Taylor Swift's endorsement of Harris BACKFIRES!

[jmdrake]

LOL.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/taylor-swift-endorsement-backfires-kamala-235647265.html

Taylor Swift’s endorsement backfires on Kamala Harris
Telegraph reporters
Sat, September 14, 2024 at 6:56 PM CDT·2 min read
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Taylor Swift's endorsement backfires on Kamala Harris
Taylor Swift’s endorsement backfires on Kamala Harris
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Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris appears to have backfired, according to a poll.

A new poll from YouGov released Saturday found that only 8 per cent of voters said the superstar’s approval would see them “somewhat” or “much more likely” to vote for Ms Harris.

But the same poll, which ran on Sep 11 and 12, found one in five (20 per cent) of those surveyed would be less likely to vote for her after the endorsement.

Immediately after the Trump-Harris TV debate on Tuesday, Swift posted on Instagram: “I’m voting for @kamalaharris because she fights for the rights and causes I believe need a warrior to champion them,” to her 284 million Instagram followers, urging them to register to vote and make their own choice.

Her post drew 10.4 million likes and the vote.gov website received 405,999 visitors in the 24 hours after Swift shared a custom URL with followers.

Ms Harris aides say they would love for Swift to actively campaign, such as by appearing at a rally in her native Pennsylvania, a battleground state that could well decide the election.

But the polling might suggest this wouldn’t be in her best interests.

The Harris campaign itself was not involved in Swift’s decision to back Harris.

The vice president’s aides said they learned of Swift’s support only when the entertainer, 34, posted minutes after the vice president stepped off the debate stage in Philadelphia on Tuesday night.

What difference does a celebrity endorsement make?
Celebrity endorsements have shaped recent elections.

A 2008 Northwestern University report found Oprah Winfrey’s endorsement added a million votes to Barack Obama’s tally.

But a 2010 North Carolina State University report found celebrity endorsements by George Clooney and Angelina Jolie did little to move the political needle.

Margaretha Bentley, a professor at Arizona State University whose class studies Swift’s social importance, is unsure whether the pop singer will have an impact. She asked her students earlier this year whether a Swift endorsement would matter. Some said they would follow Swift’s lead and others said it would prompt them to do more research.

And the poll appears to back Ms Bentley’s view - with 66 per cent saying the celebrity nod of approval would make no difference to how they vote on Nov 5.
​

 

[Anti Globalist]

I remember when Taylor Swift refused to ever talk about politics on account that she didn't want to alienate her fan base. Must be deeply regretting that now.

 

[Voluntarist]

A new poll from YouGov released Saturday found that only 8 per cent of voters said the superstar’s approval would see them “somewhat” or “much more likely” to vote for Ms Harris.

I've been trying to find details on that particular poll; with no success. All the right-wing news outlets are heralding it. But I haven't found anything about methodology: sample size, how the sample was selected, characteristics of the sample (age, sex, registered vs unregistered voters) ... all that kind of stuff.

On another note, though - One of the many reasons I have against democratic voting is how stupid the electorate is and how easily they are manipulated ... celebrity endorsements being just one example. Cue Larry David's "Even The Stupid Ones" crypto ad (at the applicable moment).

 

[Anti Federalist]

I've been trying to find details on that particular poll; with no success. All the right-wing news outlets are heralding it. But I haven't found anything about methodology: sample size, how the sample was selected, characteristics of the sample (age, sex, registered vs unregistered voters) ... all that kind of stuff.

On another note, though - One of the many reasons I have against democratic voting is how stupid the electorate is and how easily they are manipulated ... celebrity endorsements being just one example. Cue Larry David's "Even The Stupid Ones" crypto ad (at the applicable moment).

I question it as well.

 

[vita3]

Swifts young fans follow her blindly.

They are politicaly active & have voter registration @ concerts

Really Wish it didn’t matter but it does.

 

[jmdrake]

 

[jmdrake]

I've been trying to find details on that particular poll; with no success. All the right-wing news outlets are heralding it. But I haven't found anything about methodology: sample size, how the sample was selected, characteristics of the sample (age, sex, registered vs unregistered voters) ... all that kind of stuff.

On another note, though - One of the many reasons I have against democratic voting is how stupid the electorate is and how easily they are manipulated ... celebrity endorsements being just one example. Cue Larry David's "Even The Stupid Ones" crypto ad (at the applicable moment).

I question it as well.

I didn't find the YouGov poll but I did find an Ipsos poll that came to the same conclusion.

https://thehill.com/homenews/4881812-taylor-swift-endorsement-little-impact/

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1236a1AftertheHarris-TrumpDebate.pdf

 

[Voluntarist]

I didn't find the YouGov poll but I did find an Ipsos poll that came to the same conclusion.

https://thehill.com/homenews/4881812-taylor-swift-endorsement-little-impact/

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1236a1AftertheHarris-TrumpDebate.pdf

Well, the more likely percentages are in the same range but the less likely aren't (8% more likely for Harris, 20% less likely ... versus 6% more likely for Harris, 13% less likely). The ratios between the two numbers are off, but the general flow that more people became less inclined to favor Harris is there in both. There are an awful lot of male football fans that think of Taylor as Yoko Swiftie, so maybe that plays into it. And I certainly don't know what to think of the 405K visits to vote.gov in the 24 hours after Taylor provided the URL.

