Libertea Party
Member
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2010
- Messages
- 886
I think we're there with Iran
Sadly the 3 ingredients (see below) Michael Mazaar of the Rand Corporation (no relation to Rand Paul) pins from his analysis of the road to war in Iraq are present for another disaster with Iran. Only difference is Trump. But if there is any engagement with the Iranians (manufactured, minimal, or otherwise) he will probably act to save face at least if not enjoy it. See Mazaar's presentation @3:28 (the whole panel is great btw) ... it's chilling how things repeat themselves:
"Two Roads to War: How (and Why) America and Britain Decided to Invade Iraq"
"Yes, the U.S. Could Be Drawn Into Yet Another Big War"
https://www.rand.org/blog/2019/04/yes-the-us-could-be-drawn-into-yet-another-big-war.html
3 Ingredients from the Rand article linked (also published in WSJ):
1) The first is some big idea steering U.S. foreign policy "The country was swayed by the idea that America had the right and the responsibility to extinguish threats to peace and liberty everywhere."
"Pompeo says God may have sent Trump to save Israel from Iran"
2) The second ingredient is a perceived imperative to act, often in response to a crisis or escalating threat, typically with moralistic overtones:
: "Pompeo on tensions with Iran: 'The threat is real'"
3) A mythical mental image of the war that promises a satisfyingly quick and cheap conflict.
: "If Iran wants to fight, that will be the official end of Iran. Never threaten the United States again!" It's that easy!
Sadly the 3 ingredients (see below) Michael Mazaar of the Rand Corporation (no relation to Rand Paul) pins from his analysis of the road to war in Iraq are present for another disaster with Iran. Only difference is Trump. But if there is any engagement with the Iranians (manufactured, minimal, or otherwise) he will probably act to save face at least if not enjoy it. See Mazaar's presentation @3:28 (the whole panel is great btw) ... it's chilling how things repeat themselves:
"Two Roads to War: How (and Why) America and Britain Decided to Invade Iraq"
"Yes, the U.S. Could Be Drawn Into Yet Another Big War"
https://www.rand.org/blog/2019/04/yes-the-us-could-be-drawn-into-yet-another-big-war.html
3 Ingredients from the Rand article linked (also published in WSJ):
1) The first is some big idea steering U.S. foreign policy "The country was swayed by the idea that America had the right and the responsibility to extinguish threats to peace and liberty everywhere."
"Pompeo says God may have sent Trump to save Israel from Iran"2) The second ingredient is a perceived imperative to act, often in response to a crisis or escalating threat, typically with moralistic overtones:
: "Pompeo on tensions with Iran: 'The threat is real'"3) A mythical mental image of the war that promises a satisfyingly quick and cheap conflict.
: "If Iran wants to fight, that will be the official end of Iran. Never threaten the United States again!" It's that easy!
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