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Scientists Know Better Than You--Even When They're Wrong

yongrel

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Scientists Know Better Than You--Even When They're Wrong
Why fallible expertise trumps armchair science—a Q&A with sociologist of science Harry Collins
By JR Minkel for Scientific American
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=scientists-know-better-than-you


If you take scientists at their word, human-induced climate change is well underway, evolution accounts for the diversity of life on Earth and vaccines do not cause autism. But the collective expertise of thousands of researchers barely registers with global warming skeptics, creationist movie producers and distrustful parents. Why is scientific authority under fire from so many corners? Sociologist Harry Collins thinks part of the answer lies in a misunderstanding of expertise itself. Like Jane Goodall living among the chimps, Collins, a professor at Cardiff University in Wales, has spent 30 years observing physicists who study gravitational wave detection—the search for faint ripples in the fabric of spacetime. He's learned the hard way about the work that goes into acquiring specialized scientific knowledge. In a recent book, Rethinking Expertise, he says that what bridges the gap—and what keeps science working—is something called "interactional expertise". Collins spoke recently with ScientificAmerican.com about his view of expertise; what follows is an edited transcript of that interview.

How did we get to the point where scientific authority is so easily challenged?
The high point of the authority of science was perhaps the 1950s. In those days one would see on the popular television programs a scientist wearing a white coat with license to speak authoritatively on almost any subject to do with science—and sometimes on subjects outside of science. But things go wrong in the progress of science and technology. If you see the space shuttle crashing, you can see that these guys in the white coats don't always get it right.

When you discover the jagged edges of science, you start to think, wait a minute—maybe scientists' views aren't quite as immaculate as we thought they were. Maybe ordinary people's views can weigh a little more. And I think there's some truth to this, but not as much as some of my colleagues think. Having studied esoteric sciences from the outside, I know that ordinary people have no chance of grasping the details of them.

What's wrong with ordinary people weighing in on scientific subjects?
It is easy to imagine all sorts of horror stories if we abandon the idea that there are some people who know what they are talking about and some who don't. Most scientific disputes that concern the public are at the cutting edge—the place where things are not completely certain. Examples are the safety of vaccines, the true importance of global warming, the effects of farming genetically modified food crops, and so forth.

Even now, in the U.K., the relatively dangerous disease of measles is becoming endemic as a result of a widespread consumer revolt against the MMR vaccine about 10 years ago. Parents believe that even though doctors assure them that vaccines are safe, those doctors may be wrong. Therefore, the parents think they are entitled to throw their own judgment into the mix. Quite a few social scientists are pushing this trend hard.

Why should the average person acknowledge that scientists might know better than they do?
It is possible to make an argument from the common sense idea that scientists know what they're talking about because they've spent much more time looking at the areas of the natural sciences that we're interested in. Normally, if somebody's spent a lot of time in an area, you'd tend to take their opinion as more valuable.

We believe that you can work out whether someone has the right scientific expertise and experience to make some sensible contribution to scientific debates. It doesn't mean they're right. What you have to do is not sort out the people who are right and wrong; what you have to sort is the people who can make sensible contributions from those who can't. Because once you stop doing that, things go horribly wrong.

That seems like it cuts both ways. Are evolutionary biologists like Richard Dawkins fanning the flames in the way that they engage creationists?

Once scientists move outside their scientific experience, they become like a layperson. I'm not a religious person, but if I want to talk religion with someone, it won't be a scientist; it will be with someone who understands theology (who might be either an atheist or a believer). I believe people like Dawkins give atheism a bad name because their arguments are so crude and unsubtle. They step outside their narrow competences when they produce these arguments.

In our book we too criticize creationism's pretensions to be a science, but we don't treat it as a trivial problem. Our critiques of creationism are: (a) that it stops scientific progress in its tracks by answering questions in a way that closes off further research; and (b) that there is no real attempt to meld the approach with the existing methods of science. We know that the creationists say this is not true, but their hypotheses relate to books of obscure origin or to faith rather than to observation.

How do you distinguish the people who can and can't contribute to a specialized field?

