Here's a simple answer: we don't know and no one can reasonable predict the future. I've heard Schiff say the Dow was going to hit 2,000 in 2002, and I've heard others say the market is going to rebound.
Here is what I know, the market is in trouble, how commodities fare is really none of our business because we don't know what the power brokers do behind closed doors. It's all speculation. If you like speculation speculate, if not don't.
Oil will go down through the election and probably rise. That's my prediction.