What do you expect Ron will get in NH?

[shagywashere]

I think he will get 2nd or 3rd. I predict McCain being 1st followed by Romney, then Paul, then Huckabee.


First would be great but I think Romney or McCain will grab that. Ron and Huckabee will competing for third.

 

[Paulitician]

5th. I'm low-balling it to make sure I'm not disappointed again

 

[JayDee]

5th. I'm low-balling it to make sure I'm not disappointed again

Screw that, shoot for the moon or you may not get over the fence.

Ron Paul will WIN NH.

 

[fredricko]

Wolf Blitzer says that Ron Paul will be more influential in New Hampshire than in Iowa so we shouldn't write him off yet.

1 McCain
2 Romney
3 Close Race Between Paul, Huckabee, and Giuliani.

 

[coffeewithchess]

5th. I'm low-balling it to make sure I'm not disappointed again

LOL, I agree, I say he will get 8th place, behind Duncan Hunter and Alan Keyes.

 

[shagywashere]

LOL, I agree, I say he will get 8th place, behind Duncan Hunter and Alan Keyes.

LOL that would be the end of the world...

 

[B9vot3r]

i think 18-20% is a realistic goal to shoot for. not sure what place that achieves, but it cant be below 3rd place.

if he goes higher, ill drink myself stupid so that everyone can love me that much more the next day at work.

 

[Paulitician]

We're polling even lower in NH than we are in Iowa.

 

[NJ Carlos]

I expect 3rd because of the vast amount of independents in NH. He was on the tail of McCain and Thompson and will definitely place/show in NH.

 

[NJ Carlos]

We're polling even lower in NH than we are in Iowa.

McCain 31.3
Romney 28.8
Giuliani 10.0
Huckabee 9.5
Paul 7.0
Thompson 2.3

Expect a bigger discrepancy due to the lack of a clear-cut partisan population.

Edit: also note that Paul was polling 7.3 in Iowa on aggregate stats on realclearpolitics.com

 

[coffeewithchess]

I think Alan Keyes will place first and RP will place 8th, behind Duncan Hunter(who will place 7th, regardless if he is still in the race by then).

 

[Paulitician]

I think Alan Keyes will place first and RP will place 8th, behind Duncan Hunter(who will place 7th, regardless if he is still in the race by then).

 

[bolognium]

5th. I'm low-balling it to make sure I'm not disappointed again

I'm with you on that.. I think we should be prepared for the worst, after all - this is just one Presidential election.. the big change needs to happen in Congress... that's the failure - it was known Presidents would abuse power and Congress is neither checking or balancing.

 

[JohnnyWrath]

Ames, Iowa straw poll results
8/11/2007
5th place
9.1%



TRY TO LOOK AHEAD TO THE BIG PICTURE...next stop....New Hampshire.

Strafford County, NH straw poll results
8/18/2007
1st place
72.2% of the votes

Manchester, NH Straw Poll
9/16/2007
1st place
65.0% of the votes

 

[coffeewithchess]

RP will finish in 8th place behind Duncan Hunter, but Alan Keyes will shock the WORLD with a 1st place in New Hampshire!
Paul/Keyes08!

 

[Think12345]

Ames, Iowa straw poll results
8/11/2007
5th place
9.1%



TRY TO LOOK AHEAD TO THE BIG PICTURE...next stop....New Hampshire.

Strafford County, NH straw poll results
8/18/2007
1st place
72.2% of the votes

Manchester, NH Straw Poll
9/16/2007
1st place
65.0% of the votes

I like this logic

 

[pickfair]

All the same, I'm not getting my hopes up too high. I was surprised to find how disappointed I got at first yesterday. I predict he'll come in 3rd, and 2nd may be possible as well.

 

[jorlowitz]

No top 5 placement is insignificant. Every time Paul places above 6th it means he beat out one of the "front-runners". As long as he is always beating one of the front-runners, it legitimizes his continuing growth and efforts.

As for New Hampshire, Paul should do well. But, it's really wide open. I could see him getting 3rd realistically, but 4th or even 5th wouldn't shock me. I don't think that means the campaign has failed either. There are a lot of people in the country. Paul will win more votes as more people who haven't been involved in politics vote and as more supporters convert those who they talk to about politics.

5th, 4th, maybe a 3rd in Wyoming... Paul will have credibility to last him AT LEAST to Feb 5.

There needs to be a MASSIVE ad campaign in feb 5th states. I'm hoping the campaign buys Jeremiah black's ads and plasters them all over the country. They're very effective, modern, and refreshing.

 

[shagywashere]

bump

 

[all J's in IL for RP]

3rd. I'm an optimist. I said a close 3rd for Iowa, and was only 3% off. Middle of the pack is good, a close 4th may be unavoidable with a Huckabee surge, but that would solidify viability in some eyes.