Bill Maher had mentioned another poll (though I don't have any details) on his "Real Time With Bill Maher" show last Friday (13SEP):

Maher then attempted to unpack a “surprising” statistic about Swift’s fanbase following her post-debate endorsement of Harris.

“This was the most surprising part of it, was who she influenced,” he said. “Swift, it says, would have more influence over male voters — 27% of male voters said they’d be more likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Swift. I must have this phenomenon gauged all wrong. I thought it would be women.”

Perhaps Maher should invest in a gay friend? They probably would have advised him against making the next joke he did about Swift.

“Now that Taylor Swift has saved democracy by endorsing Kamala Harris, she has one more mission: stop making Travis Kelce dress like a douche,” said Maher in his ‘New Rules’ segment. “I don’t own a cat but I know what it smells like when they mark their turf.”

You can see, from that joke, the amount of condescension a lot of people have about the Swift/Kelce relationship (he's done his research about jokes that play well).

 

[vita3]

Again, these polls are bullshit.

She 100% moves the needle on 25yr old & younger voters

I’ve recently talked to an 18 year old girl who makes minimum wage @ breakfast shop I go to who shelled out $500 for one of her concerts.

These kids can’t think for themselves & whomever runs swiftly managment successfully preys on them

 

[jmdrake]

Well, the more likely percentages are in the same range but the less likely aren't (8% more likely for Harris, 20% less likely ... versus 6% more likely for Harris, 13% less likely). The ratios between the two numbers are off, but the general flow that more people became less inclined to favor Harris is there in both. There are an awful lot of male football fans that think of Taylor as Yoko Swiftie, so maybe that plays into it. And I certainly don't know what to think of the 405K visits to vote.gov in the 24 hours after Taylor provided the URL.

Bill Maher had mentioned another poll (though I don't have any details) on his "Real Time With Bill Maher" show last Friday (13SEP):


You can see, from that joke, the amount of condescension a lot of people have about the Swift/Kelce relationship (he's done his research about jokes that play well).

WIth 284 million followers on social media, a mere 450K clicking on a link she shared really isn't that much.

Again, these polls are bull$#@!.

She 100% moves the needle on 25yr old & younger voters

I’ve recently talked to an 18 year old girl who makes minimum wage @ breakfast shop I go to who shelled out $500 for one of her concerts.

These kids can’t think for themselves & whomever runs swiftly managment successfully preys on them

And how many of these 18 year old girls weren't already planning to vote for Kamala Harris? I sincerely doubt there is a strong overlap between impressionable Taylor Swift fans and independet / undecided voters.

 

[vita3]

Again, they have voter registration @ concerts for these kids @ every concert.

Plus sending them voting registration link directly to their phone

It’s a significant political organization

I don’t like it, but it’s a fact

Republican party seems to be incredibly week with young female voters

 

[jmdrake]

Again, they have voter registration @ concerts for these kids @ every concert.

Plus sending them voting registration link directly to their phone

It’s a significant political organization

I don’t like it, but it’s a fact

Swing states are all that matters. Like Pennsylvania.

https://www.newsweek.com/voter-registration-democrats-republicans-2024-election-1938624

GOP Voter Registration Four Times Higher Than Democrats in Pennsylvania

Voter registration among Republicans is four times higher than it is among Democrats in Pennsylvania, according to new data.

Decision Desk data shows that GOP voter registration surged in July, with more than 21,000 Republicans signing up to vote. In contrast, only 5,000 Democrats registered to vote in July 2024.

The data also shows that since November 2020, the number of Democrats registered to vote in the state has decreased by more than 320,000. Meanwhile, the number of Republicans registered to vote has also dropped, but by a much smaller margin, with 1,400 fewer voters since 2020.

Pennsylvania is among the 30 states, including the swing states of North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, which register voters by requiring a political party designation. If voters refuse to choose a party, they will remain unaffiliated.
​

Republican party seems to be incredibly week with young female voters

Well that's what happens when you have stupid Republicans in states like Alabama (yes I live there) go so far as to ban all abortions post conception and end up accidentally destorying the IVF industry as well as banning birth control devices like IUDs. Sorry but equating a zygote to a 24 week old fetus is stupid. But now you have women afraid that their state abortion laws will be so draconian that if they get raped they don't even have the option of the morning after pill. (And yes I know that it typically prevents ovulation but it can also prevent implantation.) Trump has verbally distanced himself from that lunacy but the damage is already done.

 

[acptulsa]

 

[jmdrake]

I'm going to be straight up honest. I don't get her mega popularity. Her music is meh. If there was ever proof that some musicians sell their soul to the devil for fame, Taylor Swift is it.

 

[acptulsa]

I'm going to be straight up honest. I don't get her mega popularity. Her music is meh. If there was ever proof that some musicians sell their soul to the devil for fame, Taylor Swift is it.

Speaking of meh...

Teens are definitely herd animals, by and large.

 

[jmdrake]

Speaking of meh...

Teens are definitely herd animals, by and large.

BIte your tongue! That was one of my favorite TV shows as a 6 year old!