The key to the whole thing is whether people have had access to the tacit knowledge of an esoteric area—tacit knowledge is know-how that you can't express in words. The standard example is knowing how to ride a bike. My view as a sociologist is that expertise is located in more or less specialized social groups. If you want to know what counts as secure knowledge in a field like gravitational wave detection, you have to become part of the social group. Being immersed in the discourse of the specialists is the only way to keep up with what is at the cutting edge.

Is this where interactional expertise comes into play?

Interactional expertise is one of the things that broadens the scope of who can contribute. It's a little bit wider than the old "people in the white coats" of the 1950s, but what it's not is everybody. (Within science, lots of people have interactional expertise, because science wouldn't run without it.)

You did experiments to test your theory of expertise. What did you find?

The original version we did was with color-blind people. What we were attempting to demonstrate is something we call the strong interactional hypothesis: If you have deeply immersed yourself in the talk of an esoteric group—but not immersed yourself in any way in the practices of that group—you will be indistinguishable from somebody who has immersed themself [sic] in both the talk and the practice, in a test which just involves talk.

If it's the case, then you're going to speak as fluently as someone who has been engaged in the practices. And if you can speak as fluently, then you're indistinguishable from an expert. It's what I like to call "walking the talk". You still can't do the stuff, but you can make judgments, inferences and so on, which are on a par.

We picked color-blind people because they've spent their whole lives immersed in a community talking about color. So we thought color-blind people should be indistinguishable from color-perceivers when asked questions by a color-perceiver who knew what was going on. And we demonstrated that that was in fact the case. Now we're planning to do another imitation test on the congenitally blind to see if they can perform as well as the color-blind.

You also found that gravitational wave physicists had a hard time distinguishing you from one of their own in a written test.

I thought it's my duty to put myself through this test and see if anybody can tell. I'm not claiming my interactional expertise is really good enough to pass for a physicist, so I had to put brackets around it. There were no mathematical questions allowed. But they did involve some pretty damn difficult questions, which I'd never encountered before and which really gave me a fright. And it turned out I could work out the answers.

You've spent the past 30 years studying gravitational wave physicists. What do you like about them?
They're my ideal kind of academic. They're doing a slightly crazy, almost impossible project, and they're doing it for purely academic reasons with no economic payoff. I consider myself an academic who's made the bargain that I want to have an interesting life, and I'm prepared to have a little less status and a little less money as a result.
 
Science rejects being controlled by philosophy

Scientists Know Better Than You--Even When They're Wrong
Why fallible expertise trumps armchair science—a Q&A with sociologist of science Harry Collins
By JR Minkel for Scientific American
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=scientists-know-better-than-you


If you take scientists at their word, human-induced climate change is well underway, evolution accounts for the diversity of life on Earth and vaccines do not cause autism. But the collective expertise of thousands of researchers barely registers with global warming skeptics, creationist movie producers and distrustful parents. Why is scientific authority under fire from so many corners? Sociologist Harry Collins thinks part of the answer lies in a misunderstanding of expertise itself. Like Jane Goodall living among the chimps, Collins, a professor at Cardiff University in Wales, has spent 30 years observing physicists who study gravitational wave detection—the search for faint ripples in the fabric of spacetime. He's learned the hard way about the work that goes into acquiring specialized scientific knowledge. In a recent book, Rethinking Expertise, he says that what bridges the gap—and what keeps science working—is something called "interactional expertise". Collins spoke recently with ScientificAmerican.com about his view of expertise; what follows is an edited transcript of that interview.

How did we get to the point where scientific authority is so easily challenged?
The high point of the authority of science was perhaps the 1950s. In those days one would see on the popular television programs a scientist wearing a white coat with license to speak authoritatively on almost any subject to do with science—and sometimes on subjects outside of science. But things go wrong in the progress of science and technology. If you see the space shuttle crashing, you can see that these guys in the white coats don't always get it right.

When you discover the jagged edges of science, you start to think, wait a minute—maybe scientists' views aren't quite as immaculate as we thought they were. Maybe ordinary people's views can weigh a little more. And I think there's some truth to this, but not as much as some of my colleagues think. Having studied esoteric sciences from the outside, I know that ordinary people have no chance of grasping the details of them.

What's wrong with ordinary people weighing in on scientific subjects?
It is easy to imagine all sorts of horror stories if we abandon the idea that there are some people who know what they are talking about and some who don't. Most scientific disputes that concern the public are at the cutting edge—the place where things are not completely certain. Examples are the safety of vaccines, the true importance of global warming, the effects of farming genetically modified food crops, and so forth.

