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The Ten Worst Mistakes of Losing Candidates

ronpaulhawaii

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Jun 25, 2007
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by Morton C. Blackwell

Some candidates lose because they can't raise enough money, no matter how hard or skillfully they try. Others lose because their election districts are demographically wrong, because the trend is against their party or because their views are not close enough to those of the voters.

But many losing candidates could have won, if they had avoided making one or more of the following common mistakes:

1. Failure to develop in advance a comprehensive campaign plan, including a timetable and a realistic budget. In politics you can start late, but you can't start too early. Losing campaigns almost always misorder priorities, putting too much effort on things which can have little effect on the election outcome.

2. Managing their own campaigns.

3. Spending too much time at headquarters rather than going out personally to solicit votes or raise money.

4. Hiring consultants who personally absorb too much of their campaign budgets.

5. Spending too much of the campaign funds on paid media and polling and not enough on building an organization of large numbers of people in campaign activities.

6. Adopting (and sometimes changing) positions on issues because of pressure from major contributors or the results of public opinion polls. Polls can be useful to determine which of their personal positions on issues should be stressed in their campaigns.

7. Misreading public opinion polls, which usually measure preference but seldom measure intensity. Intensity, not preference, motivates people to act in politics.

8. Failure to stress properly the issues which motivate the core elements of their supporters.

9. Responding to every minor criticism rather than focussing on the carefully considered issue thrust of their own campaigns. Campaigns lose when too much on the defensive.

10. Failure to respond properly to continuing negative information, whether from an opponent, the news media or both. Ignoring a continuing negative issue won't make it go away.

http://www.leadershipinstitute.org
 
Brilliant stuff. Here's hoping that Jack Stratton gets a gander at this thread when he gets over his snit.
 
How about real examples of mistakes and tactical backfirings?

Gary Hart: Lesson learned? Don't have an affair, publicly deny it, challenge the press and tabloids to follow you around to establish your innocence, and parade said bimbo on a highly publicized yacht trip with photographers all around.

Walter Mondale's campaign ad depicting nuclear weapons being launched from space to inspire fear of Reagan's tough stance against the USSR. That backfired...badly. Way to get the entire nation supporting Reagan's tough stance against the Soviets.
 
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Blackwell summarized some secondary issues, and seems to presume candidates will get the primary consideration right. But what I have seen from Ron Paul Republicans running this year suggests its the big picture that's lacking. Not only are our candidates failing to 'raise enough money,' for example, they don't know (or accept) how much they have to raise to be viable---for a congressional race, that's hundreds of thousands, at minimum.

Then there's the basic race dynamics themselves, most of the candidates are running against strong incumbents, when politics 101 says to wait for an open seat, or a compromised incumbent (too old, or too scandal-ridden). 101 thinking also says try to find a situation where the major party nomination is truly winnable, not fight a strong party machine intent on placing their selectee in the nominee position. The candidates have mostly disregarded the party trend of the districts they are running in, and are trying to run GOP in a Democrfatic leaning area. These kind of errors dwarf the miscellaneous mistakes Blackwell mentions.
 
Blackwell summarized some secondary issues, and seems to presume candidates will get the primary consideration right. But what I have seen from Ron Paul Republicans running this year suggests its the big picture that's lacking. Not only are our candidates failing to 'raise enough money,' for example, they don't know (or accept) how much they have to raise to be viable---for a congressional race, that's hundreds of thousands, at minimum.

Then there's the basic race dynamics themselves, most of the candidates are running against strong incumbents, when politics 101 says to wait for an open seat, or a compromised incumbent (too old, or too scandal-ridden). 101 thinking also says try to find a situation where the major party nomination is truly winnable, not fight a strong party machine intent on placing their selectee in the nominee position. The candidates have mostly disregarded the party trend of the districts they are running in, and are trying to run GOP in a Democrfatic leaning area. These kind of errors dwarf the miscellaneous mistakes Blackwell mentions.

You are acting like we have a ton of time to do this. We have little time before we are too far gone and we must either exercise our Second Amendment rights or go silently into the good night. Lots of seats are winnable with a little help, it's just no one knows how to run a campaign in this movement. You need a good theme, a good plan to deliver the theme/message, and enough money to execute that plan. It is important to lay out every single thing you are going to use money on and how much that is. If you want to win a Congressional seat, a good plan would need about $300,000 to be executed fully, maybe more depending on the situation.
 
Some people have to start preparing for races in 2010 and 2012. That is how you build a winning campaign. This year's candidates are meant to keep us together more than to win.
 
Some people have to start preparing for races in 2010 and 2012. That is how you build a winning campaign. This year's candidates are meant to keep us together more than to win.

Tell that to BJ Lawson, who just won his primary in North Carolina with 70% of the vote.
 
Tell that to BJ Lawson, who just won his primary in North Carolina with 70% of the vote.

I love B. J. Lawson, and I think that he could beat David Price. I just wanted to say that it is very hard to just jump into a race and win. I know someone who has been preparing to run for governor of Mississippi for a few years already. If we have candidates preparing for 2010 and 2012, we will have more successful candidates in those elections.
 
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