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Here's a timeline that I see developing:
December 16th - http://www.teaparty07.com - THE RON PAUL BOSTON TEA PARTY - Ron Paul breaks the single day fundraising record elevating his campaign to a whole new level with a huge press boost that will introduce him for the first time to millions of voters who are just barely waking up to the fact that there is a presidential election upcoming. I could write a book on why this is going to happen, but for this post I'll just say that this is on my timeline and I expect that it will happen. Several questions will emerge from this event, including 1) why aren't the polls reflecting this tremendous level of support, and 2) why aren't the establishment candiates able to generate this kind of support?
January 2 - The Paul campaign announces it's fundraising numbers prior to the Iowa Primary. The total figure either beats or at the very least competes with the establishment candidates. A fresh round of press ensues.
January 3rd - IOWA PRIMARY - Huckabee wins the Iowa Primary. Ron Paul makes a considerably strong showing at 3rd.
January 5th - WYOMING PRIMARY - Nobody knows what to expect out of this primary. There's aboslutely no polling data that I can find on this anywhere. Straw polls have recently fallen out of favor since Ron Paul started dominating them, but if the one that the Laramie County GOP set up is any indicator, Ron Paul, Fred Thompson, and Mitt Romney fare the best here. If Ron Paul comes in first here, regardless of the size of the state, the entire electoral dynamic gets thrown for a loop. The media would go crazy. Honestly though, Ron Paul only needs to come in third here to get a boost.
January 8th - NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY - Ron Paul wins New Hampshire, turning the entire race on it's head and sending Giuliani and Romney scrambling, and Fred Thompson just standing there shrugging. The media goes nuts, and Ron Paul becomes a legitimate front runner.
January 10th - Myrtle Beach South Carolina Debate hosted by Fox News - With primary winners already selected, Fox is forced to treat Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee as front runners. The entire field gangs up on Ron Paul in the same way that the Democrats have ganged up on Hillary Clinton. Attention to Ron Paul is at an all time high.
January 15th - The Ron Paul Grass Roots Fundraising Machine puts together another significant fundraising day to commemorate the revolutionary Dr. Martin Luther King. Another round of significant media coverage ensues, and polls start registering a suprising amount of support from African Americans -- more than the Republicans have ever registered in the past.
January 15 -- MICHIGAN PRIMARY -- A very interesting dynamic comes into play in Michigan, as the Democrats have essentially cancelled their primary in Michigan, with only Hillary Clinton on the ballot. The key dynamic: Michigan is an OPEN primary, like New Hampshire. Sensing blood in the water, I predict that the Democrats get out the vote for Ron Paul in Michigan, and propel him to either a victory, or a top three finish.
January 19th - NEVADA PRIMARY - Do I even need to bother with libertarian Nevada where Ron Paul beat Romney in a straw poll where Ron Paul didn't even bother to show up, but Romney did? We're going to win this state going away.
January 19th - SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY - There is no way to tell at this point in time what to expect out of South Carolina. The polls don't show a front runner. The Fred Thompson and Huckabee seem to register well in the straw polls (along with Paul making a respectable showing. I think Ron Paul could place in third here and be ok. In fact, he could lose this one altogether and be ok. If Huckabee wins here, I think Romney, McCain, and Thompson start seeing pressure to drop out (contingent on where they place on the former polls).
January 29th - FLORIDA PRIMARY - Rudy sees his first win.
February 2nd - MAINE PRIMARY - No idea what to expect here... It's a liberal state. I expect Rudy to do well. It's also anti war. Ron Paul could do well here.
February 5th - Super Duper Tuesday -- It's all going to be about turnout.
December 16th - http://www.teaparty07.com - THE RON PAUL BOSTON TEA PARTY - Ron Paul breaks the single day fundraising record elevating his campaign to a whole new level with a huge press boost that will introduce him for the first time to millions of voters who are just barely waking up to the fact that there is a presidential election upcoming. I could write a book on why this is going to happen, but for this post I'll just say that this is on my timeline and I expect that it will happen. Several questions will emerge from this event, including 1) why aren't the polls reflecting this tremendous level of support, and 2) why aren't the establishment candiates able to generate this kind of support?
January 2 - The Paul campaign announces it's fundraising numbers prior to the Iowa Primary. The total figure either beats or at the very least competes with the establishment candidates. A fresh round of press ensues.
January 3rd - IOWA PRIMARY - Huckabee wins the Iowa Primary. Ron Paul makes a considerably strong showing at 3rd.
January 5th - WYOMING PRIMARY - Nobody knows what to expect out of this primary. There's aboslutely no polling data that I can find on this anywhere. Straw polls have recently fallen out of favor since Ron Paul started dominating them, but if the one that the Laramie County GOP set up is any indicator, Ron Paul, Fred Thompson, and Mitt Romney fare the best here. If Ron Paul comes in first here, regardless of the size of the state, the entire electoral dynamic gets thrown for a loop. The media would go crazy. Honestly though, Ron Paul only needs to come in third here to get a boost.
January 8th - NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY - Ron Paul wins New Hampshire, turning the entire race on it's head and sending Giuliani and Romney scrambling, and Fred Thompson just standing there shrugging. The media goes nuts, and Ron Paul becomes a legitimate front runner.
January 10th - Myrtle Beach South Carolina Debate hosted by Fox News - With primary winners already selected, Fox is forced to treat Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee as front runners. The entire field gangs up on Ron Paul in the same way that the Democrats have ganged up on Hillary Clinton. Attention to Ron Paul is at an all time high.
January 15th - The Ron Paul Grass Roots Fundraising Machine puts together another significant fundraising day to commemorate the revolutionary Dr. Martin Luther King. Another round of significant media coverage ensues, and polls start registering a suprising amount of support from African Americans -- more than the Republicans have ever registered in the past.
January 15 -- MICHIGAN PRIMARY -- A very interesting dynamic comes into play in Michigan, as the Democrats have essentially cancelled their primary in Michigan, with only Hillary Clinton on the ballot. The key dynamic: Michigan is an OPEN primary, like New Hampshire. Sensing blood in the water, I predict that the Democrats get out the vote for Ron Paul in Michigan, and propel him to either a victory, or a top three finish.
January 19th - NEVADA PRIMARY - Do I even need to bother with libertarian Nevada where Ron Paul beat Romney in a straw poll where Ron Paul didn't even bother to show up, but Romney did? We're going to win this state going away.
January 19th - SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY - There is no way to tell at this point in time what to expect out of South Carolina. The polls don't show a front runner. The Fred Thompson and Huckabee seem to register well in the straw polls (along with Paul making a respectable showing. I think Ron Paul could place in third here and be ok. In fact, he could lose this one altogether and be ok. If Huckabee wins here, I think Romney, McCain, and Thompson start seeing pressure to drop out (contingent on where they place on the former polls).
January 29th - FLORIDA PRIMARY - Rudy sees his first win.
February 2nd - MAINE PRIMARY - No idea what to expect here... It's a liberal state. I expect Rudy to do well. It's also anti war. Ron Paul could do well here.
February 5th - Super Duper Tuesday -- It's all going to be about turnout.
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