before-the-last-economic-crisis

(Material below is quoted from the article. I didnt use Quote tags for Formatting.)

If you believe that ignorance is bliss, you might not want to read this article. I am going to dispel the notion that there has been any sort of “economic recovery”, and I am going to show that we are much worse off than we were just prior to the last economic crisis. If you go back to 2007, people were feeling really good about things. Houses were being flipped like crazy, the stock market was booming and unemployment was relatively low. But then the financial crisis of 2008 struck, and for a while it felt like the world was coming to an end. Of course it didn’t come to an end – it was just the first wave of our problems. The waves that come next are going to be the ones that really wipe us out. Unfortunately, because we have experienced a few years of relative stability, many Americans have become convinced that Barack Obama, Janet Yellen and the rest of the folks in Washington D.C. have fixed whatever problems caused the last crisis. Even though all of the numbers are screaming otherwise, there are millions upon millions of people out there that truly believe that everything is going to be okay somehow. We never seem to learn from the past, and when this next economic downturn strikes it is going to do an astonishing amount of damage because we are already in a significantly weakened state from the last one.

For each of the charts that I am about to share with you, I want you to focus on the last shaded gray bar on each chart which represents the last recession. As you will see, our economic problems are significantly worse than they were just before the financial crisis of 2008. That means that we are far less equipped to handle a major economic crisis than we were the last time.

#1 The National Debt

Just prior to the last recession, the U.S. national debt was a bit above 9 trillion dollars. Since that time, it has nearly doubled. So does that make us better off or worse off? The answer, of course, is obvious. And even though Barack Obama promises that “deficits are under control”, more than a trillion dollars was added to the national debt in fiscal year 2014. What we are doing to future generations by burdening them with so much debt is beyond criminal. And so what does Barack Obama want to do now? He wants to ramp up government spending and increase the debt even faster. This is something that I covered in my previous article entitled “Barack Obama Says That What America Really Needs Is Lots More Debt“.

Presentation-National-Debt-425x282.png


#2 Total Debt

Over the past 40 years, the total amount of debt in the United States has skyrocketed to astronomical heights. We have become a “buy now, pay later” society with devastating consequences. Back in 1975, our total debt level was sitting at about 2.5 trillion dollars. Just prior to the last recession, it was sitting at about 50 trillion dollars, and today we are rapidly closing in on 60 trillion dollars.

Presentation-Credit-Market-Instruments-425x282.png


#3 The Velocity Of Money

When an economy is healthy, money tends to change hands and circulate through the system quite rapidly. So it makes sense that the velocity of money fell dramatically during the last recession. But why has it kept going down since then?

Presentation-Velocity-Of-M2-425x282.png


#4 The Homeownership Rate

Were you aware that the rate of homeownership in the United States has fallen to a 20 year low? Traditionally, owning a home has been a sign that you belong to the middle class. And the last recession was really rough on the middle class, so it makes sense that the rate of homeownership declined during that time frame. But why has it continued to steadily decline ever since?

Presentation-Homeownership-Rate-425x282.png


#5 The Employment Rate

Barack Obama loves to tell us how the unemployment rate is “going down”. But as I will explain later in this article, this decline is primarily based on accounting tricks. Posted below is a chart of the civilian employment-population ratio. Just prior to the last recession, approximately 63 percent of the working age population of the United States was employed. During the recession, this ratio fell to below 59 percent and it stayed there for several years. Just recently it has peeked back above 59 percent, but we are still very, very far from where we used to be, and now the next economic downturn is rapidly approaching.

Presentation-Employment-Population-Ratio-425x282.png


#6 The Labor Force Participation Rate

So how can Obama get away with saying that the unemployment rate has gone down dramatically? Well, each month the government takes thousands upon thousands of long-term unemployed workers and decides that they have been unemployed for so long that they no longer qualify as “part of the labor force”. As a result, the “labor force participation rate” has fallen substantially since the end of the last recession…

Presentation-Labor-Force-Participation-Rate-425x282.png


#7 The Inactivity Rate For Men In Their Prime Working Years

If things are “getting better”, then why are so many men in their prime working years doing nothing at all? Just prior to the last recession, the inactivity rate for men in their prime working years was about 9 percent. Today it is just about 12 percent.

Presentation-Inactivity-Rate-425x282.png


#8 Real Median Household Income

Not only is a smaller percentage of Americans employed today than compared to just prior to the last recession, the quality of our jobs has gone down as well. This is one of the factors which has resulted in a stunning decline of real median household income.

