Recent content by tacitt

Has Paul's campaign stated that they will not be buying any tickets? I'm only asking because he stated in an interview that the straw poll is one of the things he would actually spend a decent amount of campaign funds on.

What you're seeing isn't a scam. The people who put out the bids and offers are independent market makers - not intrade itself. Some of the market makers use programs, or bots, which respond to order flow by placing new bids and offers and/or removing old bids and offers. This is not...

http://www.freecentury.com/2007/06/20/ron-paul-fighting-possible-war-against-iran-speech-on-h-con-res-21/ June 20, 2007 Madam Speaker: I rise in strong opposition to this resolution. This resolution is an exercise in propaganda that serves one purpose: to move us closer to initiating a war...

I still don't get it, there's so much double-talk everywhere on this issue. I found a Moveon.org letter on the issue here: http://civic.moveon.org/airwaves/fccletter.html?id=10525-7192177-927rwz&t=2 What do we have right now? What is being proposed? What system has the least intervention...

There's no way in hell it would be Richardson, or some of the suggestions in other threads. I don't like the idea that some think he would pick someone based more on their ability to draw in a certain voting demographic than their ideas -- he's running on principles, strategic bullshit like...

I don't know if there have been changes since the links were first posted, but the articles that I see are far from identical, and certainly not similar enough to make one think that the second article simply copied the first and left out the Paul mention. I agree with the sentiment, that the...

yes. if that's Giuliani's price, you'd risk 7.40 to win 2.60 each contract.

www.intrade.com has contracts like this. tradesports and betfair offer contracts like this, but I think betfair is not open to Americans and tradesports is limited to sports.

I have a few questions about Ron Paul's views on several issues, and the potential public reaction to those views: * Anti-Trust Law. What is his stance? I would assume that he is rightly against much current antitrust law - but does he feel that there should be any form of federal antitrust...

I agree. I'm saying the sportsbook wager in the first post doesn't indicate much of anything - it's not a two sided market. The closest a bettor could come to selling Paul's odds would be to buy every single other candidate - which, given the vig, will lose money no matter what. A better...

Doesn't really work like that in this kind of wager/market. There's no real way to 'sell' Paul's chances - no good way for the market to correct itself. Better indication may be intrade where you can sell Paul directly - it has him at around 99:1 - though that has it's problems since selling...

I don't think his pro gun stance is going to hurt him in the eyes of his potential supporters. Guns and gun rights are obviously treated much different in America - and it's a fair point to say that the overthrow of government argument is outdated because it's not like both the people and the...