Strong solar storm hits Earth may pull northern lights south

Suzanimal

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Once in a lifetime chance for most of us, keep your eyes open if you live in these areas.:)

WASHINGTON (AP) - A severe solar storm smacked Earth with a surprisingly big geomagnetic jolt Tuesday, potentially affecting power grids and GPS tracking while pushing the colorful northern lights farther south, federal forecasters said.

So far no damage has been reported. Two blasts of magnetic plasma left the sun on Sunday, combined and arrived on Earth about 15 hours earlier and much stronger than expected, said Thomas Berger, director of the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado.

This storm ranks a 4, called severe, on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 1-to-5 scale for geomagnetic effects. It is the strongest solar storm to blast Earth since the fall of 2013. It's been nearly a decade since a level 5 storm, termed extreme, has hit Earth.

Forecasters figured it would come late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning; instead, it arrived just before 10 a.m. EDT. They had forecast it to be a level 1.

"It's significantly stronger than expected," Berger said. Forecasters had predicted a glancing blow instead of dead-on hit. Another theory is that the combination of the two storms made it worse, but it's too early to tell if that's so, he said.

The storm seemed to be weakening slightly, but that may not continue, and it could last all day, officials said. It has the potential to disrupt power grids but only temporarily. It also could cause degradation of the global positioning system, so tracking maps and locators may not be as precise as normal.

Often these types of storms come with bursts of radiation that can affect satellite operations, but this one has not, Berger said.

But the most noticeable effect is usually considered a positive. The Aurora Borealis or northern lights that usually can be viewed only in the far north will dip south, so more people should be able to enjoy the colorful sky show. Forecasters were not sure just how far south it would be visible.

Forecasters said early Tuesday, before sunrise, auroras were already seen in the northern tier of the U.S., such as Washington state, North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Space Weather branch chief Brent Gordon said if the storm effects continued through Tuesday evening, there was a "very strong possibility" that the northern lights could be seen as far south as the middle United States, even Tennessee and Oklahoma. That also means much of Russia and northern Europe, as far south as central Germany and Poland, had the potential for the sky show.

The sky has to be clear of clouds but the crescent moon will appear small enough it shouldn't interfere with viewing of the aurora is in the sky, Gordon said.

http://www.myfoxatlanta.com/story/2...orm-hits-earth-may-pull-northern-lights-south
 
Couldn't see anything. Does it matter where I look ? I can see plenty of stars. So cloud cover is favorable. I'd imagine it would have to be everywhere or just in the North ?
 
I suppose it's too much to hope that I get to see it in the Carolinas tonight?

I dunno. They're saying Tennessee has a shot, I don't see why NC wouldn't, as well. I would take a peek if I were you. It would really stink to wake up and find out you missed the chance to see a once in a lifetime event.
 
The links at this site ought to help.

As I mentioned in my last blog, predicting where the northern lights will be visible is a very difficult science. We do not fully understand and are not able to predict very far in advance many of the phenomena that are involved with the aurora borealis.

That be said, we do feel that there is a pretty good chance at southern locations (what is southern? We will get into that in a bit) seeing the northern lights tonight. Why is that?

This explanation is from astronomy expert Daniel Vogler, "Tonight will be another opportune time to see the northern lights. A big mass of plasma, (Coronal Mass Ejection, or CME) should make a better, more direct hit than the last (big) one from Wednesday night. Early models show the blob arriving this evening, perfect for us. We need to have several things to line up for auroras to come down pretty far (south). First, the CME must have a southern negative charge, known as a southern Bz. The Bz is just another term for the magnet needle of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF). It's important because it effectively cancels out the magnetosphere of the Earth's atmosphere at the point of contact.

After we have established a Southern Bz for several hours, the solar wind speed is the another factor. The faster the wind, the more particles are fed in to the atmosphere. Look for speeds in excess of 700 km/s+ for auroras to reach fairly far south.

Thirdly, the proton density is another important factor, obviously the more dense it is, the more protons are being tossed around in the atmosphere to help create the aurora (they are then turned in to photons, which we see as colors). Density needs to be 20 protons/cm^3 at least.

You need a clear sky and a dark place. The moon shouldn't be in the way this time. (Wish it was a New Moon but beggars can't be choosers, lol) And also normally the best viewing time is from midnight-3 a.m., but with big storms, you can still see them whenever it's dark and active."

Daniel knows his stuff. He frequently posts on AccuWeather Astronomy on facebook, otherwise known as AWA. Daniel is available and likes to answer any of your astronomy questions whether it is on the northern lights or wormholes, so do us a favor and join the site and ask away!

Here are a couple of links to help you view the northern lights. This is called ovation aurora forecast from NASA. This is for North America. NASA also has links for the ovation model for Europe and Asia. Basically, if the red line is near you or to your south, go outside and look! This link refreshes by itself every 30 seconds or so.

This link tells you about the Bz. As Daniel said, you want the Bz to be south. So in this link from the ACE satellite you want the top red line to be negative. If it is, we have a greatly enhanced chance of a great light show! It also shows the solar winds, the second to bottom line. Remember, the faster the better. We want speeds of at least 700 km/s. This also shows the proton density (the middle graph). The more protons, the more photons there will be and thus more colors! The magic number is 20 protons per cm cubed.

Lastly, here are a couple more links. The first one is a Kp index map and it shows where the northern lights may be seen when the Kp index reaches a certain level. In this link it shows what the current Kp index is. So if you see a 6, 7 or even a 8, a lot of people may be able to see the northern lights!

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...-look-for-the-northern-lights-tonight-1/62647
 
Did anyone see anything last night?













 
Did anyone see anything last night?















We had rain. :(
 
MN - I wonder if Danke saw anything.

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