Bradley in DC
Member
- Joined
- May 18, 2007
- Messages
- 12,279
I'm posting this so we have a clear idea of what it will take for us to win Iowa.
The more candidates that are consistently pro-war but flip flop on everything else, the better for us!
http://www.cqpolitics.com/2007/05/craig_crawfords_trail_mix_thom.html
Craig Crawford’s Trail Mix: Thompson Bid Good News for Giuliani
ByCraig Crawford | 10:30 AM; May. 30, 2007
Rudolph Giuliani might well hope that today’s news about Fred Thompson moving forward with a presidential bid is soon followed by an announcement that Newt Gingrich gets in. The more social conservatives in the Republican race, the better for Giuliani.
Look at the math in Iowa, for instance. In 2000, the last contested race on the GOP side, George W. Bush won the Iowa caucuses with a little over 35,000. His closest three rivals were all more hardcore conservatives than Bush — Steve Forbes, Alan Keyes and Gary Bauer. Put together, they actually beat Bush by 10,000 votes.
Giuliani, a social moderate who is pro-choice on abortion, can benefit if the conservative vote is split as many ways as possible. The rest of the major contenders, including Sen. John McCain, are all making hard pitches for the Republican party’s base of social conservatives. For Giuliani, it’s the more the merrier.
Contributing Editor Craig Crawford is a news analyst for NBC, MSNBC and CNBC. His new book is “The Politics of Life: 25 Rules for Survival in a Brutal and Manipulative World.”
The more candidates that are consistently pro-war but flip flop on everything else, the better for us!
http://www.cqpolitics.com/2007/05/craig_crawfords_trail_mix_thom.html
Craig Crawford’s Trail Mix: Thompson Bid Good News for Giuliani
ByCraig Crawford | 10:30 AM; May. 30, 2007
Rudolph Giuliani might well hope that today’s news about Fred Thompson moving forward with a presidential bid is soon followed by an announcement that Newt Gingrich gets in. The more social conservatives in the Republican race, the better for Giuliani.
Look at the math in Iowa, for instance. In 2000, the last contested race on the GOP side, George W. Bush won the Iowa caucuses with a little over 35,000. His closest three rivals were all more hardcore conservatives than Bush — Steve Forbes, Alan Keyes and Gary Bauer. Put together, they actually beat Bush by 10,000 votes.
Giuliani, a social moderate who is pro-choice on abortion, can benefit if the conservative vote is split as many ways as possible. The rest of the major contenders, including Sen. John McCain, are all making hard pitches for the Republican party’s base of social conservatives. For Giuliani, it’s the more the merrier.
Contributing Editor Craig Crawford is a news analyst for NBC, MSNBC and CNBC. His new book is “The Politics of Life: 25 Rules for Survival in a Brutal and Manipulative World.”
