"Nostradamus" was wrong

spudea

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I remember seeing this guy a few days ago put out his prediction of a Harris win and immediately called out his bullshit 13 keys mumbo jumbo. Ahahahahaha

https://nypost.com/2024/11/06/us-news/polling-nostradamus-who-bet-on-harris-realizes-he-was-wrong/

An American political historian known as the “Nostradamus” of elections was seemingly at a loss for words early Wednesday when he realized his prediction — that Kamala Harris would win the presidential election — was wrong.

Allen Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the 10 elections since 1984, was captured on a livestream repeatedly saying “I don’t get it” as Donald Trump’s landslide victory started to become evident.

The 77-year-old professor and his son, Sam, shared their stunned reactions in real time as the results rolled in toward the end of their nearly six-hour coverage of the election.

....

The prof is the co-creator of the “Keys to the White House” metric, which entails 13 categories assessing the prospects of the two major-party candidates. This year, according to Lichtman, Harris had the edge in eight of those metrics, compared to Trump’s three.

As the livestream neared its end, with both Lichtmans growing noticeably frustrated by the numbers showing Trump ahead in all seven swing states, Allan Lichtman said there was “nothing positive” for Harris in the data.

“Oh, the democracy’s gone,” a defeated-sounding Lichtman said. “Once democracy’s gone, it’s almost impossible to recover. The way to recover is by the dictators losing wars.”
 
I guess this time he overlooked the Mega Mega MAGA donors and how they worked so hard to hate him across the finish line. That would be my guess.
 
“Oh, the democracy’s gone,” a defeated-sounding Lichtman said. “Once democracy’s gone, it’s almost impossible to recover. The way to recover is by the dictators losing wars.”

As opposed to what?

All the wars the dictators have been winning?
 
I guess this time he overlooked the Mega Mega MAGA donors and how they worked so hard to hate him across the finish line. That would be my guess.

That is incorrect.

Lichtman's model was actually correct. It was Lichtman himself who was incorrect.

He had 13 points to consider in order to determine the next President.

He applied those 13 points using Trump Derangement Syndrome to show a Harris victory.. the points weren't all about Trump, many were about Harris/Biden. Lichtman claimed that there was no "military failures" during their four year term, completely forgetting about the botched Afghanistan withdrawal.

That's just one example.. If you correctly applied his 13 points, the model showed a Trump victory, which is precisely what happened. He botched like 8+ of his own points in his model.
 
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