Lindsey Graham below 50%... Lee Bright

[Matt Collins]

from a press release:

BrightEmerges as Top Lindsey Graham Threat
Graham’s NumbersContinue to Tank: Well Below 50%


Upstate Senator Lee Bright’s campaignappears to be gaining steam while incumbent Lindsey Graham looks tobe in deep trouble according to a recent poll of likely RepublicanPrimary voters in South Carolina.


The big picture results of the surveyshow that South Carolinians are deeply dissatisfied with Graham,Bright is dominating the crowded field of challengers, and bothtrends seem to be building.


Only 38% of voters said that Grahamdeserves to be re-elected, while 49% said it’s time for someonenew. That someone would appear to be Bright, who polled more thanNancy Mace, Bill Connor and Richard Cash combined, with over 17%.


“We are very excited about this news,but I can’t say that we’re surprised” said Senator Bright inregards to recent poll conducted by Wenzel Strategies.


“We’ve dominated the straw pollsthroughout the state, and we’ve earned some very prominentendorsements, including the endorsements we crave the most – thoseof South Carolina’s conservatives.


“Meanwhile, Lindsey Graham continuesto do little or nothing to stop the Obama-Reid-Schumer-Pelosi agenda– and that’s an agenda that South Carolinians want stopped.”


Bright went on to say that “for awealthy long-time incumbent, who seems to be on cable news all dayeveryday, to be below 40% this early in the process is stunning. It’snot like Lindsey Graham can do anything to improve his standing. Weknow who he is now.”


Bright added of Graham’s numbers, hislowest polls ever, that “voters understand that he’s a creatureof Washington, and that the swamp needs to be drained of BigGovernment apologists in both parties.


“With the help of conservatives andTea Party activists across South Carolina, we’re going to retirehim in the Spring.


“I have every intention of joiningTed Cruz, Mike Lee and Rand Paul to put the brakes on thisever-expanding government – not compromising with Barack Obama asLindsey Graham has done.


“Numbersdon’t lie. Politicians can brag about money all they want. And Ican promise you we’ll be right with them in the end. But theycount votes at the ballot box, not dollars. And polls show it’s mycampaign that has what it takes to defeat Lindsey Graham.

 

[Matt Collins]

Here are the actual polling results:
http://www.brightforsenate.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/SC-GOP-Poll-Memorandum-2-6-2014.pdf

 

[thoughtomator]

One of the nicest side benefits to moving to South Carolina will be the honor and privilege of casting a vote that helps put Graham into retirement.

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

Is this a runoff state? what's the criteria?

 

[Occam's Banana]

Is this a runoff state?

Yes.

what's the criteria?

From: http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/primary-runoffs.aspx

South Carolina — In South Carolina the primaries are the responsibility of the political parties, but they operate the same way that most states do: a majority precludes a runoff. Runoff elections are normally held two weeks after the primary.

If no candidate gets at least 50% in a race, then there will be a runoff between the two highest vote-getters for that race.

(The South Carolina primary is June 10th. The runoff is June 24th.)

 

[pmbug]

Hell yes.

 

[LibertyEagle]

According to the poll, Graham is at 46% and Bright is at 17%. I fail to see the reason to celebrate.

 

[ClydeCoulter]

According to the poll, Graham is at 46% and Bright is at 17%. I fail to see the reason to celebrate.

It's assuming that Bright will get Mace's and the others votes in a runoff between him and Graham, I think.

 

[FriedChicken]

According to the poll, Graham is at 46% and Bright is at 17%. I fail to see the reason to celebrate.

Bright is the leading primary challenger so he is most likely to be the one left standing for the runoff.

Also if you combine all the primary challengers together it makes 31% I believe with 23% or something undecided. (I'm going off memory, might have numbers wrong).
It is hard to see that 26% being undecided on Graham, they're probably trying to decide which primary candidate they like.

Runoffs are decided by the most enthusiastic/dedicated voters though ... so that is a hard to predict wildcard.

But to your point - the numbers are showing that Graham is likely to make it through the primary with probably a 10% lead on the runoff challenger if I read them correctly.
Hope those 23% who are still deciding who to support also show up to the runoff, but that is doubtful.



... I wish Indiana did runoffs. Dan Coats would likely not be our senator if that was the case.

 

[erowe1]

It is hard to see that 26% being undecided on Graham, they're probably trying to decide which primary candidate they like.

I think 22% was the number of undecideds in the poll I saw on here yesterday, which might have been a different one. But Graham only needs 1/5 of that group to vote for him unless he tanks more.

Bright's press release understandably downplays the role of money. Sure there's a limit to how much money can translate to votes. But it looks to me like Graham is within that limit. I hope I'm wrong.

 

[asurfaholic]

This race is as big or bigger than the Greg Brannon race. It's one thing to be running to topple a struggling democrat, its another thing to knock out a popular establishment republicrat. It would send a very strong message to others about how people feel about establishment hacks.

 

[JK/SEA]

According to the poll, Graham is at 46% and Bright is at 17%. I fail to see the reason to celebrate.

this post is not helpful. Do you want Graham to win?...you should be more careful in spreading this kind of negative commentary. Its not helpful to the Liberty Movement.

 

[erowe1]

this post is not helpful. Do you want Graham to win?...you should be more careful in spreading this kind of negative commentary. Its not helpful to the Liberty Movement.

Is Bright in a liberty movement?

 

[JK/SEA]

Is Bright in a liberty movement?

lol...compared to Graham she's a frickin Tom Jefferson.

 

[erowe1]

lol...compared to Graham she's a frickin Tom Jefferson.

I take it you know a lot about him.

 

[JK/SEA]

I take it you know a lot about him.

who..Graham?

 

[erowe1]

who..Graham?

No, Bright.

 

[JK/SEA]

No, Bright.

you like Graham?

Bright has a web page. Have you looked at it?

 

[erowe1]

you like Graham?

Bright has a web page. Have you looked at it?

No I don't like Graham. I have seen Bright's website, which was how I figured out he wasn't a she. I liked some of what I saw. But I won't pretend to know much about him.

I'm positive that I would not vote for Graham. And if Bright is part of a liberty movement of some kind, that would interest me.

 

[JK/SEA]

No I don't like Graham. I have seen Bright's website, which was how I figured out he wasn't a she. I liked some of what I saw. But I won't pretend to know much about him.

I'm positive that I would not vote for Graham. And if Bright is part of a liberty movement of some kind, that would interest me.

Graham must go. Bottomline.

yeah, my characterization of Bright being a she was a slip....

apologies to Bright....