Presentation-Real-Median-Household-Income-425x282.png


I have shared these next numbers before, but they bear repeating. In America today, most Americans do not make enough to support a middle class lifestyle on a single salary. The following figures come directly from the Social Security Administration…

- 39 percent of American workers make less than $20,000 a year.
- 52 percent of American workers make less than $30,000 a year.
- 63 percent of American workers make less than $40,000 a year.
- 72 percent of American workers make less than $50,000 a year.

We all know people that are working part-time jobs because that is all that they can find in this economy. As the quality of our jobs continues to deteriorate, the numbers above are going to become even more dismal.

#9 Inflation

Even as our incomes have stagnated, the cost of living just continues to rise steadily. For example, the cost of food and beverages has gone up nearly 50 percent just since the year 2000.

Presentation-Food-Inflation-425x282.png


#10 Government Dependence

As the middle class shrinks and the number of Americans that cannot independently take care of themselves soars, dependence on the government is reaching unprecedented heights. For instance, the federal government is now spending about twice as much on food stamps as it was just prior to the last recession. How in the world can anyone dare to call this an “economic recovery”?

Presentation-Government-Spending-On-Food-Stamps-425x282.png


So you tell me – are things “getting better” or are they getting worse?

To me, it is crystal clear that we are in much worse condition than we were just prior to the last economic crisis.

And now things are setting up in textbook fashion for the next great economic crisis. Unfortunately, most Americans are totally clueless about what is going on and the vast majority are completely and totally unprepared for what is coming.

(Article above quoted without Quote Tags. I did not write it. Reference Articles in top link not copied.)
 
The only people who have seen any notable growth and profit are the millionaires and billionaires since the '08 crash. By default we'll see another bust here shortly. No doubt about it. Wait for it...
 
The only people who have seen any notable growth and profit are the millionaires and billionaires since the '08 crash. By default we'll see another bust here shortly. No doubt about it. Wait for it...

October'ish, but everything else seems to be gaining speed for the world possibly dumping the dollar as the Reserve Currency, so it is possible it will be sooner than that. One things for sure, when this crash happens, nothing will be the same after that. There was no Economic Recovery for the now extinct Middle Class even in the last one, and that was just a warm-up for whats to come.
 
Noting that the "Black Hole" article was five years ago and most of those factors listed have improved. #1 was there are going to be another huge wave of mortgage defaults as adjustable mortages kicked in.

#1) Do you remember that massive wave of subprime mortgages that defaulted in 2007 and 2008 and caused the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression? Well, the “second wave” of mortgage defaults in on the way and there is simply no way that we are going to be able to avoid it. A huge mountain of mortgages is going to reset starting in 2010, and once those mortgage payments go up there are once again going to be millons of people who simply cannot pay their mortgages.

The-Second-Wave-Of-Mortgage-Defaults.bmp


Article three years after that and two years ago: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...rash-fades-as-defaults-decline-to-2007-levels The "second wave" never really hit.

Housing Crash Fades as Defaults Decline to 2007 Levels

May 6 (Bloomberg) -- Six years after the start of the foreclosure crisis, American homeowners are paying their mortgages like the housing crash never happened.
First-time delinquent home loans fell to 0.84 percent of the 50.2 million mortgages in March, the first month below 1 percent since 2007, before a wave of defaults led to the financial crisis, according to a report today by Lender Processing Services Inc. The rate of first-time defaults, defined as loans that went from performing to at least 60 days delinquent, peaked at 2.89 percent in January 2009.

The decline in new problem loans shows that the recovering U.S. economy, falling unemployment and rising home prices, combined with more than four years of banks’ tightening lending standards, are propelling the worst real estate crash since the Great Depression into the rearview mirror.

Foreclosures actually peaked at the time of the article.

#2) was tougher credit for home loans. That was a good thing- the reason housing collapsed and there were so many forclosures was that loans were being issued which never should have been given out (no- doc loans for example).

#3) It is getting really hard to find a job in the United States. A total of 6,130,000 U.S. workers had been unemployed for 27 weeks or more in December 2009. That was the most ever since the U.S. government started keeping track of this statistic in 1948. In fact, it is more than double the 2,612,000 U.S. workers who were unemployed for a similar length of time in December 2008. The reality is that once Americans lose their jobs they are increasingly finding it difficult to find new ones.

