Republican nomination unlikely. Millions(11%) would vote Paul(Indepentent run)

Russellk30

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Many in this forum go as far as saying that if one does not support the rEPUBLICAN pARTY, they are not really part of this movement, and adding that any other route other than through the rEPUBLICAN nomination is doomed to failure and at worst, hurts the freedom movement indefinitely through loss of relevance.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_...rg_ron_paul_run_third_party_campaigns_in_2008

There are a few reasons why such absolutism is flirting on the edge of dishonesty.
-Ron Paul had the support of 11% of the country for an independent run in January, and that is with Bloomberg in the race as well, effectively taking some of Ron Paul's independent support away. Who knows how much that number would increase without Bloomberg?
-Ron Paul does poorly among Republicans and pretty darn good among independents. 5% and 25% respectively. Just look at exit polls for every state to see the stark difference between the groups. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/
-Mccain already has 714 delegates and anybody that thinks he will not get 1,191 is on the verge of dreamland. We can wait another four years, but do we really want to if we have the option of continuing?
-If 11% of voters would support a Paul independent run right now, how much would support him once actually learning of his positions? Maybe, at most, 1/4 of all Americans have some understanding of Paul’s positions. The rest know very little.
-How many people would never vote for him because he is a Republican? Quite a few, and if the freedom movement is forever associated with the Republican Party, those same people would be much less likely too accept such an ideology.
-If 15% in the polls is required to be in debates and mentioned in the Media, we are golden! This movement is continuing to grow, and with the option of either Hillary or Obama and Mccain, millions of voters will look somewhere else.
-In my opinion, the quickest route to irrelevance is to lose the Republican nomination and then focus on a Ron Paul run for congress. This movement has evolved from a loose group of local supporters to a nationwide phenomenon, and that should be our focus.

I would be happy to see Ron Paul receive the Republican nomination. I would be happy to vote for him as a Republican, but even after doing so, I would not consider myself a Republican. I am happy that many Republicans want to save their party and have joined this movement, but don’t think for a second that every person here is, or should be, a Republican.

There are many of us previously not associated in any way with the Republican Party, but we accepted the possibility and wisdom in a Republican run. It would be nice to see the same courtesy from the more aggressive Republican supporters. Agreement is not necessary, only respect. After all, politics would not exist without disagreement.

Do you support an Independent or third party campaing if all else fails? If so, contact the campaign and let them know! http://www.ronpaul2008.com/contact/form/ Here is my letter.

Hello Ron Paul Campaign,
I have been an active member of the movement since May07. I have donated hundreds of dollars, made signs, canvassed, promoted moneybombs, and have gotten many others to support the campaign. I hope that Dr. Paul gets the Republican nomination, but if he does not, I fully support an Independent or Libertarian campaign. I hope this path is followed if all else fails.

I know there is a concern over ballot access, but current supporters or the Libertarian Party would easily be able to get him on the ballot in all fifty states.

A recent poll conducted by Rasmussen shows Ron Paul with 11% support for an independent or third party run against Hillary, McCain and Bloomberg. There are many people yet to be informed of the positions of liberty and small government. Less than 25% of the population knows anything about Paul. This level of support could be and will be much higher.

Thanks for everything,
Jeffery R M/FC2 USN


I fully support continuing to try for the Republican nomination, but things are looking bleak so it is time to plan for the future.
 
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4. Dr. Paul is running for re-election in Congress as a Republican. Running 3rd-party would just clusterfuck to all hell his re-election chances, the GOP would run someone against him after they kicked him out.

Add it up. Third party ain't happenin', bro.

Thats what they said about Lieberman. more or less.
 
Several points, in order.

1. FUCK the GOP. It's about issues and not parties, I'd support Dr. Paul, based on his issues and principles, even if he was running as the "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party's candidate.

2. An independent run would marginalize the movement even more, as would a Libertarian Party run, or, for that matter, a "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party run. It just wouldn't attract the votes or attention.

