Recent content by laissez faire

Proud to fill in the oval for Rand tonight, and more than 1,600 people joined me. Watching this link to see if he can catch Christie. Chris, Marco, Jeb, Kasich all carpet-bombed this state with ads in front of NH, not one ad for Rand. So I'll take this 1600+ as a nice sign of not being alone...

About 1 out of every 269 voting-age Iowans caucused for Rand Paul on Monday. Think about that next time you’re in a crowded movie theater. That’s less than 2 people in a crowd that size. A thousand precinct chairs, 1.1 million phone calls, mailers, ads, signs, campaign events, tv appearances...

A movement with political might is millions of people in agreement on a whole batch of principles. You appear to be doing what so many have done since '07, overestimating the agreement among those who support or have supported Ron, Rand, Gary Johnson, Harry Browne, et al. My post illuminates...

I'll be in New Hampshire on Sunday because there is still value and possibility requiring my energy. That said, consider this when you consider strategy: Suppose Rand received 50,000 votes last night instead of Cruz. Who would they be? Answer, a mix of people voting for very different...

The best things about tonight. 1) Rand got 8,300 votes but it was the same as getting 15 thousand because the stories coming out of tonight are huge and media-dominating... Sanders ties Clinton, Cruz holds on, Rubio surges. I've been watching coverage online and on 2 networks for HOURS and...

The most important thing to do is learn and adapt strategies.

Huckabee has dropped out, not Santorum, he's going to SC.

With 53% in, Rand is just over 4,000 votes. On pace for 8,000. I knew these 25k+ predictions were crazy but I expected 10-15k.

6% reporting CRUZ 2,222 Votes 30.2% TRUMP 2,107 Votes 28.6% RUBIO 1,310 Votes 17.8% CARSON 723 Votes 9.8% PAUL 317 Votes 4.3%

Excellent find, great upward movement for Rand. I don't see the firm here... http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/ ..but it appears to be a very comprehensive study. Thanks.

February 1st is the day for action in Iowa by so many who deserve so much praise. A standing ovation for your tireless work, from the callers to the precinct chairs all the way up to Rand himself. And thanks in advance for sprinting to the finish line over the next dozen hours or so, getting...

538's recent feature on the Des Moines Register's Ann Selzer. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/selzer/ The paper's announcement of the final poll results to come later today...

Hoping for 12% and 4th place, concerned it will be slightly lower.

This is on the right track. My assessment is as follows and it ends with good news: The anti-establishment segment is largest, it's immense this year and that has not gone to Rand but to Trump, Cruz, Sanders, Carson and a little Carly. The anti-war segment has largely gone to Sanders with the...

320k for both parties. 2012 had one party voting.