Even now, in the U.K., the relatively dangerous disease of measles is becoming endemic as a result of a widespread consumer revolt against the MMR vaccine about 10 years ago. Parents believe that even though doctors assure them that vaccines are safe, those doctors may be wrong. Therefore, the parents think they are entitled to throw their own judgment into the mix. Quite a few social scientists are pushing this trend hard.

Why should the average person acknowledge that scientists might know better than they do?
It is possible to make an argument from the common sense idea that scientists know what they're talking about because they've spent much more time looking at the areas of the natural sciences that we're interested in. Normally, if somebody's spent a lot of time in an area, you'd tend to take their opinion as more valuable.

We believe that you can work out whether someone has the right scientific expertise and experience to make some sensible contribution to scientific debates. It doesn't mean they're right. What you have to do is not sort out the people who are right and wrong; what you have to sort is the people who can make sensible contributions from those who can't. Because once you stop doing that, things go horribly wrong.

That seems like it cuts both ways. Are evolutionary biologists like Richard Dawkins fanning the flames in the way that they engage creationists?

Once scientists move outside their scientific experience, they become like a layperson. I'm not a religious person, but if I want to talk religion with someone, it won't be a scientist; it will be with someone who understands theology (who might be either an atheist or a believer). I believe people like Dawkins give atheism a bad name because their arguments are so crude and unsubtle. They step outside their narrow competences when they produce these arguments.

In our book we too criticize creationism's pretensions to be a science, but we don't treat it as a trivial problem. Our critiques of creationism are: (a) that it stops scientific progress in its tracks by answering questions in a way that closes off further research; and (b) that there is no real attempt to meld the approach with the existing methods of science. We know that the creationists say this is not true, but their hypotheses relate to books of obscure origin or to faith rather than to observation.

How do you distinguish the people who can and can't contribute to a specialized field?

The key to the whole thing is whether people have had access to the tacit knowledge of an esoteric area—tacit knowledge is know-how that you can't express in words. The standard example is knowing how to ride a bike. My view as a sociologist is that expertise is located in more or less specialized social groups. If you want to know what counts as secure knowledge in a field like gravitational wave detection, you have to become part of the social group. Being immersed in the discourse of the specialists is the only way to keep up with what is at the cutting edge.

Is this where interactional expertise comes into play?

Interactional expertise is one of the things that broadens the scope of who can contribute. It's a little bit wider than the old "people in the white coats" of the 1950s, but what it's not is everybody. (Within science, lots of people have interactional expertise, because science wouldn't run without it.)

You did experiments to test your theory of expertise. What did you find?

The original version we did was with color-blind people. What we were attempting to demonstrate is something we call the strong interactional hypothesis: If you have deeply immersed yourself in the talk of an esoteric group—but not immersed yourself in any way in the practices of that group—you will be indistinguishable from somebody who has immersed themself [sic] in both the talk and the practice, in a test which just involves talk.

If it's the case, then you're going to speak as fluently as someone who has been engaged in the practices. And if you can speak as fluently, then you're indistinguishable from an expert. It's what I like to call "walking the talk". You still can't do the stuff, but you can make judgments, inferences and so on, which are on a par.

We picked color-blind people because they've spent their whole lives immersed in a community talking about color. So we thought color-blind people should be indistinguishable from color-perceivers when asked questions by a color-perceiver who knew what was going on. And we demonstrated that that was in fact the case. Now we're planning to do another imitation test on the congenitally blind to see if they can perform as well as the color-blind.

You also found that gravitational wave physicists had a hard time distinguishing you from one of their own in a written test.

I thought it's my duty to put myself through this test and see if anybody can tell. I'm not claiming my interactional expertise is really good enough to pass for a physicist, so I had to put brackets around it. There were no mathematical questions allowed. But they did involve some pretty damn difficult questions, which I'd never encountered before and which really gave me a fright. And it turned out I could work out the answers.

You've spent the past 30 years studying gravitational wave physicists. What do you like about them?
They're my ideal kind of academic. They're doing a slightly crazy, almost impossible project, and they're doing it for purely academic reasons with no economic payoff. I consider myself an academic who's made the bargain that I want to have an interesting life, and I'm prepared to have a little less status and a little less money as a result.

