SC Poll: possible momentum for Bush as he beats Rubio

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Poll shows possible momentum for Bush in South Carolina while Trump still leads
Posted: January 17, 2016 - 12:12am

COLUMBIA — Donald Trump continues to lead among likely GOP presidential primary voters in South Carolina, although former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has risen to third place, according to a poll conducted by OpinionSavvy for the Morris News Service/InsiderAdvantage.

U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz trailed Trump’s 32 percent with 18 percent, while Bush climbed to third place with 13 percent.

The poll involved 683 people and was conducted on Jan. 15, the same day South Carolina’s senior senator and former presidential hopeful Lindsey Graham endorsed Bush. The debate in North Charleston, S.C., took place Thursday, and 37 percent surveyed by OpinionSavvy said Trump won the debate.

The poll, released Saturday, showed U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio at 11 percent, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 9 percent.

Candidates with less than 5 percent: N.J. Gov. Chris Christie, former Hewlett Packard executive Carly Fiorina, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul and former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum.

“Most interesting was Jeb Bush’s leap to third place in the South Carolina contest,” said InsiderAdvantage founder/Opinion Savvy analyst Matt Towery.

“It has been my belief that one ‘establishment’ Republican will survive to take on Trump and Cruz in South Carolina.”

He called Bush’s lead over Rubio “tenuous.”

“It may be the first glimpse of some momentum for the Bush camp,” Towery said.

He said South Carolina has shown its willingness to go for the more “establishment” type of candidate in some elections, pointing to U.S. Sen. John McCain over Huckabee in 2008, but he said that in recent years the state has grown far more inclined to back a more “populist conservative” type such as Newt Gingrich in 2012.

In 2012, South Carolina GOP voters broke their decades-long streak of choosing the Republican candidate who eventually became the party’s presidential nominee. Mitt Romney, not Gingrich, was ultimately the nominee to challenge President Barack Obama.
 
Link?

Poll doesn't mean much until we learn how it was conducted.

Was it a push poll? Was it conducted with automated calling instead of live interviewers? If either or both of these are true, then the poll is meaningless.
 
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Bush is the absolute worst. If nominated and elected, he will be the guy that ushers in a new currency. He is globalist trash. All but Paul are globalists imo, but Bush is the king daddy.
 
He's doing the same thing as Hillary, they are going hard for SC because they might not win in Iowa/NH.
 
Jeb Bush, "the only candidate to roll out 300+ SC student coalition on 14 campuses"

 
fwiw, no one talks about Rubio anymore over the last days... guess those votes will go to KasichChristieBush
 
You've got to figure that there will be at least one more Bush "surge" pushed on us. I suppose it will be in SC.
 
Rubio and Bush have been ping ponging back and forth for the lead in the establishment vote for months now. But unless the total share of the establishment vote increases dramatically (and it has remained pretty much constant through this entire race so far), who comes out on "top" of this battle is irrelevant. They are fighting over table scraps.
 
One of them has to drop out before NH, and hope their support consolidates with another candidate.
 
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