A Winning Strategy for Washington

rp08orbust

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Jun Dam, principal director of Grassroots for Liberty SuperPAC, has come up with a brilliant strategy for winning Washington state's caucus for Ron Paul on March 3. The strategy is the same voter identification and GOTV phonebanking used with success elsewhere, but with a new twist that we expect to boost turnout among the more casual supporters of Ron Paul. The novel twist is simply this: The SuperPAC will collect donations to be used as prize money for those who are the first to correctly report vote tallies from caucus precincts won by Ron Paul.

Participation in the contest will require invitations, which will be delivered by rp2012.org phonebankers to Ron Paul supporters in Washington that I identify through robocalls. I will be using the same unconventional techniques that I used for identifying thousands of Ron Paul-leaning Iowans before the Ames 2011 straw poll, most of whom were not yet on the Ron Paul campaign's radars. We expect the same techniques to produce similar, if not better results in identifying Ron Paul supporters in Washington.

The exact details of the contest are still being worked out, but here are the rules that are taking shape:

1. Invitations will be given with a secret phone number for contestants to text precinct caucus results to.
2. Winners will be those who are the first to send text messages with correct precinct names and vote tallies (for all candidates) in which Ron Paul is the winner. If precincts are aggregated, aggregated vote tallies will be accepted as well.
3. Only text messages from phone numbers on the invitation list will be considered.
4. Contestants are welcome to invite as many other contestants as they wish (whether they're eligible to vote in Washington or not) by texting their phone numbers to the "secret phone number" mentioned above from a phone number already on the invitation list.
5. The exact sizes and number of cash prizes have yet to be determined, but both will increase as donations are received. $1,000 for first prize, awarded to the first contestant (as determined by Google Voice time stamp) who reports a correct vote tally from a precinct caucus, seems like a reasonable place to start.

The incentives created by the contest are obvious:

1. Attend a Washington precinct caucus (or be a very good psychic). If you're eligible to vote, then vote.
2. Get as many other Ron Paul supporters to attend and vote as well.
3. See to it that voting and vote counting are as transparent as possible, which may require some assertiveness and numbers (which brings us back to 2).

First priority for the SuperPAC is raising money for anonymous robocall surveys to identify Ron Paul supporters in the state of Washington (see post #31 in this thread for more details). Donations can be made at http://rp2012.org/ . Our goal is to raise $5,000 before the weekend, so that robocalls can be sent across the state on Saturday, and follow-up phone calls can be made all-day Sunday.
 
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I will be unable to make ANY calls on Sunday but I will try to find others who will.
I'll also send out some emails trying to round up donations.
I'll talk to my wife tonight about donating as well ... time are tight.

Honestly, having worked with RP2012 before, there are tons of excellent ideas that were put forth and I believe would have been super effective if only participation had been up.

And Rob is the best person I know of to handle robo calls - if we get a good team and some funds I think this will be awesome.
 
suggestion:

Should there be a bonus added for any precinct that Ron Paul wins? Just a little more incentive to drag friends our perhaps ... or just a waste of resources?

edit: never mind. I missed where he said that was already part of the plan.
 
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suggestion:

Should there be a bonus added for any precinct that Ron Paul wins? Just a little more incentive to drag friends our perhaps ... or just a waste of resources?

Answered in OP.

The strategy is simply this: The SuperPAC will collect donations to be used to offer rewards to anyone who correctly reports vote tallies from caucus precincts won by Ron Paul.
 
How many robocalls will you be making estimated?
How much does it cost for a block of calls, do you know yet?

These kinds of numbers would be helpful for some possible donors to know.
 
How many robocalls will you be making estimated?
How much does it cost for a block of calls, do you know yet?

These kinds of numbers would be helpful for some possible donors to know.

I estimate that each Ron Paul-leaning person in Washington can be identified for about $1.60 each. Without the contest, we'd estimate that about 20% of them would turn out to vote based on results from Washington Co., ME. Obviously, we hope the contest will drive that way up.
 
I received an email from grassroots for liberty PAC saying they need 1.60 to pay for each voter info...we shouldn't be buying voter information when the campaign already has voter information and is already making gotv calls.

I do understand that we need to track the votes but there are too many variables that would make the results inaccurate.

I repeat...it makes absolutely no sense to buy voter information for Washington TWICE. The campaign already has a great GOTV effort. It makes more sense to contact Ron Paul supporters in each precinct to demand public vote counting and record the results, something which Watchthevote seems to be already doing.


Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here.
 
Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here.

I'll let you know you're wrong if Ron Paul loses the Washington caucus.

Seriously, we won't be able to evaluate the effectiveness of the campaign and determine if spending the money to identify new Ron Paul supporters would have been worth it until after the results are in. If people are confident that Ron Paul has Washington in the bag, then there's no need to donate to the PAC.
 
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Why only reward those results posted in which Ron Paul wins?
This means there is NO incentive to post results for caucuses where he doesn't win, and we need to know how much he loses by in those districts just as much as we need to know how much he wins by.

In other words, we need all results, so why only provide incentive for some results?
 
Why only reward those results posted in which Ron Paul wins?
This means there is NO incentive to post results for caucuses where he doesn't win, and we need to know how much he loses by in those districts just as much as we need to know how much he wins by.

In other words, we need all results, so why only provide incentive for some results?

Yup this is one of the variables I was talking about that would contribute to inaccurate results.
 
Why only reward those results posted in which Ron Paul wins?
This means there is NO incentive to post results for caucuses where he doesn't win, and we need to know how much he loses by in those districts just as much as we need to know how much he wins by.

In other words, we need all results, so why only provide incentive for some results?

Why reward failure?
 
Yup this is one of the variables I was talking about that would contribute to inaccurate results.

The purpose isn't to get a complete statewide tally of the Washington caucus, it's to win it.
 
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But we're not confident. We thought we had Iowa, and Maine in the bag too.

The campaign was overconfident about Iowa twice. They only bought 4,000 tee shirts because that's how many votes they thought it would take to win the Ames straw poll.

We all know caucus polls are pretty unreliable, but the latest WA polls, unlike the IA polls, don't even show Ron Paul anywhere near first.
 
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there are a couple factors here, but i don't want to discourage anyone from helping us out in Washington.

first, at least at my pooled caucus location, we will have RP vote counters. we went through this last time, and i don't feel we were screwed as much as we were given bad advice from the campaign. second, there are a gazillion precincts in Washington. i love the thought, but the logistics must be a nightmare.

hope i get a call though.
 
there are a couple factors here, but i don't want to discourage anyone from helping us out in Washington.

first, at least at my pooled caucus location, we will have RP vote counters. we went through this last time, and i don't feel we were screwed as much as we were given bad advice from the campaign. second, there are a gazillion precincts in Washington.

We're not pretending to want to identify a supporter in every precinct. It's all about boosting Ron Paul's statewide vote total with votes from the elusive softer supporters in need of incentive so that we can finally have a symbolic win recognized by the media (I have no doubt Ron Paul will do well getting delegates from WA).

The contest is just a gimmick to turn out the slacker vote.
 
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It's funny that some people think this is a "watch the vote" operation.
This is a "get out the vote" operation...
It just happens that the incentive is delivered via count-reporting.
 
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