Buzzfeed hit piece on Rand staff: "Why Rand Paul Lost"

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In 2014, Rand was the “most interesting man in politics.” Two years later, he ended a presidential bid — dominated by paltry fundraising and internal strife — after the Iowa caucuses.

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire — Just before the Republican debate last year in Colorado, a senior aide to Rand Paul had an idea.

Sergio Gor, the campaign’s communications director, decided he wanted to obtain an eagle for Paul to appear with before the debate.

Staffers were dispatched to try to find the eagle to rent, according to four sources with direct knowledge of the incident. One estimated that several people spent half a day on the task. Eventually a falcon was located, but by that point the scheme had leaked out to other staffers, who quashed it.

“We spent like half a day on this ridiculous project that I’m not even sure was approved by the higher-ups,” said one staffer. After that, other staffers nicknamed Gor “Condor.”

The episode is emblematic of the scattershot approach that characterized much of Paul’s bid, which he ended on Wednesday. Once dubbed the “most interesting man in politics,” Paul seemed destined for a key role in 2016, his libertarian views promising an ideological clash for the direction of the Republican Party.

But Paul never gained traction. He moved leftward and rightward on various issues. His campaign tried various gimmicks — from taking a chainsaw to the tax code to livestreaming his day. He struggled to raise money, never securing the support of billionaire libertarian backers, or building the kind of grassroots army that powered his father and is powering Bernie Sanders. Insiders say he just didn’t have the personality required to fundraise.

And he never had much influence on the other candidates, either. On the issues, Ted Cruz deftly coopted libertarian positions, and Donald Trump’s dominance of the media coverage of the campaign never gave Paul the kind of exposure he had in 2013 and 2014. Conflicts between staff, particularly in the press operation, hamstrung normal campaign operations, a half dozen sources say. In the end, though some expected him to hang on till after New Hampshire, Paul decided to exit the race after Iowa.

In a conference call Wednesday morning, Paul’s advisers said he made his decision to drop out in the last 24 hours after determining that “there wasn’t much he could do to fix the trajectory of the race.” Paul will not be endorsing in the GOP primary, but will go on to support the party’s eventual nominee.

“He flew back from Iowa and thought about it and decided it was the right time to do that sometime yesterday,” said Doug Stafford, Paul’s chief strategist.

Stafford and other advisers insisted that Paul had stuck to his libertarian message throughout the campaign — as opposed to the compromises that many believe Paul made on policy to broaden his appeal — and had a well-organized ground game in Iowa, despite coming in fifth place. Instead, they pointed to Trump and the attacks in Paris and San Bernardino as factors that changed the dynamic of the race.

“The change in trajectory on the issues and the outsized attention given to one outsider made it very difficult to get our message out,” Stafford said. Specifically on Trump’s rise, Stafford added: “We definitely believe it sucked the oxygen out of the room during critical times.”

Trump’s omnipresence made it impossible for Paul’s message to break through widely.

“The difficulty raising money, the competition in his space, and the Trump phenomenon filling up so much of the media — he was just never able to sell his message,” said one Paul insider.

Compounding the issues with getting the message out was dysfunction in the press operation, sources say.

“They didn’t have a serious communicator there to drive message,” the Paul insider said.

For much of the time, there was serious tension between the other press staffers and Gor, who ran the communications shop and was one of few staffers who had Paul’s ear and traveled with him frequently. Gor was the main point of press contact for reporters with the campaign and his title, communications director, connotes a certain level of message-shaping on a campaign. But five sources said Gor was a polarizing figure who alienated colleagues and was difficult to work with. One former adviser referred to Gor as “Kurt Bardella on steroids,” comparing him to the hard-charging former Darrell Issa spokesman. Five sources told BuzzFeed News that the rest of the press shop moved to the basement of campaign headquarters in D.C. in the fall, in order to physically get away from Gor.

“We wanted to stay up there but after October we all moved down there permanently,” said one campaign staffer, referring to their own decision to move downstairs.

“It was to get away from him for a number of reasons,” said one source close to the campaign.

When reached for comment, Gor said, “Our press staff was sent out on the road, not into the basement.”

Chief strategist Stafford dismissed BuzzFeed News’ reporting on Gor and other issues for this story as “utter crap from people who know nothing.”

“Hope you’re not printing factually wrong items, but whoever is talking to you clearly has no clue what they are saying,” Gor said.