That 6.1 million people out of work 27 weeks or more is now down to 2.7 million. Less than half what it was and about the 2008 figure (despite the population now being higher).

#4) In December, there were also 929,000 “discouraged” workers who are not counted as part of the labor force because they have “given up” looking for work. That is the most since the U.S. government first started keeping track of discouraged workers in 1949. Many Americans have simply given up and are now chronically unemployed.

Discouraged workers (people not looking for work because they think there is no job for them) is down to 730,000.

#10) The number of Americans who are going broke is staggering. 1.41 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009 – a 32 percent increase over 2008.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014...l-bankruptcy-filings-to-idUSFit72989920140908

Fitch: U.S. Personal Bankruptcy Filings to Drop to Lowest Level in 7 Years

The U.S. economy's measured improvement coupled with more prudent consumers will result in personal bankruptcies falling to levels not seen since 2007, according to Fitch Ratings in a new report. Personal bankruptcy filings are currently 12% lower year-over-year through mid-August. Fitch projects total filings for 2014 to fall below one million for the first time in seven years, the fourth straight year of annual declines.

#11) For decades, the fact that the U.S. dollar was the reserve currency of the world gave the U.S. financial system an unusual degree of stability. But all of that is changing. Foreign countries are increasingly turning away from the dollar to other currencies. For example, Russia’s central bank announced on Wednesday that it had started buying Canadian dollars in a bid to diversify its foreign exchange reserves.

Everybody has heard about the dollar now at record highs against foreign currencies and Russia is selling their foreign currencies to prop up the ruble.
 
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How about the original charts?

#6 The Labor Force Participation Rate

So how can Obama get away with saying that the unemployment rate has gone down dramatically? Well, each month the government takes thousands upon thousands of long-term unemployed workers and decides that they have been unemployed for so long that they no longer qualify as “part of the labor force”. As a result, the “labor force participation rate” has fallen substantially since the end of the last recession…

People who remove themselves from the labor market by saying they are not looking for work remove themselves from the labor force. The government does not make that decision. As long as you say you are looking for a job (or already have one)- no matter how long- you are in the labor force. Why have people left the labor force? Three million leave the labor force every month in the form of baby boomers retiring. Then we have the rise in stay at home moms and dads (the number of stay at home dads has doubled in recent years). Then we also have students who decide not to work but to improve their education and skills by going to school instead. Despite all these people leaving and the population growing, the labor force participation rate has actually been basically flat the last two years- it is no longer falling. Plus some who simply choose not to work for whatever reason. The total number of people not in the labor force is 92 million people. http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t16.htm "Discouraged workers"- those who feel they can't find a job and have given up only amount to 750,000 of those.

#7 The Inactivity Rate For Men In Their Prime Working Years

If things are “getting better”, then why are so many men in their prime working years doing nothing at all? Just prior to the last recession, the inactivity rate for men in their prime working years was about 9 percent. Today it is just about 12 percent.

"Inactivity rate" is those not currently in the labor force. Some reasons for this listed above- in school, stay at home parents, those who simply don't want to work for whatever reason. Note also that this is not just a trend of the recession but one started as far back as 1980.


I have shared these next numbers before, but they bear repeating. In America today, most Americans do not make enough to support a middle class lifestyle on a single salary. The following figures come directly from the Social Security Administration…

- 39 percent of American workers make less than $20,000 a year.
- 52 percent of American workers make less than $30,000 a year.
- 63 percent of American workers make less than $40,000 a year.
- 72 percent of American workers make less than $50,000 a year.

What qualifies as a "middle class lifestyle" and how much money does it take to afford one? Do we need 1.9 cars, three televisions and four cell phones per household to qualify? (50 years ago what we have would be upper middle class) If you have just $10,000 in net wealth, you are richer than 70% of the planet. http://www.statista.com/statistics/203930/global-wealth-distribution-by-net-worth/

American's have a median net wealth (half have more, half have less) of $44,900 - 19th in the world. http://money.cnn.com/2014/06/11/news/economy/middle-class-wealth/

Our average net wealth is skewed by a large number of very wealthy people but that is over $300,000.
 
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Noting that the "Black Hole" article was five years ago and most of those factors listed have improved. #1 was there are going to be another huge wave of mortgage defaults as adjustable mortages kicked in.

Killjoy. You're supposed to wait for someone to support it first before you point out that this blog has been singing the exact same imminent doom tune for half a decade.
 
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