RP fifth in national poll

[Bradley in DC]

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08rep.htm

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). July 27-30, 2007. Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would vote in a Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,005 adults nationwide).

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

7/27-30/07 6/8-11/07 4/20-23/07 3/2-5/07 12/8-11/06
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani 33 29 33 38 34
Fred Thompson 20 20 17 n/a n/a
John McCain 17 14 22 24 29
Mitt Romney 11 14 12 8 8
Ron Paul 2 2 n/a n/a n/a
Tommy Thompson 2 2 n/a n/a n/a
Sam Brownback 2 1 1 2 2
Tom Tancredo 1 1 n/a n/a n/a
Mike Huckabee 1 3 2 2 2
Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 1 n/a
Other (vol.) 1 1 1 1 2
None (vol.) 2 1 2 3 3
Unsure 7 10 9 9 8

 

[Bradley in DC]

More info here

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/WSJ0707_poll.pdf

 

[Bradley in DC]

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/

More on the NBC/WSJ poll
Posted: Thursday, August 02, 2007 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Categories: White House, Congress, 2008

Bush’s approval rating is 31% (up two points since June); just 19% think the country is in the right direction; and 62% don’t think victory in Iraq is possible. In addition, only 37% believe the US should wait until November to determine whether the surge in Iraq is working, compared with 55% who believe that making that judgment in September is sufficient. For more on the poll, click here.

Here is the Wall Street Journal's take on the poll: "More than two-thirds of Americans believe the U.S. economy is either in recession now or will be in the next year… That assessment comes despite the fact the economy has experienced sustained growth with low inflation and unemployment and generally rising stock values ever since the recession that ended early in President Bush's tenure."

And what has happened to Americans sports? Only 14% say they have a great deal or quite a bit of confidence in professional sports. Sixty-two percent say the recent NBA referee gambling scandal is more widespread in professional sports. And get this -- just 5% view Michael Vick favorably, compared with 44% who view him negatively.

 

[AMack]

Lately I've been using this http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/pollster-justifies-ron-paul-exclusion-texas-poll.html to judge certain polls. I'd say that Dr. Paul's support is closer to 6% of the republican party in reality, especially given that republicans only take up about 1/3 of his support, whereas libertarians, democrats, and independents make up the other 2/3.

 

[Badger Paul]

Hopefully a good showing at Ames will get rid of all the also rans and firmly establish the serious GOP field with McCain, Romney, Guliani, Thompson and Paul.

And I like my odds with that kind of field.

 

[Sematary]

How do the three liberals continually remain at the top? I'm talking about Guiliani, McCain and Romney, of course.

 

[Kregener]

5th?

This poll is unflattering, to say the least. Paul trails an unannounced Thompson by many percentage points.

 

[ARealConservative]

Hopefully a good showing at Ames will get rid of all the also rans and firmly establish the serious GOP field with McCain, Romney, Guliani, Thompson and Paul.

And I like my odds with that kind of field.

Out of Brownback and Huckabee - one will survive the straw poll and one wont.

 

[Bradley in DC]

Out of Brownback and Huckabee - one will survive the straw poll and one wont.

Agreed. Plus Tancredo and Tommy Thompson are counting down the days.

 

[Badger Paul]

Hunter too. Brownback has said he'll stay in no matter what happens in Ames, but if he does poorly he doesn't have the money to do much more than to just camp out in Iowa and hope for a miracle in the Jan. caucuses.

 

[bygone]

Ladies and Gentlemen, I present to you, the President of the United States:

In the south we have a name for this. It isn't Mr. President.

 

[Syren123]

5th?

This poll is unflattering, to say the least. Paul trails an unannounced Thompson by many percentage points.

That's attributable to cathode ray tube damage to the cognitive parts of the brain of the respondants who voted for Fred.

 

[Syren123]

Ladies and Gentlemen, I present to you, the President of the United States:

In the south we have a name for this. It isn't Mr. President.

Nothing says "world leader" like false eyelashes.

Well, Dame Edna came in second in the Australian prime minister elections so don't be surprised.

 

[Bradley in DC]

Hunter too. Brownback has said he'll stay in no matter what happens in Ames, but if he does poorly he doesn't have the money to do much more than to just camp out in Iowa and hope for a miracle in the Jan. caucuses.

Hunter is in through NH or Cali, trying to help out his son's quest to keep his Congressional seat (perhaps win it's three delegates to the convention). Brownback is hoping for a win in the Iowa caucus to launch his candidacy (good luck to him with that).

 

[Bradley in DC]

Ladies and Gentlemen, I present to you, the President of the United States:

In the south we have a name for this. It isn't Mr. President.

has someone made a YouTube question for Rudy with a montage of these?!

 

[Jumpin_Jack]

Although it's not much, I think the pattern and the percentage are good news. It shows that he's starting to get a larger base, as each time they make these polls (at least the last two times) they're getting around 20 Paul supporters, before he had sporadic support with no defined news. Factor in the biased polling and such, and he's probably more around 5-8%,