KS-04 special election results

[CPUd]

Estes expected to win here, but by a much tighter margin than 2016. Here is the largest county Sedgwick in 2016:

Early returns:

http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/...S_US_House_0411.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

 

[CPUd]

This special election is for the seat vacated by Mike Pompeo.

Breakdown by county of what it would take to flip the district:

 

[CPUd]

Estes needs to be in the lead before the Sedgwick precincts start reporting.

 

[CPUd]

Estes ahead by 3 with half of Wichita still out. The press will start calling it for Estes soon.

 

[spudea]

low energy dems not flipping seats any time soon.

 

[CPUd]

low energy dems not flipping seats any time soon.

These are high energy dems and some Trump voters crossing over. Thompson was a Bernie supporter and got little to no help from the party in this election because it is a safe R district. His campaign was mostly grassroots, and he got some Trump voters who do not like the state GOP for supporting the governor.

 

[CPUd]

All precincts reporting

 

[Rudeman]

Wasn't this more of an anti-Brownback race than an anti-Trump race? Not really a good indicator for other races.

 

[CPUd]

Wasn't this more of an anti-Brownback race than an anti-Trump race? Not really a good indicator for other races.

Yes, there look to be significant crossover voters in this election versus the 2016 election.

 

[eleganz]

Tim Huelskamp should've taken a stab at this since he lost his last primary.

 

[jmdrake]

Wow. The only thread on this and absolutely no discussion of the libertarian candidate. I've found Chris Rockhold's name mentioned on CNN more than I've found him mentioned at RPF. It's like a reverse libertarian blackout.