3. Continuing the campaign means collecting more information on supporters in every state. More names, phone numbers, email addresses, people willing to be delegates and precinct leaders, etc. Building infrastructure for the future. Think LONG TERM. He'll get more of this as a GOPer than as an LPer during this candidacy.

... and the icing on the cake ...

4. Dr. Paul is running for re-election in Congress as a Republican. Running 3rd-party would just clusterfuck to all hell his re-election chances, the GOP would run someone against him after they kicked him out.

Add it up. Third party ain't happenin', bro.

I'm tempted to copy and paste this every time someone mentions a third party run.
 
Has Ron even gotten !% of the Total population to vote for him in the primary?

How is he going to get attention in a Presedenatial NAtional Campaign with no party to support him, and absolutely no "requirement" from the parties to have him in debates...
 
Several points, in order.

1. FUCK the GOP. It's about issues and not parties, I'd support Dr. Paul, based on his issues and principles, even if he was running as the "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party's candidate.

2. An independent run would marginalize the movement even more, as would a Libertarian Party run, or, for that matter, a "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party run. It just wouldn't attract the votes or attention.

3. Continuing the campaign means collecting more information on supporters in every state. More names, phone numbers, email addresses, people willing to be delegates and precinct leaders, etc. Building infrastructure for the future. Think LONG TERM. He'll get more of this as a GOPer than as an LPer during this candidacy.

... and the icing on the cake ...

4. Dr. Paul is running for re-election in Congress as a Republican. Running 3rd-party would just clusterfuck to all hell his re-election chances, the GOP would run someone against him after they kicked him out.

Add it up. Third party ain't happenin', bro.

I agree with all you've said. The best part of you post was, "FUCK THE GOP". All the rest is frosting on the cake.:D
 
Several points, in order.

1. FUCK the GOP. It's about issues and not parties, I'd support Dr. Paul, based on his issues and principles, even if he was running as the "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party's candidate.

2. An independent run would marginalize the movement even more, as would a Libertarian Party run, or, for that matter, a "Satanist Communists for Abusing Children" party run. It just wouldn't attract the votes or attention.

3. Continuing the campaign means collecting more information on supporters in every state. More names, phone numbers, email addresses, people willing to be delegates and precinct leaders, etc. Building infrastructure for the future. Think LONG TERM. He'll get more of this as a GOPer than as an LPer during this candidacy.

... and the icing on the cake ...

4. Dr. Paul is running for re-election in Congress as a Republican. Running 3rd-party would just clusterfuck to all hell his re-election chances, the GOP would run someone against him after they kicked him out.

Add it up. Third party ain't happenin', bro.

All right, I get your point. The Republican nomination is not a bad goal, but at this moment, the Republican nomination just isn’t going to happen. I know that there are thousands of "what ifs," but don’t bet on random chance. It would be good if he received the nomination, but it is a dreamer's goal.

I thought I made some pretty good points. I see others making similar claims, but I never really see any substantial counter point. All I ever see is general augments that are based on opinion more than anything like “it aint gona happen man, third party would be a disaster!” Paul already has 11% of the electorate, he would get much more as the season went along, why would that be a disaster? Wherever he goes, people will follow.

One thing is clear at this point. In a few weeks everybody is going to become much more realistic when it is clearer that the nomination is going to Mccain. If some how Paul gets the nomination, Ill eat my hat and enjoy doing it. Paul will get some of Romney's supporters, but so will Mccain and Huckabee. We have been optimistic about the chances of nomination since day one, but realism is starting to get in the way of optimism.

If Paul does not accept the possibility of a third party/Independent run, this election season is over. If that is what you want, fine, but don’t pretend that his chances for nomination are good.

Of all of the folks that claim a Republican run is the only way to go, do you think we are better off in our two party systems? I for one believe two choices every election season is a little inadequate. Considering the Republicans and Democrats currents positions, we really only have one choice.

The freedom movement is a great goal, but the current two party system breeds blind party ignorance. Without breaking away from the established system, the freedom movement will again be consumed by Republicanism, just as it happened with the Goldwater movement.
 