Fields of study have their own philosophies. Talk to an artist about their field of study and they will discuss it philosophically. Philosophy itself is considered an art by the way. While art rejects being ruled by any particular methodology, the skills of the art itself are developed by schooling the artists in the many different sciences of their field of study.
In contrast, scientists have a tendency to reject their own philosophy, as they feel their field of study is superior in truth to that of art and the other metaphysical fields of study.
Paradoxically, this arrogance leaves science poorly controlled by its own philosophy.
 
Last edited:
Too bad real science doesn't have anything to do with decision making anymore.

Survey Finds Bush Administration Interfering with EPA Scientists
By J.R. Pegg

http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/apr2008/2008-04-24-10.asp

WASHINGTON, DC, April 24, 2008 (ENS) - The Bush administration has frequently meddled with scientists at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, according to a survey released today by a scientific advocacy group. The Union of Concerned Scientists reports that nearly two-thirds of the 1,586 staff EPA scientists who responded to a questionnaire complained of recent political interference with their work.

The reported interference is greatest in offices where scientists write regulations and conduct risk assessments.

Francesca Grifo (Photo courtesy Sunshine Week)
"Our investigation found an agency in crisis," said Francesca Grifo, director of Union of Concerned Scientists's Scientific Integrity Program, who contends the report reflects an effort by the administration to distort science to "accommodate a narrow political agenda."

The investigation shows that researchers "are generally continuing to do their work, but their scientific findings are tossed aside when it comes time to write regulations," said Grifo.

The report is the latest addition to a long list of complaints by scientists across the federal government who say the Bush administration has inappropriately interfered with their work and frequently manipulated science for the benefit of industry.

The Union of Concerned Scientists, UCS, has conducted similar surveys with staff at the Food and Drug Administration, Fish and Wildlife Service and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and found comparable allegations of political meddling.

The advocacy group also published a report on climate science last year, detailing significant interference by the Bush administration with climate scientists at seven federal agencies.

This latest report contains complaints that political appointees have manipulated EPA scientific findings and analyses. Agency scientists reported inappropriate editing of documents, pressure from political appointees to scientific methods and findings, and needless delays of scientific reports.


EPA scientists in the field verify environmental sampling, monitoring, and measurement technologies. (Photo courtesy EPA)
The survey reports concern by agency scientists over political meddling with EPA's scientific assessments of climate change and with the science supporting regulation of mercury and other air pollutants.

Agency scientists also complained of interference with EPA's assessment of toxic chemicals and pesticides and with its oversight of groundwater contamination.

UCS sent its survey to more than 5,400 EPA scientists at the agency's headquarters, research laboratories and 10 regional offices.

Of the 1,586 who responded, 60 percent reported they had personally experienced at least one instance of political interference in the past five years.

More than 500 EPA scientists knew of "many" or "some" cases "where EPA political appointees had inappropriately involved themselves in scientific decisions," according to the study.

Nearly 400 scientists, some 31 percent, reported misstatements by EPA officials that misrepresented scientists' findings, UCS said.

The report said 22 percent complained of political appointees using selective or incomplete use of data to justify a specific regulatory outcome.

Scientists also reported concerns about being able to openly discuss their work and about half said agency policy often fails to make proper use of its scientific judgements.

The report highlighted concern about the influence of the White House Office of Management and Budget, OMB, which has broad power to review regulations.

"Currently, OMB is allowed to force or make changes as they want, and rules are held hostage until this happens," said a scientist at the agency's Office of Air and Radiation who wishes to be unidentified criticizing the administration. "OMB's power needs to be checked as time after time they weaken rulemakings and policy decisions to favor industry."

EPA officials could not be reached for comment by press time, but agency statements indicate the Bush administration is not overly concerned about the report.


EPA scientist prepares to test sensors for detecting changes in water quality that would result from the intentional release of contaminants. (Photo courtesy OMB)
The agency carefully values its scientists and carefully weighs their assessments along with other concerns when forming policy, according to an EPA spokesman, who pointed out that agency chief Stephen Johnson is a career EPA scientist with nearly three decades of experience at the agency.

