Peace&Freedom
Member
- Joined
- Nov 29, 2007
- Messages
- 5,123
Just am itemized recap, not a full exposition:
1. The outsider movement rules. From Brexit to Trump, the populist/nationalist anti-establishment movement has arrived and looks like it's here to stay. The insider Bush and Clinton dynasties were both crushed, with the Republican establishment in particular appearing like it will be cracked up for at least a decade as a result of the outsider ascendancy. 2016 may be the last time a Democratic candidate positioned as a “centrist” can prevail against the increasingly dominant progressive wing of the party for its nomination.
2. Big money does not rule. The hold the "kingmaker" mega-donors have held over who gets a major party nomination has been broken, or at least an alternative has been found that can challenge them. A candidate can spend just 50 million in the primaries, and just 100 million in the election battle and prevail over insider-backed rivals spending 5-10 times as much.
3. The millenial Democrats were right. All year, the Sanders supporters brought much of the same enthusiasm to the Democratic race that the GOP outsiders had. Their ultimate point was simple: if the party had just nominated a likeable progressive with no baggage, instead of appointing an unlikeable, scandal-ridden elite corporate shill, they would have won the thing. They went with Hillary, and lost. The millenials will be back in four years, in a primary race not controlled by Hillary. This means the "moderate Democrat" model of the Clintonistas is broken with this election, and a Sanders-like or Sanders approved figure will likely be their nominee in 2020.
4) The legacy MSM no longer controls the narrative. The new media finally overtook the elite-backed corporate media with this election, not only with audiences, but in terms of dominating the coverage. The attempts of the MSM and Clinton campaign to marginalize, belittle and smear the alternatives finally met a strong push back, which ended their ability to PC-browbeat people into compliance. Wikileaks destroyed the veneer of integrity the CNN set enjoyed, and it will take them years to regain the public's trust. The future belongs to Breitbart, Drudge, Infowars, and RT.
5) The blue-collar Democrat cross-over vote is back. Previously called the Reagan Democrats, moderate Democrats without a college degree making under $50,000 are back as a swing factor voting bloc. Trump pried them loose from the Democratic plantation through genuinely engaging them and their concerns about the loss of jobs, and the loss of credibility of Democrat pols on economics. Many of them also want relief from the non-stop obsession of left authoritarians with PC, cultural liberalism and identity politics. The hard left move expected with the next Democratic nominee in 2020 and onwards will no doubt extend the trend of driving blue collar voters away from the party in future Presidential cycles.
1. The outsider movement rules. From Brexit to Trump, the populist/nationalist anti-establishment movement has arrived and looks like it's here to stay. The insider Bush and Clinton dynasties were both crushed, with the Republican establishment in particular appearing like it will be cracked up for at least a decade as a result of the outsider ascendancy. 2016 may be the last time a Democratic candidate positioned as a “centrist” can prevail against the increasingly dominant progressive wing of the party for its nomination.
2. Big money does not rule. The hold the "kingmaker" mega-donors have held over who gets a major party nomination has been broken, or at least an alternative has been found that can challenge them. A candidate can spend just 50 million in the primaries, and just 100 million in the election battle and prevail over insider-backed rivals spending 5-10 times as much.
3. The millenial Democrats were right. All year, the Sanders supporters brought much of the same enthusiasm to the Democratic race that the GOP outsiders had. Their ultimate point was simple: if the party had just nominated a likeable progressive with no baggage, instead of appointing an unlikeable, scandal-ridden elite corporate shill, they would have won the thing. They went with Hillary, and lost. The millenials will be back in four years, in a primary race not controlled by Hillary. This means the "moderate Democrat" model of the Clintonistas is broken with this election, and a Sanders-like or Sanders approved figure will likely be their nominee in 2020.
4) The legacy MSM no longer controls the narrative. The new media finally overtook the elite-backed corporate media with this election, not only with audiences, but in terms of dominating the coverage. The attempts of the MSM and Clinton campaign to marginalize, belittle and smear the alternatives finally met a strong push back, which ended their ability to PC-browbeat people into compliance. Wikileaks destroyed the veneer of integrity the CNN set enjoyed, and it will take them years to regain the public's trust. The future belongs to Breitbart, Drudge, Infowars, and RT.
5) The blue-collar Democrat cross-over vote is back. Previously called the Reagan Democrats, moderate Democrats without a college degree making under $50,000 are back as a swing factor voting bloc. Trump pried them loose from the Democratic plantation through genuinely engaging them and their concerns about the loss of jobs, and the loss of credibility of Democrat pols on economics. Many of them also want relief from the non-stop obsession of left authoritarians with PC, cultural liberalism and identity politics. The hard left move expected with the next Democratic nominee in 2020 and onwards will no doubt extend the trend of driving blue collar voters away from the party in future Presidential cycles.
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