ZanZibar
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PPP MN Presidential caucus poll
- Thread starter ZanZibar
- Start date
harikaried
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Minnesota GOP caucus: Gingrich 36, Romney 18, Santorum 17, Paul 13: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/gingrich-winning-in-minnesota.html
swissaustrian
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Crap:
Newt Gingrich has a large lead in Minnesota...for the moment. Our weekend polling there found him with 36% to 18% for Mitt Romney, 17% for Rick Santorum, and 13% for Ron Paul.
Newt Gingrich has a large lead in Minnesota...for the moment. Our weekend polling there found him with 36% to 18% for Mitt Romney, 17% for Rick Santorum, and 13% for Ron Paul.
bluesc
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Booooooooo!
Minnesota
1/21 - 1/22
303 likely Republican caucus voters
+/-5.6%
[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]SE / NS[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Cain[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Pawlenty[/TD][TD]
[/TABLE]
Ron Paul Crosstabs:
[TABLE="width: 100"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
[TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]18-45[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]46-65[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]>65[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Man[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Woman[/TD][TD]
[/TABLE]
Second Choice:
[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
[TR][TD]SE / NS[/TD][TD]
[/TABLE]
1/21 - 1/22
303 likely Republican caucus voters
+/-5.6%
[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
36
[/TD][TD]5
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
18
[/TD][TD]11
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
17
[/TD][TD]-
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
13
[/TD][TD]9
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]SE / NS[/TD][TD]
15
[/TD][TD]7
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]
-
[/TD][TD]19
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Cain[/TD][TD]
-
[/TD][TD]10
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]
-
[/TD][TD]1
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Pawlenty[/TD][TD]
-
[/TD][TD]38
[/TD][/TR][/TABLE]
Ron Paul Crosstabs:
[TABLE="width: 100"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
01/21
01/22
[/TD]01/22
[TD]
05/27
05/30
[/TD]05/30
[/TR]
[TR][TD]18-45[/TD][TD]
26
[/TD][TD]21
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]46-65[/TD][TD]
5
[/TD][TD]9
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]>65[/TD][TD]
7
[/TD][TD]6
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Man[/TD][TD]
16
[/TD][TD]11
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Woman[/TD][TD]
10
[/TD][TD]6
[/TD][/TR][/TABLE]
Second Choice:
[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
01/21
01/22
[/TD]01/22
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
21
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
16
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
16
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
10
[/TD][/TR][TR][TD]SE / NS[/TD][TD]
37
[/TD][/TR][/TABLE]
tribute_13
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This is fantastic. Gingrich doesn't have the organization to push delegates effectively. We are only 5% behind 2nd. Hopefully Paul will push the state hard with ads and become competitive straw vote wise.
Refresh the Tree
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Maybe SC hurt us more that we thought? I hope this trend doesn't continue after FL...
G8orballboy
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Ugh...
thoughtomator
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This is really bizarre... how's Gingrich get favorability ratings like that?
schiffheadbaby
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Most people just go with whoever has momentum.
Antwan15
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Just remember, in MN, it dosen't matter if we get a single vote or not, we are organized and prepared to enter the caucus in order to gather max delegates! Now, we could obviously use a good showing, so online community, we need an early assault on the campus's in MN, college turnout is key to victory, were workin hard, but we need you guys!!!
Lovecraftian4Paul
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Unfortunately, this poll confirms most of what I see here on the ground. The average mainline Republican knows about Gingrich's horrific record, and they don't care.
The only success I have talking to people about RP is with independents and Democrats. Unless they turn out in force, we're really up the creek. On the other hand, the poll may be low by a few percent. Paul got about 16% here last time, but came in fourth place behind Romney, McCain, and Huck.
I don't see how he could possibly do worse than in 2008 unless hardly any independents show up.
The only success I have talking to people about RP is with independents and Democrats. Unless they turn out in force, we're really up the creek. On the other hand, the poll may be low by a few percent. Paul got about 16% here last time, but came in fourth place behind Romney, McCain, and Huck.
I don't see how he could possibly do worse than in 2008 unless hardly any independents show up.
brendan.orourke
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Guys don't freak out. This race is so fluid, as we have seen...especially with Newt. Nobody has been more up and down that he has.
It's essentially a 3 way tie for 2nd right now.
It's essentially a 3 way tie for 2nd right now.
I don't get why people push for a 3rd party run. They get very few votes and just don't win general elections. I'll vote for 3rd party if it comes to that, but I doubt there's enough libertarian/constitutionalist voters out there to push Paul to presidency as a 3rd partier.
To kickstart a viable alternative party for those of us who believe in constitutional government. Ron wouldn't win, but if he could get say 20% of the vote it could start something good.
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