Texan4Life
Member
- Joined
- May 12, 2007
- Messages
- 1,708

-17% Wow. Why are the russians getting hit so hard? Maybe because they are not propping up their banks?
Yeah, can anyone explain why the Russians are getting hit so hard?
Yeah, can anyone explain why the Russians are getting hit so hard?
Hardly unexpected: This crisis has been coming for a while but with Russians stubbornly denying that it might ever happen to them again. The links of the Russian market to the rest of the world economy are not to be underestimated and global ripple effects of the credit crunch are felt throughout.
The other 2 factors contributing to the current collapse in share prices are - the war in Georgia; and the fall in world oil prices.
Additionally, the Russian government has also generated conditions for their own credit crunch through an unchecked consumer lending in the last few years. Credit was freely available for all matter of purchases with no credit checks and only with some basic proof of income.
My prediction: This is going to get much worse shortly. Russia stands to suffer from the properly bubble bursting at any time soon. At the moment the ongoing building boom is unsustainable and is nothing short of a speculative pyramid scheme in property, with easy-come-easy-go money being invested in the housing market on an anticipation of an further unchecked rise in housing prices. These houses and flats are actually standing empty right across Moscow.
Banks which have been riding on a wave of relative economic prosperity in the past 5 years will start defaulting like they did in 1998 as the shocking state of their bad loan portfolio will emerge, and the credit crunch will set in preventing them from obtaining rescue loans from other institutions.