OFFICIAL Mississippi U.S. Senate Election RESULTS THREAD

[Bastiat's The Law]

Chris McDaniel vs. Thad Cochran

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

Any early word from those on the ground in Mississippi?

Wait, go vote first before you give the political junkies on RPF their fix.

 

[ChristianAnarchist]

One thing to watch for is the "late results" from the small counties. Thad is well connected and corrupt. I do not discount the possibility of some fraud in the small counties where there's no oversight of the ballot handling. If you see a turnout in some little county that's 400% of the norm and it's 73% for Thad, I'd say something stinks...

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

If you haven't been keeping up with this election, Ron Paul actually visited Hattiesburg to endorse Chris McDaniel in person. Meanwhile, John McCain is out stumping for Thad Cochran. Looks like the making of another proxy battle between the Liberty Movement and the Republican establishment.

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

Thirty-nine of the 82 counties were settled by a margin of 200 votes or fewer in the primary, in a race that ended up handing McDaniel the first-place position by fewer than 1,400 votes. Had those counties each moved 40 votes in the other direction, the results of the race would have been flipped. This is a graph of the vote margin in each of the state's counties in the primary. That long flat stretch in the middle shows those 39 counties mentioned above. But pay attention to the spikes at either end.

At the far left is Jones County. Calling it a stronghold for McDaniel doesn't really do it justice. He won the county -- which he is from -- by a 71-percentage-point margin. If McDaniel had won the county by a margin of 75-25 percent (instead of 85-14), Cochran would have come in first place.

It's not clear that Cochran will pick up many new votes in Jones County. But lower turnout could be helpful to Cochran. The county had the seventh-highest vote total in the primary, despite being the tenth-largest county in the state. If turnout declines, that will certainly help the incumbent

 

[William Tell]

Is this the official thread for results from the other states as well?

 

[JK/SEA]

no.

 

[Kage127]

Voted this morning. There weren't as many people this time as before but I went an hour later than last time. I honestly think the politically active democrats will determine the outcome of this race. I got 2 additional people to go vote who didn't last time and tried selling a democrat on it but she sounded too up in the air so I decided not to remind her the vote was today. I am expecting less turnout in general. A lot of the signs in the area had been taken down and I haven't heard as much about the runoff as I did the primary election. Hope we end the day with great news for the freedom movement.

 

[Mr.NoSmile]

Going by Cochran's Facebook page at this point, they seem to talk of higher turnout. Whether that's true, early talk or just hype, I don't know. But hopefully the folks who backed McDaniel do the same and prove that they're not just talk without action. The higher-ups do have a habit of renegading when things don't go their way.

 

[torchbearer]

//

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

Voted this morning. There weren't as many people this time as before but I went an hour later than last time. I honestly think the politically active democrats will determine the outcome of this race. I got 2 additional people to go vote who didn't last time and tried selling a democrat on it but she sounded too up in the air so I decided not to remind her the vote was today. I am expecting less turnout in general. A lot of the signs in the area had been taken down and I haven't heard as much about the runoff as I did the primary election. Hope we end the day with great news for the freedom movement.

I've heard conflicting arguments whether less turn out helps or hurts McDaniel.

 

[William Tell]

I've heard conflicting arguments whether less turn out helps or hurts McDaniel.

It totally depends on who turns out.

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

It totally depends on who turns out.

True, lol.

 

[Vanguard101]

Ron Paul must really like this guy

 

[Bastiat's The Law]

Ron Paul must really like this guy

Begs the question. How good of a senator would Chris McDaniel be? Would be on par with Ted Cruz or Mike Lee?

 

[Matt Collins]

Begs the question. How good of a senator would Chris McDaniel be? Would be on par with Ted Cruz or Mike Lee?

Yes

 

[William Tell]

Begs the question. How good of a senator would Chris McDaniel be? Would be on par with Ted Cruz or Mike Lee?