Has Ron even gotten !% of the Total population to vote for him in the primary?

How is he going to get attention in a Presedenatial NAtional Campaign with no party to support him, and absolutely no "requirement" from the parties to have him in debates...

Did you read any if the initial post? You question has already been answered.
 
We should work for the GOP nomination until it is forcibly taken from us. If that is the case, then I think Paul should continue indy. I don't want this to end and for the country's sake it can't.
 
NO THIRD PARTY!!!! GET OFF IT!!!! MOVE ON, LOSER. GET PAST THE IDEA. WHAT PART OF "NO INTENTIONS" DO YOU NOT UNDERSTAND??? GET ON THE BUS, OR STAY AT THE BUS STOP, BUT SHIT OR GET OFF THE POT.
 
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For me it is alot simpler. I add them to my ignore list, and am now seeing alot less third party defeatist talk. :)

Damn, the dreaded ignore list...sheesh, thats worse than being banned. :D:D I better mind my p's and q's. The ignore list is like getting put in the "friend zone" with a girl....ouch.
 
For me it is alot simpler. I add them to my ignore list, and am now seeing alot less third party defeatist talk. :)

Defeatists? Do you have a difficult time reading words when there are too many of them in a row? If anything, I am an optimist. I m glad to be part of this movement, I have hope for it and I want to see it continue. Since when does anti-republican = defeatist?

I think everybody here will agree the current Republican Party is a barrier to the ideals of small government pro liberty leaning individuals. You can try to change it if you want, but I hope you have a plan “B” because you chances are not looking too great.

You can ignore facts, reason and the ideas of others if you want, but it will lead to your own little personal echo chambers where everything you hear and see is "correct" and everybody else is stupid. That would effectively be the end of your intellectual growth.

New ideas are not always right, but neither are old ones. You probably already put me on your ignore list though, so I guess there isn’t much of a point in responding. Have fun in you echo chamber.
 
"NO THIRD PARTY!!!! GET OFF IT!!!! MOVE ON, LOSER. GET PAST THE IDEA. WHAT PART OF "NO INTENTIONS" DO YOU NOT UNDERSTAND??? GET ON THE BUS, OR STAY AT THE BUS STOP, BUT SHIT OR GET OFF THE POT."

I was unaware that "no intentions" was the same as "will not." Paul hasn’t made any definite plans; so quit acting like you know his plans. All I ask is that keep your options open.

I live in Washington State and I will be voting for Ron Paul at tomorrow’s Republican caucus. I will try to get him the nomination, but I sure don’t expect that it will happen.

By the way, how many people have you convinced to support Paul? With an attitude like yours, I wouldn't be surprised if you've driven people away.
 
People here (myself included) don't like Ron Paul being ignored in the MSM now. Let him run third-party or Indy and everyone will get to see just how bad and blatant it CAN be. Most people have been so ingrained in the two-party system belief that they are unaware there ARE other parties. This is no accident. Even if/when a REALLY good candidate (such as Dr. Paul) comes along, the two major parties start giving out the garbage about how the party faithful MUST vote for candidate 'a' to keep candidate 'b' from the other party getting elected because, after all, candidate 'a' isn't AS bad as candidate 'b'. We're already seeeing it with McCain. The party base hates him but they'll still vote for him to keep Hilary out of the WH.
 
As far as I know, he is still in the bid for the GOP nomination. Didn't he just say yesterday or today or whenever that he will not act as spoiler and definately won't do a third party run?
 
He's running his race. He knows what he's doing.

He won't be running for LP or Indy...for one thing his # of votes when he did run were around 400k. He's not gonna make the same mistake twice. Yes, we have more supporters than 400k. The media will ignore him even more if he does go Indy.

Once again, he knows what he's doing. He has the experience of running as a 3rd party candidate before and it didn't work did it?

We are reforming the party with him and with the Liberty Candidates running for Congress to make sure his priorities get done in Congress.

TS, Indy run unlikely.

Plus, HE SAID HE'S NOT GONNA!
 
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