Rand will be in the Sept. 16 CNN debate - Received invitation from Nancy Reagan

TheTyke

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All the candidates in the top 10 in polling before last week’s event who participated in the prime-time debate have qualified thus far and have gotten invitations: businessman Donald Trump, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.

Additionally, candidates outside the top 10 of polling for the first debate who have been invited are former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former New York Gov. George Pataki and Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/aug/11/nancy-reagan-sends-out-16-invites-for-the-sept-16-/
 
Former first lady Nancy Reagan has invited 16 candidates so far to participate in the next 2016 GOP presidential debate,
to be held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California on Sept. 16.


It is still a top ten that will be in the main show . . . I think CNN will use a poll from Thursday -
if I heard right.
 
It is still a top ten that will be in the main show . . . I think CNN will use a poll from Thursday -
if I heard right.

top 8. And the polling period has not concluded.
 
top 8. And the polling period has not concluded.

yes, this upcoming Thursday - so Rand has to be in top eight ?

And I just went to the Reagan Foundation site -
Jeb Bush is doing a webcast today at the Reagan Foudation website.
 
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It's still 10, and here is how the will be selected:

The debate, to be moderated by CNN anchor Jake Tapper, will be divided into two parts. One group will feature the top 10 candidates based on an average of recent polls and the other group will include candidates who meet the minimum threshold of 1 percent.



The format is similar to the first debate hosted last week by Fox News, although Fox ultimately did away with the 1 percent threshold for the second group. An average of all “recognized polling” released between July 16 and Sept. 10 will determine the groups, and more candidates will get invited if they meet required criteria and average at least 1 percent in three “recognized national polls” between now and Sept. 10.
 
It's still 10, and here is how the will be selected:

The debate, to be moderated by CNN anchor Jake Tapper, will be divided into two parts. One group will feature the top 10 candidates based on an average of recent polls and the other group will include candidates who meet the minimum threshold of 1 percent.



The format is similar to the first debate hosted last week by Fox News, although Fox ultimately did away with the 1 percent threshold for the second group. An average of all “recognized polling” released between July 16 and Sept. 10 will determine the groups, and more candidates will get invited if they meet required criteria and average at least 1 percent in three “recognized national polls” between now and Sept. 10.

Sounds like RCP Average, except with more than the last 5 polls. This should be good for Rand, especially if his poll numbers start going back up over the next few weeks.
 
He should be fine to make top 10. In the next debate, should he attack Trump for recent statements on PP? I think this is one of the only attacks that would really affect people
 
I don't necessarily want anyone to attack. I want the candidates to be clear and concise in outlining their positions. Hopefully the questions and the moderators will allow that to happen.
 
I don't necessarily want anyone to attack. I want the candidates to be clear and concise in outlining their positions. Hopefully the questions and the moderators will allow that to happen.

It's CNN, I wouldn't expect something this miraculous, though I guess it would be a slightly better chance than Fox or NBC.
 
If Rand is in the main debate, there is a 99% chance he will be asked about his position on the CRA. I've been tracking their coverage of Rand for a few years now, their in-depth profiles on Rand always include it.
 
I don't necessarily want anyone to attack. I want the candidates to be clear and concise in outlining their positions. Hopefully the questions and the moderators will allow that to happen.

Hugh Hewitt is one of the moderators, and a hardcore neoconservative on foreign policy. Doubtful he will be "fair".
 
It's still 10, and here is how the will be selected:

The debate, to be moderated by CNN anchor Jake Tapper, will be divided into two parts. One group will feature the top 10 candidates based on an average of recent polls and the other group will include candidates who meet the minimum threshold of 1 percent.



The format is similar to the first debate hosted last week by Fox News, although Fox ultimately did away with the 1 percent threshold for the second group. An average of all “recognized polling” released between July 16 and Sept. 10 will determine the groups, and more candidates will get invited if they meet required criteria and average at least 1 percent in three “recognized national polls” between now and Sept. 10.

Sounds like RCP Average, except with more than the last 5 polls. This should be good for Rand, especially if his poll numbers start going back up over the next few weeks.

Yes, this is good for Rand.

Doing some quick math using polls on RCP Rand is solidly in the top 10 during that period with 4.8%.

8th - Paul 4.8%
9th - Christie 3.2%
10th - Kasich 3.3%
11th - Perry 2.1%
12th - Fiorina 1.9%
13th - Santorum 1.3%

It's unknown how many "recognized polls" will be added before September 10th, but by averaging all the way back to July 16th it will make it more difficult for someone to rise up ahead of him late.

The candidates outside of the top 10 would need to draw really big numbers to outweigh their previous results and raise their average.
 
He should be fine to make top 10. In the next debate, should he attack Trump for recent statements on PP? I think this is one of the only attacks that would really affect people

No, he shouldn't. If he's going to make hay of the PP thing, he should attack his own party leadership, not Trump. First make clear all the efforts the he, Rand Paul, made to defund PP and then detail how the corrupt, appeasement wing of the GOP conspired to defeat him and the Pro-Life Movement.

That is how you start the long process of rebuilding your image.
 
Just a guess, but I would look for Carly to be in the debate. So that would mean either Christie, Kasich, or Rand would have to drop out. Especially considering how much pumping the media has been doing for Cruz and Rubio. I think out of the three I mentioned, one is at risk of losing their position to this woman. Not that it matters that she is a woman, I could careless so long as the ideas and record is right, but they're going to put her in there just for being a flipping woman. So what she ran HP into the ground, hell they say anyone would have done the same given the time frame that she was CEO. Riight...
 
No, he shouldn't. If he's going to make hay of the PP thing, he should attack his own party leadership, not Trump. First make clear all the efforts the he, Rand Paul, made to defund PP and then detail how the corrupt, appeasement wing of the GOP conspired to defeat him and the Pro-Life Movement.

That is how you start the long process of rebuilding your image.

And how does Paul respond when someone points out that his efforts to defund Planned Parenthood failed in the Senate where it had little to no chance of passage?
 
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