One thing that gave Gor leverage was that out of the press staff, he was the most frequently out with Paul on the trail, which made him one of the people in the campaign with the most access to the candidate, along with top figures in the campaign like Stafford. But several sources said Paul didn’t seem particularly aware of the problems with his staff.

“I honestly think that Rand was not in the loop of a lot of the stuff that was going on,” said one staffer.

Problems within the campaign started spilling into public view over the summer, when infighting between Stafford and campaign manager Chip Englander began leaking out in the press, along with details of Paul’s lackluster approach to fundraising.

Paul’s aloofness and allergy to glad-handing is a central part of his persona and, for many people, part of his appeal. But it did not help the campaign with donor recruitment and maintenance.

“Rand is not the kind of person who’s phony, and the process of courting donors and faking friendships and sort of wooing folks and building a finance team is just not something that he did much of,” said on Paul insider. “It was an underfunded operation and the lack of money led to a narrative that the campaign was unable to overcome.”

The insider said “I’m sure they were disappointed” that top libertarian donor Peter Thiel, a co-founder of PayPal, didn’t offer his financial support. Thiel was a major backer to Paul’s father’s presidential campaigns, but has not gotten involved in this cycle.

Early in the 2016 cycle, Charles Koch, who golfed with senator, was believed to be especially impressed with him. (The Kochs have said they wouldn’t endorse in the primary, but at one point David Koch was said to like Scott Walker, which was seen as a blow to Paul.)

Other donors were left confused by Paul’s apparent shifting positions on some issues and by interactions with his staff.

Frayda Levy, a major GOP donor who has contributed to Paul and super PACs supporting his White House bid, said, “It felt like he was tacking too much to the right on immigration, tacking too much to the right on foreign policy.”

“Look, he was my guy. I knew he had a lesser chance. But as he moved farther to the right, I said I might as well go with the guy who at least has a better chance of winning,” Levy said.

Levy and other donors spoke to his staff on a few different occasions, questioning what Paul had said publicly on certain issues. But they eventually stopped reaching out after getting the same answer. “They’d usually just say this is what he actually believes.”

The last time Levy said she approached his staff was when Paul talked about sanctuary cities. “They were constantly trying to thread the needle, satisfying the tea party while still being libertarian.”

Levy, who was one of the 500 attendees at a gathering of the political network affiliated with the Koch brothers this weekend, said Paul was not part of the discussion at all when donors discussed 2016.

Whatever their problems with donors, the campaign was relatively lean (though it ran a high burn rate, particularly in its last quarter). Paul often traveled by himself or with just one or two other staffers. A potentially bigger problem in Iowa was that the campaign had trouble matching the depth of the organization achieved by Rand’s father Ron Paul in 2012.

“There wasn’t much organization, there wasn’t much leadership,” said the source close to the campaign. The campaign “missed out on reaching out to a lot of the Ron Paul electorate. There were a handful of old Ron Paul operatives who worked on our Iowa team and I think they agreed with me on that.”

There were also some concerns about Steve Grubbs, the campaign’s chief Iowa strategist.

“He wasn’t very hands on, he wasn’t very involved,” the source close to the campaign said. “It seemed like he was more concerned with t-shirts than getting out the vote or the caucuses.”

The campaign ran their online store through Grubbs’ company, Victory Enterprises. “Victory Enterprises managed the online store, as we do for other campaigns and schools. It was a successful way to raise money for the campaign,” Grubbs told BuzzFeed News. Grubbs declined to say how much money he had made from the store, saying, “I’m not authorized to discuss finances.”

“In 19 months, I missed three days on the road with Sen. Paul, otherwise, I was with him at every event,” Grubbs said.

Campaign manager Chip Englander and Stafford stressed in the call with reporters on Wednesday that Paul finished in the top five in Iowa, despite spending millions less compared to some other candidates.

“The investments we made in organization actually paid off,” Englander said.

In the end, Paul’s campaign could never quite decide what it wanted to be. Was Paul trying to win the nomination, or was he a message candidate?

“Certain camps within the campaign worked differently,” said the source close to the campaign. “Some camps wanted to win, and some in Ron Paul world were all about running a principled campaign based on ideas, not falling into the crowd, etc.”

