The assumption so far from RPFers has been to survive the early states where Paul probably wasn't going to win (NH, SC, and Florida). He would then have a chance to rack up a few consecutive victories. My question is which upcoming states does Paul have a chance at winning? I think we need more than just a strong showing to pick momentum. If we come into Super Tuesday with a few states under our belt, Paul would be riding on an aura of legitimacy. However, if Gingrich continues to build on his populist movement and Romney gets more and more money, they could squeeze us out of first place finishes and we need at least a couple before March.
By the looks of today's debates, it appears Gingrich will win Florida. This is great for us as he is guaranteed to ride well into Super Tuesday with two HUGE victories and maybe a couple more primaries in February. Romney will always have the money to compete and Paul has a nice chance in states where Gingrich really isn't contending. If Gingrich, Romney, and Paul all are extremely close in delegate count, I expect both Romney and Gingrich to stay for the long haul and fight it out at a brokered convention, which only helps us. Even if the GOP has contingency plans on how to prevent an outright Paul convention win, Paul would be guaranteed a major speech where he would absolutely tear everyone and everything into shreds.
So, out of Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Minnesota, Washington, which ones is there certainty that we will win.
By the looks of today's debates, it appears Gingrich will win Florida. This is great for us as he is guaranteed to ride well into Super Tuesday with two HUGE victories and maybe a couple more primaries in February. Romney will always have the money to compete and Paul has a nice chance in states where Gingrich really isn't contending. If Gingrich, Romney, and Paul all are extremely close in delegate count, I expect both Romney and Gingrich to stay for the long haul and fight it out at a brokered convention, which only helps us. Even if the GOP has contingency plans on how to prevent an outright Paul convention win, Paul would be guaranteed a major speech where he would absolutely tear everyone and everything into shreds.
So, out of Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Minnesota, Washington, which ones is there certainty that we will win.