I'm hoping better than Cruz. He strikes me as a guy who might be the next big thing. He just has to be more in the spotlight than Lee, It would be nice if he is even better than Lee. But that seems to good to be true. McDaniel will either let down Santorum, or Ron Paul, we shall see which since both endorsed him.

 

[Valli6]

RON PAUL: Establishment panicking that McDaniel may become US Senator

Ron Paul must really like this guy

Don't think this has been posted yet.
(6/23/14 - by MATTHEW BOYLE)

RON PAUL: ESTABLISHMENT 'PANICKING' THAT MCDANIEL MAY BECOME US SENATOR

BILOXI, Mississippi — Former Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), a 2012 presidential candidate and one of state Sen. Chris McDaniel’s big name endorsers over Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS), told Breitbart News in a phone interview that he thinks the Washington, D.C., political establishment is “panicking” now that McDaniel may win his runoff on Tuesday.

“They’re panicking, I guess,” Paul said when asked about how the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), at the direction of Mitch McConnell, raised more than $800,000 for Cochran in one night, while former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg has pumped a quarter million into Mississippi on Cochran’s behalf.

“But I think it’s a sign of what’s happening and how desperate they are,” Paul said. “I don’t think the money does him any good, but I think what happens is when all these people come in like Bloomberg it makes the case for our side because Bloomberg has a tremendous political image.”

Paul added that it “seems like they [Cochran’s campaign] don’t even have good political judgment” by allowing the Bloomberg donation to happen. He points to when he ran for his first term in his second stint in the House after a 12-year break during which he practiced medicine again, and he noted that all the GOP establishment came in for his opponent.

“The more they came, the more I emphasized it,” he said. “Why do you need somebody from Washington, D.C., or out of state to tell you how to vote? So I turned it into a positive and the people resented it. The more the people came [from out of state], the more they resented it. I think that might be what’s happening over there. Why does somebody from New York City think they can tell Mississippi how to vote?”.... (more)

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...Panicking-That-McDaniel-May-Become-US-Senator

 

[RPfan1992]

An interesting article from The Blaze. The Blaze predicts McDaniels will win

Here’s Why a Stats Guru Says Tea Party Candidate Chris McDaniel Will Likely Beat Thad Cochran on Tuesday

A prominent statistician has spoken: the Mississippi GOP primary run-off looks grim for incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran.

Nate Silver, the former New York Times statistician now with ESPN’s FiveThirtyEight, tweeted that, according to his site’s analysis, Cochran could well lose the Tuesday run-off against Tea Party challenger Chris McDaniel unless Cochran pulls in voters from the other side of the aisle.

Thad Cochran will probably lose tonight unless he gets some Democrats to turn out for him, reports @ForecasterEnten: http://t.co/X64SW5mbCp

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) June 24, 2014


FiveThirtyEight’s analysis of the race indicates McDaniel has a strong lead, and points to the heavily-Republican Rankin County as a pivotal spot in the race, where a strong performance by either candidate could swing the race.RealClearPolitics’s polling average found McDaniel with a 6.3 percent advantage over Cochran Tuesday morning.

Cochran has been reaching out to black voters, who in Mississippi skew heavily Democrat, though questions have arisen about the extent of that outreach.

In Mississippi, any resident can vote in a party’s primary (a registered Democrat, for example, can vote in the Republican primary). But some observers have noted that it could be illegal for Democrats to vote in the Republican primary — or more precisely, Mississippi state law prohibits voters from participating in a party’s primary if they don’t intend to support that party’s candidates in the general election.

As Slate reported, legal decisions have rendered that rule effectively unenforceable.

Unless a voter marches up to a poll worker and declares their intention to participate in the GOP primary and then vote for the Democrat in the general election, it seems their participation can’t really be questioned.

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/201...iel-will-likely-beat-thad-cochran-on-tuesday/

 

[AuH20]

This would be a huge turn of events. Cochran is an old time stooge in the mold of McConnell.