Hurricane Dorian upgraded to Category 1 storm; could become Category 3 hurricane, hit FLt

Swordsmyth

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Dorian has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane, as expected.


As of 2 p.m., Hurricane Dorian was directly over St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands with 75 mph winds, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is expected to grow in size and could hit Category 3 status before reaching Florida’s east coast by early Monday.


“The latest advisory from NHC is of concern for Central Florida,” Fox 35 meteorologist Jayme King said. "The forecast track on Dorian by this weekend brings some startling developments. ... All residents from the coast into the interior need to prepare should the latest forecast pan out.”


The tropical storm watch was discontinued for the Dominican Republic, the NHC said Wednesday afternoon.President Trump declared an emergency Tuesday night and ordered federal assistance for local authorities.





“On this track, Dorian should continue to move near or over the U.S. and British Virgin Islands this afternoon and then move over the open Atlantic well east of the southeastern Bahamas,” the NHC said Wednesday afternoon.


A weather station south of St. Thomas recorded a gust of more than 110 mph, the NHC said.


Parts of Florida could expect 4 to 8 inches of rain, and up to 10 inches in isolated areas later this week and into early next week.


NHC forecasters said Wednesday that “nearly all of the intensity models show Dorian becoming a hurricane in about 2 days, with additional strengthening beyond that time ... The threat of tropical storm or hurricane conditions, along with storm surge, in the northwestern Bahamas and along portions of the Florida east coast have increased.”


4LKIS6IJHVENTLSALQ2NKJNLYQ.JPG



The hurricane center’s updated track projected that Dorian could be off the coast of Titusville by 8 a.m. Monday, but the cone of uncertainty shows it could also be anywhere from coastal Georgia to the southern tip of Florida or west of Florida in the Gulf of Mexico by that time.


More at: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/wea...0190828-vpa7pxjq7jbqfh57acmxjutrui-story.html
 
aal05_2019082912_eps_track_by_model_extra_late.png


Much like the climate models, ONE of them will be right therefore we are all doomed. Just ask the children.

Fear does do a great job of selling product and electing politicians.

XNN
 
Meh, I find spaghetti models useful, but then I understand the speculative nature of computer modeling. One of those lines runs right over my house doesn’t mean I’m boarding up windows. I get that most people are in perpetual panic mode and are probably not helped by all this random data though, and that media uses them to sell alarmism.
 
If you look at the previous post plot showing it's current position, you can see that its current position was an extreme northern outlier of the NC00 series. Four days in hurricane time might as well be forever. Computers guess, prognosticators prognosticate, and the Lord will do what is fitting.

aal05_2019082512_eps_track_by_model_extra_late.png


XNN
 
If you look at the previous post plot showing it's current position, you can see that its current position was an extreme northern outlier of the NC00 series. Four days in hurricane time might as well be forever. Computers guess, prognosticators prognosticate, and the Lord will do what is fitting.

aal05_2019082512_eps_track_by_model_extra_late.png


XNN

This.
 
This is, at 0030 CDT, a screenshot of the front page of Drudge.

sv5sLk7.jpg


That is a storm that the will flatten half of Florida, literally.

It is a terrifying image.

And utterly fake...it is a computer enhanced fantasy.
 
This is, at 0030 CDT, a screenshot of the front page of Drudge.

sv5sLk7.jpg


That is a storm that the will flatten half of Florida, literally.

It is a terrifying image.

And utterly fake...it is a computer enhanced fantasy.

Drudge is fake news just as bad as the MSM.
 
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