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Latest Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Wow, guys in Iowa are doing great work, up across the board. I really thought we were dead in Iowa, but we can take third with this kind of momentum. Passing Rudy I don't think is that big of a challenge, and Thompson is just a big old tree waiting to be felled.

Huckabee looks to be a pretty big favorite to win, I think this is a better result than a Romney victory though.

My Iowa Caucus Prediction:

Huckabee 32%
Romney 25%
Paul 15%
Thompson 11%
Rudy 8%
McCain 5%
Tancredo 3%
Hunter 1%
 
Huckabee won't win Iowa. Romney and Thompson will both start hitting him really hard there, especially on taxes. Plus, I'm sure the Club for Growth will have some involvement with ads there.
 
Expect the attack ads from Mitt to start flying on Huckabee. From Fred at Mitt and Huckabee. I think Paul has a shot to make his mark at second or third, especially with all of the new funding.
 
My guess that this part of the poll plays heavily in Huck's favor:

11/18/07
Have met candidate NET 19
Mitt Romney 6
Mike Huckabee 5
John McCain 4
Rudy Giuliani 3
Tom Tancredo 3
Tommy Thompson 2
Duncan Hunter 2
Sam Brownback 2
Ron Paul 1
Fred Thompson 1
Newt Gingrich *
Other 1
No opinion *
Have not met candidate 81
No opinion 0
 
I noticed that RealClearPolitics failed to put Paul's number in their poll numbers....I wonder what that was about.
 
Fund raising in Iowa is right about the middle of the pack on RonPaulGraphs. If Paul can place 3rd in Iowa, among a crowded field that is buying up airtime everywhere... then the results later in the campaign in the rocky mountain states could be very interesting for Paul.
 
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