Paul in the Polls

[foofighter20x]

Aside from the fact that polls are BS (just ask Penn & Teller), it dawned on me why Dr Paul is still underrepresented in the polls:

1) It's possible that since we are big internet users, we tend to order our stuff from online and don't need to make a run to malls or other places pollsters frequent.
2) It's possible that we are all hard at work and aren't wandering those places where polls are administered.
3) We probably blocked the pollsters when we put our numbers in the Do Not Call Registry.
4) If we didn't put our number there, then when they do call we probably don't take the time to answer their questions, electing not to participate.


Just thinkin'...

 

[Quantumystic]

There's also the well-observed fact that a great many of these "polls" have left The Dr. out all-together.

 

[tsoldrin]

I have for a while now been thinking that just as a general rule, Ron Paul leaning folks would be more privacy oriented and therefore quite unlikely to be on any of the 'lists' they use to poll with.

The polls are of course ridiculous at this point in the game... not only do they survey far too few people (hundreds to maybe 1000), if you look back historically, many of the folks who have gotten a nomination and/or gone on to the presidency were polling very low or not at all this far back in the cycle.


If Paul can post some decent fund raising numbers for this quarter, THAT will blow all the polling data out of the water and send ripples reverberating throughout the mainstream.

 

[kylejack]

Aside from the fact that polls are BS (just ask Penn & Teller), it dawned on me why Dr Paul is still underrepresented in the polls:

1) It's possible that since we are big internet users, we tend to order our stuff from online and don't need to make a run to malls or other places pollsters frequent.
2) It's possible that we are all hard at work and aren't wandering those places where polls are administered.
3) We probably blocked the pollsters when we put our numbers in the Do Not Call Registry.
4) If we didn't put our number there, then when they do call we probably don't take the time to answer their questions, electing not to participate.


Just thinkin'...

I used to work for Gallup doing phone surveys, so I will try to address:

1) Most scientific polls are done by telephone these days. Almost all of them.
2) Again, most are done by telephone calls to residences.
3) Nope, surveys are not covered by DNC.
4) Perhaps. But you'd have to demonstrate that people less likely to participate are more favorable to Paul.

Another argument is that many young people have cell phones these days and thus are not doing surveys, but this is not really credible. When we called residences, we asked the pollee's age. Then after many surveys are taken, the poll gets balanced to represent the public at large, so the balance of young people gets fixed that way.

 

[kylejack]

I have for a while now been thinking that just as a general rule, Ron Paul leaning folks would be more privacy oriented and therefore quite unlikely to be on any of the 'lists' they use to poll with.

if a pollster called you to ask you about the Republican primary, would you tell them to go away or would you be eager to participate and support Ron Paul? I'm certainly the latter type and I suspect most Ron Paul supporters are just as passionate and eager.

 

[Horatio Negersky]

Yea at this point I'll gladly talk to whomever about it simply because I know it will, at first, CONFUSE people that I'm registered Republican after bashing on the current Admin for the past 7 years. I like the shock value it brings