But Johnson has been under fire for much of his three-year tenure as head of the EPA, most recently for a decision regarding federal air quality standards for smog-forming ozone.

In March, Johnson announced a tightening of the ozone rules, but he did not go as far as the agency's science advisory board recommended.

Democrats - along with environmentalists, public health advocacy groups and state air officials - widely criticized Johnson's decision. The chair of the House Oversight and Governmental Reform Committee has summoned the EPA chief to explain himself at a hearing early next month.

In a letter sent today, Chairman Henry Waxman, a California Democrat, told Johnson to expect additional questions about the Union of Concerned Scientists survey.

Waxman called the findings of the survey "disturbing" said they suggest "a pattern of ignoring and manipulating science in EPA's decisionmaking."

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse, a Rhode Island Democrat, echoed that concern and said he would push for an investigation by the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee.

The survey "is a scathing indictment of the Bush administration's repeated efforts to twist, misuse, and ignore scientific facts in favor of special interests," Whitehouse said.

Copyright Environment News Service (ENS) 2008. All rights reserved.





Farm Bill conference Report Called "Mixed Bag" EPA Misusing Science, Jeopardizing Children’s Health, Testifies EPA Children's Health Protection Advisory Committee Member “State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2008" Ford Earns Award for Turning Brownfield Green International, National, Local Experts Gather at Chicago Botanic Garden for International Climate Change Forum Hundreds of Carbon Reducing Ideas Displayed at Chicago Botanic Garden’s “Knowledge and Action Marketplace” National Coatings Announces Support of Los Angeles Private Sector Green Building Law CERES Ranks Ford's Sustainability Report Among the "Best" in the World Amazon Bestselling Book "The Noble Wilds" Offers a Practical and Spiritual Approach to Preserve Our Beautiful Planet Fighting Food Crisis and Climate Change with Knives and Forks Startech Environmental to Have Three Plasma Converters in Former Pharmaceutical Industry Facility in Puerto Rico





Ear of Wind
By Leroy Dejolie, Navajo Nation Parks



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It's true. Scientists do know better than you, even when they're wrong. They just often have numerous issues interacting with people and expressing what they're saying in ordinary language.

For instance, the creationist thread--it irritates the shit out of me to see people bandying about words like theory, law, entropy, free energy or even an equation here and there when they've never once had to use it in a scientific context. Entropy is not simply a messy room, it is quantifiable and is used in thermodynamics equations. If you've never calculated something using it, are you really an expert? I've used in in so many equations, and I don't consider myself anything close to an expert. If I may quote:

Any method involving the notion of entropy, the very existence of which depends on the second law of thermodynamics, will doubtless seem to many far-fetched, and may repel beginners as obscure and difficult of comprehension.
--Willard Gibbs.

Which brings me to free energy: conspiracy theorists use that phrase to mean some wacky stuff about perpetual motion machines and energy appearing out of thin air that is available to be harnessed without doing work. Free Energy (as in Gibbs Free Energy, which is the definition I used most) is simply, the energy available in a system that can be converted into work with extraneous factors remaining constant.

You want to prove intelligent design? You're willing to argue it for 100 pages on a thread on the 'net--go take some classes and point out these fallacies to the professors that teach it and live and breathe it.

If I had a new philosophical viewpoint that I thought was superior to all others out there, I'd damn well get a degree in it and know my shit.

/end rant. Just saw someone use entropy again in that ID thread and I'm using this thread to vent. :)
 
Scientists disagree amongst each other, sometimes vehemently. So then who do we believe? Oh, I have it. Always believe the ones on the federal payroll, are dependent on govt subsidies or have financial interests in supporting certain theories while ignoring others.
 
/end rant. Just saw someone use entropy again in that ID thread and I'm using this thread to vent. :)

Yeah. I'm done with that thread. I'm no scientist by any stretch. I just am a science enthusiast. When someone tells me that a harlequin baby is God punishing mankind for being sinful, I stop wasting my time.
 
I really enjoy watching "appeal to authority" logical fallacies. Also known as "shepherds". :D

Go take some classes in thermodynamics and come back when you've done the required math. Strangely enough, it really does help in understanding the three laws.

By the way, of all the science courses, it is considered the most difficult on the undergrad level--it's included in the course Physical Chemistry I. Second only to it's next course: Physical Chemistry II--try it!