Unlike his father, who ran unapologetically as a message candidate twice, Paul seemed to waver between the mainstream and his libertarian roots. In the end, the in-between route he chose did not work, especially during a year when foreign policy challenges like ISIS changed the mood of the electorate on national security.

“It just didn’t take off,” a former adviser said. “I think there was a chance he was trying to be too many things to too many people.”

“I think there were strategic mistakes that were made,” said Jonathan Bydlak, former fundraising director for Ron Paul. “When Rand was elected to the Senate in 2010, the biggest thing he had was the outsider perspective. Even though has now been in the Senate, he could have sold himself as an outsider.”

But “he let Cruz very much play up that mantle,” Bydlak said.

Paul will now focus on his Senate re-election campaign — something his campaign shelled out $250,000 (and pledged another $200,000) as of December to the Kentucky Republican party in order to do at the same time as his presidential run, which had previously been an impossibility in that state.

In a way, the Senate was a better place for Paul and his issues than the presidential campaign was, or the presidency itself, with its demands and compromises, would be.

Former Paul adviser Trygve Olson compared Paul to political figures like Scoop Jackson, Jesse Helms, Ted Kennedy, and John McCain, all of whom unsuccessfully ran for president but wielded considerable influence in the Senate.

“Assuming Rand prevails in his Senate race he’ll be really well-positioned to do that if the Republicans maintain majority in the Senate,” Olson said. “He will really have the opportunity to shape the party and the country more than he would if he’d won this race.”
 
In the end, Paul’s campaign could never quite decide what it wanted to be. Was Paul trying to win the nomination, or was he a message candidate?

“Certain camps within the campaign worked differently,” said the source close to the campaign. “Some camps wanted to win, and some in Ron Paul world were all about running a principled campaign based on ideas, not falling into the crowd, etc.”

Unlike his father, who ran unapologetically as a message candidate twice, Paul seemed to waver between the mainstream and his libertarian roots. In the end, the in-between route he chose did not work, especially during a year when foreign policy challenges like ISIS changed the mood of the electorate on national security.
So pretty much like RPFs, but acted out in real life in a presidential campaign.
 
In 2014, Rand was the “most interesting man in politics.” Two years later, he ended a presidential bid — dominated by paltry fundraising and internal strife — after the Iowa caucuses.

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire — Just before the Republican debate last year in Colorado, a senior aide to Rand Paul had an idea.

Sergio Gor, the campaign’s communications director, decided he wanted to obtain an eagle for Paul to appear with before the debate.

Staffers were dispatched to try to find the eagle to rent, according to four sources with direct knowledge of the incident. One estimated that several people spent half a day on the task. Eventually a falcon was located, but by that point the scheme had leaked out to other staffers, who quashed it.


If thy wanted Rand to appear with something that flies they should have got the blimp. Just sayin'.
 
"
There were also some concerns about Steve Grubbs, the campaign’s chief Iowa strategist.

“He wasn’t very hands on, he wasn’t very involved,” the source close to the campaign said. “It seemed like he was more concerned with t-shirts than getting out the vote or the caucuses.”

The campaign ran their online store through Grubbs’ company, Victory Enterprises. “Victory Enterprises managed the online store, as we do for other campaigns and schools. It was a successful way to raise money for the campaign,” Grubbs told BuzzFeed News. Grubbs declined to say how much money he had made from the store, saying, “I’m not authorized to discuss finances.”

Somebody once criticized me for comparing conservatism to t-shirt selling operation. Well, literally this is what we have here. Yes, they probably did raise money for the campaign, after Grubbs got his cut.
 
A potentially bigger problem in Iowa was that the campaign had trouble matching the depth of the organization achieved by Rand’s father Ron Paul in 2012. “There wasn’t much organization, there wasn’t much leadership,” said the source close to the campaign. The campaign “missed out on reaching out to a lot of the Ron Paul electorate. There were a handful of old Ron Paul operatives who worked on our Iowa team and I think they agreed with me on that.”

Okay, someone in the know tell me if this is true or not. All I've been hearing over the last 48 hours how great our organization was in Iowa, with 1,000 precinct captains, 10,000 students, 1.2 million phone calls and all this stuff and now this "source" is saying "Nahh, it wasn't that good." Well, which is it? I have my suspicions and I can understand when you struck at the bottom of the polls all the voter contact you can make can't change peoples natural desires to make their vote count. But still, five percent is five percent and at some point you have to take responsibility, not to say well you fought even though you got your ass kicked.
 
