Dennis Peterson
Member
- Joined
- Nov 28, 2007
- Messages
- 47
So we didn't win the Nevada popular vote, but we might be winning on delegates. What does that tell us?
Simple: that our ideas about getting delegates to the national convention might actually work. If it's a brokered convention, we can take this. We have the dedicated supporters who are willing to go to all the meetings and get our delegates elected. Other campaigns don't.
But to qualify, we have to WIN at least five small states!
And what else did we learn? Maybe that states like Nevada are receptive to Paul's message...but also, maybe, that running TV ads and showing up make a difference. Only Paul and Romney really campaigned in Nevada, and look what happened.
I've posted here previously that what we should really do is pick some small Western states and really hammer them. Spend a good part of our huge warchest on little states that nobody else cares about. Maybe even some territories...Guam counts toward the five.
The other campaigns will be too busy fighting each other in the big states to compete with us. Our warchest against their dregs should give us a high probability of victory. Then we go into a brokered convention, our people in every state get our delegates elected, and we pull out a victory.
I mentioned this to campaign people after the debate last week. They said they felt pretty good about SC, and thought we might win Nevada.
Well, we got a boost in NV, and I'm encouraged. But it wasn't a win, was it. (Depends on how their odd delegate rules work for qualifying, but in most states, those results wouldn't count towards the five.) We need first-place finishes or we will be shut out of the National Convention.
Maybe the momentum will pick up and we'll win big states. Maybe Thompson dropping out will give us what we need. But I'm worried that we'll keep being overly optimistic, keep getting almost there but not quite, and then it will be over.
Let's not let that happen. Let's find some places where we can so saturate the advertising, so dominate all the other campaigns, that it doesn't matter how the media ignores us, because our campaign will be in their faces all the time, and the others won't.
Then it will be up to all of us to show up for the Party meetings. But I think we can handle that.
Simple: that our ideas about getting delegates to the national convention might actually work. If it's a brokered convention, we can take this. We have the dedicated supporters who are willing to go to all the meetings and get our delegates elected. Other campaigns don't.
But to qualify, we have to WIN at least five small states!
And what else did we learn? Maybe that states like Nevada are receptive to Paul's message...but also, maybe, that running TV ads and showing up make a difference. Only Paul and Romney really campaigned in Nevada, and look what happened.
I've posted here previously that what we should really do is pick some small Western states and really hammer them. Spend a good part of our huge warchest on little states that nobody else cares about. Maybe even some territories...Guam counts toward the five.
The other campaigns will be too busy fighting each other in the big states to compete with us. Our warchest against their dregs should give us a high probability of victory. Then we go into a brokered convention, our people in every state get our delegates elected, and we pull out a victory.
I mentioned this to campaign people after the debate last week. They said they felt pretty good about SC, and thought we might win Nevada.
Well, we got a boost in NV, and I'm encouraged. But it wasn't a win, was it. (Depends on how their odd delegate rules work for qualifying, but in most states, those results wouldn't count towards the five.) We need first-place finishes or we will be shut out of the National Convention.
Maybe the momentum will pick up and we'll win big states. Maybe Thompson dropping out will give us what we need. But I'm worried that we'll keep being overly optimistic, keep getting almost there but not quite, and then it will be over.
Let's not let that happen. Let's find some places where we can so saturate the advertising, so dominate all the other campaigns, that it doesn't matter how the media ignores us, because our campaign will be in their faces all the time, and the others won't.
Then it will be up to all of us to show up for the Party meetings. But I think we can handle that.