Anti Federalist
Member
- Joined
- Aug 31, 2007
- Messages
- 115,361
That nate silvers ? ...
A major election-polling shakeup began three weeks ago, when, as part of Disney’s push to cut 7,000 jobs, ABC News decided not to renew the contract of FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver. Though Disney has been cutting costs across the board, this was still an unexpected move: Silver has his critics, but he’s generally considered one of the best minds in election forecasting.
On Friday, the plot thickened. ABC News announced that it had hired pollster G. Elliott Morris to be the editorial director of data analytics, which also oversees the operations of FiveThirtyEight. Morris, a pollster for The Economist, is the young hotshot to the Silver Establishment: While still an undergraduate at the University of Texas, his forecasting models accurately predicted the shape of the 2018 midterms — as did Silver’s. But in the run-up to the 2020 election, Silver and Morris were yelling at each other on Twitter over differences in polling approaches.
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I think the Trump camp really needs to prepare themselves for another "loss".
Anyone with an ounce of integrity would have made elimination of any questions a main objective this time around.
I know this is horrible to say but I can't wait to see Trump supporters cope seethe and rage when Trump loses. At the end of the day they will have zero choice but to come out and admit they were conned and that Trump was controlled opposition the entire time.
Should be similar to 2020.
Would you vote for a president [Trump] who wants to Federally Fund Nationwide "Stop and Frisk" and give complete Immunity to Local LEO, also using Federal Tax-Payer Money? Immunity, for example just like that PREP Act that he signed for OWS?
Asking for a friend.
The bar is pretty low on what people would vote for. So, yes. Lots of people will vote for a politician who enacts policies that they don't think will affect them. That's pretty much a given right? Bombs away; they're not landing on my house! Indebt our grandchildren; my kids'll be fine.
They projected Hillary would win in 2016. Not sure about their predictions for past elections.What's their track record?
It's too soon for predictions with everything going on.