I triple dog dare you.

P.S. prerequisites for the class are advanced physics 1 & 2, calc 1 & 2 (not the algebra-based calc either), general chem 1 &2 and usually organic 1 & 2.

Bring your calculator.

P.S. If I wanted to learn more and better argue religion, I'd study under theologians who know their shit. I don't argue religion without usually giving the disclaimer that I am not a religious scholar, nor am I even religious. If you want to argue science and be perceived and understood as someone who knows what he is talking about, you gotta do the homework. If you consider that an "appeal to authority," so be it. I like it when people know what they're talking about.
 
Go take some classes in thermodynamics and come back when you've done the required math. Strangely enough, it really does help in understanding the three laws.

By the way, of all the science courses, it is considered the most difficult on the undergrad level--it's included in the course Physical Chemistry I. Second only to it's next course: Physical Chemistry II--try it!

I triple dog dare you.

P.S. prerequisites for the class are advanced physics 1 & 2, calc 1 & 2 (not the algebra-based calc either), general chem 1 &2 and usually organic 1 & 2.

Bring your calculator.

P.S. If I wanted to learn more and better argue religion, I'd study under theologians who know their shit. I don't argue religion without usually giving the disclaimer that I am not a religious scholar, nor am I even religious. If you want to argue science and be perceived and understood as someone who knows what he is talking about, you gotta do the homework. If you consider that an "appeal to authority," so be it. I like it when people know what they're talking about.

Barrack Obama went to Columbia and Harvard. I rest my case :D

Obama Claims He's Visited 57 States

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpGH02DtIws
 
Barrack Obama went to Columbia and Harvard. I rest my case :D

Obama Claims He's Visited 57 States

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpGH02DtIws

Congratulations on saying nothing.

Obama knows what he is talking about. He's no dummy. The man taught Constitutional Law courses at the University of Chicago too. Just because someone disagrees with you does not make them dumb.

But are you claiming that you are more intelligent than Obama? Because I find that hard to believe.

This is just another example of the antiintellectualism present in America.
 
Congratulations on saying nothing.

Obama knows what he is talking about. He's no dummy. The man taught Constitutional Law courses at the University of Chicago too. Just because someone disagrees with you does not make them dumb.

But are you claiming that you are more intelligent than Obama? Because I find that hard to believe.

This is just another example of the antiintellectualism present in America.

Apparently I am smarter than you and Obama both since you saw no problem with the statement implying there were 57 plus states in the U.S.
 
Even now, in the U.K., the relatively dangerous disease of measles is becoming endemic as a result of a widespread consumer revolt against the MMR vaccine about 10 years ago. Parents believe that even though doctors assure them that vaccines are safe, those doctors may be wrong. Therefore, the parents think they are entitled to throw their own judgment into the mix. Quite a few social scientists are pushing this trend hard.

Science forbid one owns their own body.
 
Science forbid one owns their own body.

I don't want to get into this debate, but there's a difference when what you do with your body could possibly cause an outbreak of infectious disease that affects many, many more people than just you.
 
I don't want to get into this debate, but there's a difference when what you do with your body could possibly cause an outbreak of infectious disease that affects many, many more people than just you.

No one has a higher claim to my body than myself. That in its self is an axiom that can't be denied.
 
If you are vaccinated what are the chances of contracting the disease? Those who don't get vaccinated will suffer the consequences.
 
I don't want to get into this debate, but there's a difference when what you do with your body could possibly cause an outbreak of infectious disease that affects many, many more people than just you.


Not getting a MMR shot means you might get M,M or R. It also means you might infect other people who didn't get the shot. But does that mean everybody should be forced to get the shot?

Science can be wrong. Eggs were "evil" for 20 years. Ulcers were caused by stress. There's probably more...

I liked this quote though:
You've spent the past 30 years studying gravitational wave physicists. What do you like about them?
They're my ideal kind of academic. They're doing a slightly crazy, almost impossible project, and they're doing it for purely academic reasons with no economic payoff.

It reaffirms my belief that if a cure for a terminal disease was discovered, people would release it even if it meant the money for the treatments suffered.
 
Science has continually changed its foundations of belief. It is called learning.
 
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