I'm not really sure if Ron Paul really effected the gold market, but whatever the cause, a 2% move in one day is really dramatic. I just wish I had more money in my E-gold account.
The Efficient Market Hypothesis presumes the markets take into account all the knowledge available in prices. However, at the end of the day there are no 'news sources' that are authoritative as they are all opinions. The markets are just the markets and my contention is that all informed investors know that a Ron Paul presidency would be extremely bullish for gold and that his probability of becoming president has greatly increased. Yes, attenuated but it makes a good headline!
It looks like my hypothesis is still correct because spot gold is up another $6.00 to $700.50.