Yeah, but this poll includes Democrats and Independents. I'd like to see how he did with Republicans on each day. Anyone have the crosstab?
They're on PPP's twitter feed. I spent a lot of time with them last night.
I think PPP *could* be underestimating the share of 18-29 demo voters. They're basically matching the last caucus, but the Dems had a caucus then and their share was much higher, according to a post on this board on another thread around 20%. Obviously, if that share is higher that favors Paul.
And we have the strongest support, least likely to change. Over 1/3 of Santorum's support came in the last week, and 48% of all people that said they decided in the last week said they could still end up supporting someone else. That is to say, they haven't really decided.
72% of Gingrich's supporters watch Fox News regularly.
This is really going to be about GOTV, because I rather doubt Santorum's supporters will end up supporting Paul in numbers.
I have it Paul 24, Santorum 20, Romney 19. I hope I'm right, because that would be a great result.
Apparently 20% of GOP caucusgoers favor WWIII.