And he never had much influence on the other candidates, either. On the issues, Ted Cruz deftly coopted libertarian positions, and Donald Trump’s dominance of the media coverage of the campaign never gave Paul the kind of exposure he had in 2013 and 2014. Conflicts between staff, particularly in the press operation, hamstrung normal campaign operations, a half dozen sources say. In the end, though some expected him to hang on till after New Hampshire, Paul decided to exit the race after Iowa.

Rand's decision to attack the outsider trend, instead of triangulate it and Trump, as Cruz did, was the crucial body blow to his campaign. Cruz also triangulated Rand by adopting his liberty positions, which eliminated the reason to go with Rand to begin with. Cruz and the others all had to deal with Trump's domination, but clearly some (Cruz, and for a while Carson) navigated it much better than Rand.

If Rand had not positioned himself as a compromising libertarian, he would not have been vulnerable (or as vulnerable) to somebody else posturing as a compromising libertarian stealing his views. Not having the foresight to see his finessing of liberty issues could be matched by somebody counter-finessing them turned out to be a fatal mistake.
 
very sad and unfortunate. Although, he should have waited the week until after NH. I would have no qualms with that.

I think he was completely out of money and could not longer afford to travel the state. As much as I hate to say it, it may be for the best and if there is a 2020 maybe he runs again...
 
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I think he was completely out of money and could not longer afford to travel the state. As much as I hate to say it, it may be for the best and if there is a 2020 maybe he runs again...

as of the 31st they still had about $1.5 million which was about what they typically spent in a month. He could have made it to super tuesday.
 
A potentially bigger problem in Iowa was that the campaign had trouble matching the depth of the organization achieved by Rand’s father Ron Paul in 2012. “There wasn’t much organization, there wasn’t much leadership,” said the source close to the campaign. The campaign “missed out on reaching out to a lot of the Ron Paul electorate. There were a handful of old Ron Paul operatives who worked on our Iowa team and I think they agreed with me on that.”

Okay, someone in the know tell me if this is true or not. All I've been hearing over the last 48 hours how great our organization was in Iowa, with 1,000 precinct captains, 10,000 students, 1.2 million phone calls and all this stuff and now this "source" is saying "Nahh, it wasn't that good." Well, which is it? I have my suspicions and I can understand when you struck at the bottom of the polls all the voter contact you can make can't change peoples natural desires to make their vote count. But still, five percent is five percent and at some point you have to take responsibility, not to say well you fought even though you got your ass kicked.

Matt Collins told me about a month or two ago that the Rand campaign had been taken over by a bunch of Romney people who had alienated the Ron Paul folks. Folks want to get mad and ban him for telling the truth. Or "blame the black people for not saving Rand." Or "Oh those youngsters just suck." Blame anybody but the campaign cause if you do that you're stabbing Rand int he back. :rolleyes: Matt was expecting Rand to do better in Iowa than he did but everything he told me was quite bleak.
 
Rand's decision to attack the outsider trend, instead of triangulate it and Trump, as Cruz did, was the crucial body blow to his campaign. Cruz also triangulated Rand by adopting his liberty positions, which eliminated the reason to go with Rand to begin with. Cruz and the others all had to deal with Trump's domination, but clearly some (Cruz, and for a while Carson) navigated it much better than Rand.

If Rand had not positioned himself as a compromising libertarian, he would not have been vulnerable (or as vulnerable) to somebody else posturing as a compromising libertarian stealing his views. Not having the foresight to see his finessing of liberty issues could be matched by somebody counter-finessing them turned out to be a fatal mistake.

THIS IS THE ABSOLUTE TRUTH!!!!!

Most people here simply have a low political IQ. When some of us try to point out that Trump and Cruz triangulated Rand by adopted a non-interventionist foreign policy, I either hear complete idiots say "Quit supporting Trump", as if the only reason to support someone is if they are non-interventionist (Dennis Kucinich is non-interventionist but that doesn't mean that I want him to be president), or I hear only slightly more intelligent people say "How is Trump non-interventionist when he says bomb the hell out of ISIS". NON-INTERVENTIONISM DOES NOT EQUAL PASSIVISM! RON PAUL VOTED TO BOMB THE HELL OUT OF AL QAEDA! NON INTERVENTIONIST MICHAEL SCHEUER INVENTED THE CIA RENDITION AND TORTURE PROGRAM!

People being blinded by their general lack of understanding of politics and non-interventionism has kept this movement from really seeing what's going on. Rand didn't lose because the country is more "pro war." Rand didn't lose because "liberty is not popular." That's what the mainstream media wants you to think. Rand lost because while he was trying to triangulate himself to seem like a more acceptable Ron Paul, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump did the same thing only better. To shore up the teocon vote Donald Trump ratcheted up the anti immigrant rhetoric. Most of teocons care more about keeping out the immigrants than they do about going to war. Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Rand Paul all ruled out dangerous no-fly zones in Syria and boots on the ground in Syria. And then when it came to independents? Well here comes Bernie Sanders. But to top it all off, Rand decided to carry Mitch McConnell's water at a time when McConnell is one of the most hated republicans when it comes to conservative talk radio. There has not a week gone by when I haven't heard Mark Levin or Michael Savage or some other radio talk show host talk about how much he can't stand Mitch McConnell. And Rand attacked Ted Cruz for calling McConnell a liar? Stupid...stupid...stupid! That was the absolute worst mistake of Rand's political career.
 
Matt Collins told me about a month or two ago that the Rand campaign had been taken over by a bunch of Romney people who had alienated the Ron Paul folks. Folks want to get mad and ban him for telling the truth. Or "blame the black people for not saving Rand." Or "Oh those youngsters just suck." Blame anybody but the campaign cause if you do that you're stabbing Rand int he back. :rolleyes: Matt was expecting Rand to do better in Iowa than he did but everything he told me was quite bleak.

Matt wasn't banned for "telling the truth"
 
People don't seem to understand that if you're anti-illegal invasion, you can then lubricate the non interventionist tendencies. Buchanan did it. Trump did it. Notice with Trump that much of the foreign policy criticisms of Trump simply fell by the wayside because he was viewed as looking out for America. Once you are successfully classified as an outsider by your enemies, you can't typically weather such storms.
 
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"Message candidate" is up there with "isolationist".

Pure psychological warfare by the status quo to make everyone reject someone who advocates for policy outside of the status quo. Nobody runs simply to spread a message, but the point of using that phrase is to make you feel you are swinging at windmills by supporting that candidate.
 
The tendency is to blame specific people for failures. No keyboard warriors know the details of what happened and what was done by inside individuals. Even insiders don't know everything that happened. It is more productive to talk about the strategies, tactics, political environment, issues and competition.
 
It's just like a sports team. "If we just get rid of that bum Quarterback/Coach/Running Back we could win the Superbowl". Then the so-called bum player goes to a new team and does great and wins the Superbowl. There is never just one factor.
 
As I expected, Buzzfeed makes no mention of media duplicity in Rand's campaign problems, which is fitting given that they contributed to it. News websites and other media outlets generally think that the world revolves around them because it does, because everything they say is believed by those who read and view their material, giving them an inordinate amount of power. This is what will need to be dealt with from here out, the media is the first and most effective line of defense in maintaining the soft-mode of tyranny that America has been fascinated with following the Civil War, and the advent of technology has not weakened it.
 
It's just like a sports team. "If we just get rid of that bum Quarterback/Coach/Running Back we could win the Superbowl". Then the so-called bum player goes to a new team and does great and wins the Superbowl. There is never just one factor.

Most of your team has never won so much as a high school championship, but thinks they deserve to win the Super Bowl and keep getting cheated out of it. We are going up against career people with 5 or 6 rings each.

We need to build a lot more depth and stop being so desperate to win the Super Bowl every year.
 
The tendency is to blame specific people for failures. No keyboard warriors know the details of what happened and what was done by inside individuals. Even insiders don't know everything that happened. It is more productive to talk about the strategies, tactics, political environment, issues and competition.

You are exactly right. There is no one answer. And it is absolutely amazing how little most of the of people writing obituaries understood about the psychology of voters vs people who actively post here. I have read in almost every article that a big reason Rand lost was because he was too anti-immigrant.

I like Radley Balko but he literally thinks Rand had low numbers because he didn't mention criminal justice reform enough. He also think Rand's harsh tone with immigrants cost him. He thinks Rand was to harsh on Black Lives Matter. Just an awful fact free critique. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-watch/wp/2016/02/04/rand-paul-and-missed-opportunities/
 
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